Feb 7 -9 Snow Forecasting (or) AlpineZone Summit Powder?

[BenedictGomez]

This goes back to the irresponsible model sharing discussion.

I don't know where they hear it, but I've had multiple people in my office come up to me and say they heard 30"+ for Sun here in Jersey.

Same. I was at a Superbowl party and several people "heard" about a 2-foot storm.

What it shows me is how fast information can flow via social media, even if it's a lie.

 

[dlague]

Just read:

The Sunday to Monday storm could be the strongest of the winter, if it develops to its full potential. There is a chance the storm will pull cold air down at the last minute, resulting in all snow over southern New England as well.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Havent seen any models, but hearing chatter that hopes and dreams for this storm are apparently not going in the right direction? Sad face.

Still time for an about face....fingers crossed.

 

[Tin]

Looking much warmer for SNE for Sunday (some of the Berkshires could be above freezing) and more of a Sunday night to midday Monday.

 

[Nick]

I feel like I'm a ping pong ball in this thread.

Literally two posts, 20 minutes apart:

Sunday to Monday storm could be the strongest of the winter

hopes and dreams for this storm are apparently not going in the right direction

Which is it!!!

 

[wa-loaf]

Which is it!!!

Too far out right now to say is what it is ...

 

[BenedictGomez]

Which is it!!!

It's not good.

Whoever is thinking this storm still looks awesome, is looking at the operational run, and not the ensembles. Hopefully it changes back.

 

[skiberg]

If its a coastal storm, which I believe it is, and its trending warmer, doesn't this usually mean the storm is hugging the coast more and if this is so, doesn't this mean jackpot?

 

[from_the_NEK]

The EURO model doesn't like this storm at all. The Noontime run still has it exiting off of N Carolina with some throwback into NE from the northern edge of the system.

 

[skiberg]

So that means no Rain all snow, but only a few inches.

 

[St. Bear]

Interesting Weather.com put this in their article about the weekend storm.

As a general rule of thumb, be wary of any specificforecast graphic or article with explicit snow/ice totals beyond two or three days from anywebsite – including social media sites like Facebook, Google+ or Twitter – or TV broadcast.
Graphics like these are increasingly available on the internet, but they can be a source of misinformation, such as we've seen late last week regarding a potential storm late this week. Let's explain why this is often the case.

 

[catsup948]

This is so far away. I'm still sticking with a cape cod track for this!

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[catsup948]

It's still 5 days out.

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[BenedictGomez]

It's still 5 days out.

Correct. A long way to go, but the point is it's universally weakening regardless of which model you favor. Plenty of time to change. Fingers crossed.

 

[catsup948]

Correct. A long way to go, but the point is it's universally weakening regardless of which model you favor. Plenty of time to change. Fingers crossed.

I understand the point. I'm just staying positive.

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[BenedictGomez]

 

[Wavewheeler]

This goes back to the irresponsible model sharing discussion.

I don't know where they hear it, but I've had multiple people in my office come up to me and say they heard 30"+ for Sun here in Jersey. They were talking like it was a forecast. Goes to show you that no matter how many disclaimers and warnings you put up, what people interpret is completely different than what you say.

Agreed!

 

[BenedictGomez]

This is interesting. A little hype, but interesting nonetheless. Bastardi is big-time into weather analogues, often favoring them at least as much as models, and he noted this tonight.

Top is 00z GFS, bottom is blizzard of 1982.

 

[St. Bear]

Henry Margusity ‏@HenryMargusity 8 mins Watch how the storm comes back on the models for Sunday. And that's not the last of this winter nonsense, a lot more storm to go!

 

[skiberg]

What's a weather analog