2014-2015 Winter Forecast (here we go)

[xwhaler]

Sounds like a good selection, just want it to be a bit warmer to soften things up a bit...

We all do! It felt like Early January yesterday at Pats Peak skiing on frozen corduroy with the wind whipping making it feel about zero.
As for VT you have a bunch of options for Easter wknd

http://vtskiandride.com/2015/03/11/closing-dates-for-vermont-resorts-announced/

 

[BenedictGomez]

Lots of unsettled and precipitous weather on the models over the next 10 days, unfortunately it mostly looks like rain.

The good news (hopefully) is in most cases it's not raining because it's 45 degrees, but because it's 35 degrees, so hopefully the temps can come down just a bit and turn to snow on some of the future model runs.

 

[St. Bear]

My ADK trip this weekend is looking to be more ice skating than skiing.

 

[SnowRock]

My ADK trip this weekend is looking to be more ice skating than skiing.

For my Stowe trip... Ive gone from contemplating leaving from the office Wednesday/cheap hotel before house rental kicks in to get in all day thursday, to leaving at 4 am from NJ to get in some time thursday, to working from home until 1 thursday and just hitting up pro pig upon arrival to the area.

 

[BenedictGomez]

18z GFS came in a bit colder for both of the near-term rain/mix/snow events. Hopefully this is a trend and not a 1-run aberration.

Also develops some big snow in the out dates, but that's fantasy stuff at this point.

 

[JonD]

Tim Kelley is making things interesting for this weekend.

https://twitter.com/surfskiwxman/status/580527743093358592

 

[St. Bear]

He's been very aggressive this year, and he's been right where a lot of mets have undershot their forecasts. Let's hope that's the case again.

 

[Puck it]

Tim Kelley is making things interesting for this weekend.

https://twitter.com/surfskiwxman/status/580527743093358592

is this real?

 

[JDMRoma]

God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !


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[xwhaler]

God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !


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Cannon or BWoods?

 

[JDMRoma]

Flip a coin ! Either one


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[Puck it]

God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !


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I can do Saturday I think.

 

[Puck it]

Cannon or BWoods?

Not Saturday at Cannon. Dew challenge is Saturday

 

[JDMRoma]

If that forecast is real Saturday is it !
I'd do Cannon !


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[JDMRoma]

Burke or K


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[catsup948]

This has some nice potential for northern ski country. Its just ugly looking around here. Dirt, grass, snow, puddles, mud, refrozen mud, ice, yuck!

 

[BenedictGomez]

is this real?

It's ballsy-aggressive, but it's possible.

This is where I was commenting there's good potential IF the models come in colder. He must either believe that happens OR he sees something atmospherically that suggests better dynamics than the models are picking up on (better timing, colder, lingering, etc..).

Frankly, if you just look at the models, Monday/Tuesday looks better for snow than Friday/Saturday.

Here's the GFS output through mid-day Tuesday, verbatim to the model most of this is on Monday.

The pattern is energetic and wet, this is the reason I booked a week in northern Vermont for this timeframe, the writing has been on the wall for several weeks now that later March / early April have really special potential. Crossing fingers and toes it pans out. Currenly have Smuggs, Jay, Stowe, and MRG on the itinerary!

 

[xwhaler]

I can do Saturday I think.

Where are you guys going Sat if this pans out? I could possibly join you

 

[Puck it]

Where are you guys going Sat if this pans out? I could possibly join you

I doubt Cannon.

 

[BenedictGomez]

I'll tell you one thing, if northern Vermont squeezes out anything even remotely close to 12" from this first "cointoss precipitation" event Thurs/Friday, I am going to be happier than a pig in slop with a giant food-source within reach.