Euler
Active member
Definitely a good possibility at this point, sad as it is.
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2/12 storm speculation
- Thread starter gladerider
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Wavewheeler
New member
Well, I live here and all it does is screw up my life. I'd be the first to ship it up north where it belongs! I can always drive up to enjoy it!
Rowsdower
Member
But the "glades" behind my work are rideable!
Wavewheeler
New member
You live in North Jersey. All we get is slush and mess. Anything that looks white is ice now. My daughter is up in New Brunswick and will often tell me it's snowing up there and it's raining here. Amazing what a difference 35 miles makes.
My daughter is up in New Brunswick and will often tell me it's snowing up there and it's raining here. Amazing what a difference 35 miles makes.
gmcunni
Active member
news tonight said 2 of 3 models showing potential for powerful storm.
fbrissette
Well-known member
Definitely a good possibility at this point, sad as it is.
This is what Jay looked like this afternoon. Does New-Jersey looks like that ?
vermonter44
New member
If we had that much snow here it would be chaos
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
It wouldnt shock me if the higher points up in the northern part of the state look something like that.
Another 3" tonight BTW.
Rowsdower
Member
Even the higher elevations didn't keep any of the previous snowpack. Everything melted before the last couple of snowfalls, so there's probably no more than 12" tops on the ground.
Wavewheeler
New member
While up north got all that snow last Wednesday a lot of NJ got rain, freezing rain and sleet. A lot of the snow washed or away, melted and/or become slush and then frozen ice. No way does it look like that picture.
It was sad to drive home last night and go from a winter wonderland to the crud that is winter at the Jersey Shore. When we do get snow, it's usually wet and doesn't last long.
It was sad to drive home last night and go from a winter wonderland to the crud that is winter at the Jersey Shore. When we do get snow, it's usually wet and doesn't last long.
hammer
Active member
So what are the latest guesses regarding the models? Just checked the local NWS discussion and there still seems to be a lot of uncertainty...
SnowRock
Active member
I see my holly has already released a snowfall map for thursday am. Does this storm deliver to points north? Work has made it difficult for me to catch much fresh this season but I could set-up for this one. Just trying to figure out where
fbrissette
Well-known member
Models show nothing significant for at least the next five days for ski country.
4aprice
Well-known member
No way. There's a decent snowpack on top of Camelback (Elev 2000') but nothing like that. There are some off trail things that can be skied this year too. I have somewhere around 10-14" otg (2 new last night), we're probably at about 50" for the season, good for NJ but not comparable to anywhere that's supposed to get snow.
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
fbrissette
Well-known member
To be fair this was taken near the top of Big Jay at nearly 4000'. There is 4-5 feet of snow on the ground, whereas it is only about 2 feet at 2000'.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
I'm only at 200 foot elevation, and I have about 12 inches on the ground right now. I would think they'd have more.
Euro, Canadian and even Brits are onboard for a BIG snowstorm. Only the GFS, which the news you see on TV is largely driven off of, doesnt see the storm and has an OTS event. New Jersey could get pounded again.
Here is yesterday's 12z Euro ensemble.
hammer
Active member
Lately the TV mets I've been watching have been showing more than one model run. Think they are trying to hedge their bets as well. Still wonder since not all models are lined up yet but am still hopeful.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Here's the NAM's version of the snowfall map.
NAM is a little outside the window when you take it seriously, but it also shows a big snow event.
NAM is a little outside the window when you take it seriously, but it also shows a big snow event.
Huck_It_Baby
Active member
Very nice!
This one is around 3,000 on Morse this weekend. I've been skiing powder for 4 days in a row.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
This is the sort of map I like a lot at this point.
It's from Bastardi's kid, and what he's essentially acknowleding is that THIS far out, with track uncertainty up in the air, these are the areas that could receive big snow. Now, some people might think a map like this is completely useless, but I 100% disagree, as he's basically "ruling out" geographies, which IMO is useful.
KEEP IN MIND, ONLY THE GFS HAS THE STORM EAST AT THIS POINT
It's from Bastardi's kid, and what he's essentially acknowleding is that THIS far out, with track uncertainty up in the air, these are the areas that could receive big snow. Now, some people might think a map like this is completely useless, but I 100% disagree, as he's basically "ruling out" geographies, which IMO is useful.
KEEP IN MIND, ONLY THE GFS HAS THE STORM EAST AT THIS POINT
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