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Christmas Week Forecasts

ccskier

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Any ideas of what the weather will be like over xmas week? I have heard that we "may" get a brief usual thaw for that week. I hope it is off. Anyone else hear anything else? The Accuweather 15 day forecast for Westfield, VT says some snow and ice, possibility of getting into the 30's+
 

Zand

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It's still 10 days away, but if climotology comes to truth, it will rain Christmas Day and destroy all the snowcover followed by 60s in January. (Hey... just going by the last 2 years here haha)
 

ccskier

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It's still 10 days away, but if climotology comes to truth, it will rain Christmas Day and destroy all the snowcover followed by 60s in January. (Hey... just going by the last 2 years here haha)

That was my thought also, just didn't want to say it. Figures that I have been tied up all season so far and will be skiing the 26th-2nd/
 

Zand

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I wasn't being serious lol. That's basically been the past 2 years, but it doesn't appear that a warmup that drastic is coming anytime soon. It looks like we might be leaving our fantasy season for a little while, but I don't think it'll ever make the 60s.
 

severine

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Well, this morning's forecast (take it for what it's worth) is saying 38* Sunday (Christmas Eve Eve) and rain/mix. So it could be the start of a warming trend... but I sincerely hope it is not. Last year it rained heavily on Christmas Eve Eve though...enough to close Ski Sundown for the day.
 

Zand

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:evil: May Ullr strike you down for such evil thoughts :evil:

I'll say it once again, Ullr doesn't have the balls to give us snow for more than a month. He's going to wimp out in Old Man Winter's cold spell this week and not come back. :D
 

loafer89

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Here is part of a forecast from Crapuweather for Canada:

Long Range
The latest European long range weekly forecast continues to show a major pattern shift across North America the last ten days of December and into at least the first half of January as Arctic air is routed out across much of southern Canada, with the exception of interior BC and northern Alberta. The model continues to forecast a major warming trend for eastern and Atlantic Canada as the main storm track shifts north and west from the U.S. Rockies to the upper Midwest and across northwestern and central Ontario. This track should lead to a snowier pattern for the southern prairies and probably northwestern Ontario. The Pacific jet will also strengthen near southwestern BC, leading to another stormy pattern in that region from the second half of December and into January. The Maritimes should see a noticeable lull in storm activity during the period with a warming trend.


Canada has a bearing on our cold weather, so who really know's what will happen in the next few weeks,

All I know is that I have 12" of warm December snow in my yard:-?
 

ajl50

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I'm not buying this pattern shift yet.
I know they keep calling for it but I'll see it when it happens...
I was really all about it till yesterday but every time i look a models it just seems like the same stormy pattern is continuing.
I suspect that here in philly and maybe nyc and points south we'll see a pattern shift and have a warm jan.
but I don't think that's happening for the north country.
 

KingM

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All I know is this. Last year, it was warm but for weeks and weeks they promised that a cold, snowy shot was just around the corner. This year it is cold and fantastically snowy, but they keep warning us that we're due for a warm-up. I know which of these scenarios I prefer.

Besides, we've got so much snow now that a warm-up, if it comes, won't kill us, just slow things down for a few days.
 

Warp Daddy

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Just my .02 but Weather forcasts are like a crapshoot . I always take the take the inverse logic . They say 60 % chance of rain i say its FORTY percent chance they ARE WRONG .D:

Its amazing how many really good ski days i've had that i'd of missed IF I LISTENED to the TALKING HEADS and their over-hyped forcasts.

True sometimes they are on target but most of the time i think they are not .
 

billski

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While I'm an engineer by education, I'm an optimist rather than a pragmatist when it comes for skiing. Agree with Warp. If I ran my life by weather forecast (like some I know), I'd never get outside! I'm sorry, I can't take such advice from pretty faces that never would set foot in the mountains regardless of the season. I'd rather have cousin Leroy who works at the papermill up north hand out the weather forecasts.

As in life, the reward is proportional to the (calculated) risks you are willing to take.
Stick your schnozz out the door in the morning, decide and go!
 

hammer

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While I'm an engineer by education, I'm an optimist rather than a pragmatist when it comes for skiing. Agree with Warp. If I ran my life by weather forecast (like some I know), I'd never get outside! I'm sorry, I can't take such advice from pretty faces that never would set foot in the mountains regardless of the season. I'd rather have cousin Leroy who works at the papermill up north hand out the weather forecasts.

As in life, the reward is proportional to the (calculated) risks you are willing to take.
Stick your schnozz out the door in the morning, decide and go!
True dat...

I need to stop looking at weather forecasts so much...shouldn't worry about what I can't change.
 

loafer89

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The forecasted rain storm for sunday keeps being forecast weaker and weaker with every model run. Hopefully it will be a quick hitting event with little rainfall.

I have heard about a possible noreaster for next wednesday.
 

Zand

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Loafer... deja vu except it was a mix last Sunday instead of rain. lol
 

loafer89

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It's doing absolutly nothing right now. I just put up a Christmas inflatable after shoveling down to our lawn and it's cold, but just cloudy and 32F.
 

ccskier

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I have been checking to forecast for the Jay area via accuweather and there is no mention of a warm up, actually showing snow.
 
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