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3/1 - 3/2 Storm Discussion Thread

drjeff

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What are you seeing Greg? From what I understand the models seem to be all over the place with this one. I hope NNE gets buried again. Planning a trip up north mid March.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

It's now made the headline part of the front page on Accuweather (often a kiss of death this far out :( )

A couple of scenarios detailed here

http://www.accuweather.com/regional-news-story.asp?region=eastusnews

Based on past Accuweather forum discussions of storms, this possible storm 5 or so days out with less than 100 pages of discussion in the Accuweather forums will more than likely be a little to non event storm :( Most decent storms 5 days out will have a 300 to 500 page discussion going on, most of which are about the over hyped hopes of a core crew of posters there from the VA/DE/Southern PA/Southern NJ looking at 1 REALLY long range model that MIGHT suggest the ever so slight possibility that the potential storm will explode into a mega blizzard with the jackpot snowfall occurring in the Mid-Atlantic region of the East Coast :rolleyes:
 

4aprice

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Most decent storms 5 days out will have a 300 to 500 page discussion going on, most of which are about the over hyped hopes of a core crew of posters there from the VA/DE/Southern PA/Southern NJ looking at 1 REALLY long range model that MIGHT suggest the ever so slight possibility that the potential storm will explode into a mega blizzard with the jackpot snowfall occurring in the Mid-Atlantic region of the East Coast :rolleyes:

Those people drive me crazy over at Easternuswx. To top it off they get bitter at people who live in New England cause they get more snow. I have never considered this area to be particularly snowy. I always hope the Poconos get a little (and a lot of times we get several inches) to keep the surfaces fresh but root for the real big dumps to be up north. Snowmaking is pretty much done here now except for stockpiles to be moved around as the season winds down. We have a good base that should last at Camelback till the first weekend in April barring any tropical weather. I'm looking forward to heading up to NNE in the months of March and April.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

madskier6

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Snowmaking is pretty much done here now except for stockpiles to be moved around as the season winds down.

Snowmaking is pretty much done everywhere at this point in the season. After President's week (and even just before it), resorts are just not going to waste the money (even in New England).
 

danny p

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Snowmaking is pretty much done everywhere at this point in the season. After President's week (and even just before it), resorts are just not going to waste the money (even in New England).


still making snow at Killington, as of yesterday...surprised me as well...May skiing?
 

St. Bear

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Snowforecast.com is forecasting 5-10" of snow in the northern Whites on Sun and another 5" on Thurs. They're hedging their bets a little by saying the storm could track differently, but it's still a very optimistic outlook.

Here's to hoping they're right.
 

billski

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there is hope. However it seems I'll be eating and drinking like a pig this weekend...
day3_psnow_gt_04.gif
 

4aprice

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Monday - major, active weather .

It's the time of the year when interesting weather events usually happen. The upper air is cold and the Atlantic in this area is usually as cold as it gets. Hopefully the west (which has just had a pretty good stretch of storms) will start to ridge - trough east and we get an active March -early April.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

Glenn

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Well kids, the view from NWS looks a lot better on this one. My local NWS has put up a winter storm watch saying there's the potential for 8" of snow Sunday into Monday. Of course, they leave an out with the usual: "Exact track of this storm could change..."

NWS for the Mt. Snow area hasn't put up any watches or warnings as of yet. But in their forecast discussion, they say they could get some decent snow. Again, depending on track.

So hopefully, this is out payback for the warm temps and liquid precip most of us had yesterday.
 

St. Bear

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NWS says 6" for NJ.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
410 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-
PAZ067>071-282200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0005.090301T2300Z-090302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
410 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH. IT
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS MORNING. PART OF THE LOW WILL BE EJECTED
NORTHEASTWARD AND IT MAY BRING A LIGHT WINTRY MIX TO OUR REGION
FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER, THE MAIN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SHOULD PASS OFF CAPE HATTERAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND IT COULD BRING
US A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

IT APPEARS AS THOUGH A GOOD PORTION OF DELAWARE, NORTHEASTERN
MARYLAND, SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY MIGHT RECEIVE
AT LEAST 6 INCHES OF SNOW FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO UPDATE FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEKEND WITH THE LATEST
INFORMATION REGARDING THE POTENTIAL SNOW EVENT.
 

awf170

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Winter hates me. One more day of dry weather and I could start mountain biking. I have been waiting for months and all I needed was one more dry day! Here comes at least another week of waiting after this storm. Come on storm, track further north...
 

2knees

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Guys, looks like Yawgoo Valley is gonna be nipple deep on Monday. who's in????? :roll:

a south eastern storm is the way its looking now. no watches for even litchfield county in ct, never mind the berks, catskills or southern greens.


StormTotalSnowFcst.jpg
 
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