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First Snowfalls, Upcoming weather and Storms of winter 2024-2025. Storm (snow totals), Observations and Predictions?

MidnightJester

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Did someone order some WATER? I have a large shipment, Where would you like it to go?
Wednesday-Wednesday Night
  • The heaviest rain from this setup in the Northeast will unfold ahead of the cold front, and it could be accompanied by strong, gusty winds. High winds capable of knocking out power or downing trees are most possible from Long Island to eastern New England, including the Boston metro area.
  • A few severe thunderstorms containing strong, damaging wind gusts are also possible from coastal North Carolina to southern New England, mainly from Interstate 95 eastward.
  • Colder air arriving behind the system might change rain to a brief period of snow in interior areas as lake-effect snow develops in the Great Lakes snowbelts.
DCT_SPECIAL47_1280x720.jpg


Developing 'bomb cyclone' with atmospheric river to blast eastern US

A rapidly strengthening storm packed with a firehose of moisture will swing across the eastern United States through Wednesday night with areas of flooding rainfall, damaging winds and major travel disruptions.
TuesStormSnap9Dec1p.jpg

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In more SNOW friendly news..... SnowBrains Forecast: 2-3 Feet of Snow Forecasted For California This Weekend

ecmwf-deterministic-centralca-total_snow_kuchera-4328800.jpg
 
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KustyTheKlown

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am i being too optimistic about the backside potential?

it moves thru fast, but between 7 pm and 1 am the GFS flips to snow, heavy snow for at least one slide, that lingers to the 12 pm slide

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jimmywilson69

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unfortunately yes. I think its going to move too fast. Upslope on the green mountain spine will likely be a thing. that doesn't usually come through on the models very well.
 

slatham

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Your level of optimism depends on your expected snowfall amounts. It’s likely only 2-3” in VT (more ‘Dacks) as currently modeled. Wild card is whether and where lake streamers hit the spine of the greens for some enhanced upslope snow? The HRRR has gotten a bit better on this for SoVT on Thursday but those are low confidence and highly localized. Last year Brom and Magic pulled 5-7” out of one where Stratton was 3 and Mt Snow 1”. The opposite has also occurred. So has a full skunk.

I am planning on firm and fast and sharp edges. Hope to be surprised on the upside.
 

MidnightJester

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The needed WATER has come and the Rivers and Ponds are filling. The snowmaking world is much happier on the east coast now! With that said let the SNOW gods bless us once again. "ULLR, ULLR, ULLR"


Snow Timeline:
Wasatch: 12/13 (L), 12/14-12/15(L/M)
Tetons: 12/13(L), 12/14-12/15(M/H), 12/17(M)
Colorado: 12/13(L), 12/15(L), 12/17-12/18(L)
Tahoe: 12/12(M/H), 12/13-12/14(H), 12/16(M)
Interior BC: 12/13(L), 12/14(M/H), 12/18(M)
Northeast: 12/16(L), 12/17(L/M), 1219(L/M)”
Chris Tomer

10:37 starts the Northeast
 
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MidnightJester

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Let the SNOW be soft and plentiful to all the mountains this year and Good snow hunting to all you wild and crazy SNOW lovers out there : )~

We needed Water in the Northeast and we got water. Snowmaking has been ongoing most of the week and weekend now to repair the coverage and conditions in 72hrs+. The West has gotten its SNOW refreshers and has opened up more territory. There are Skiable and Ridable mountains all over North America now so a tasting of what is considered open terrain with Trail counts this early in the season "WEEK 7" around North America. These are considered lift serviced trails at some of the open ski mountains on Sunday 12/15/24. Hike to your delight for more trail fun.


~~~~Northeast Shoutout~~~~
(Week 7) Sunday 12/15/24 (open trail counts)

Mount Snow, VT -- 24/86​

Stratton, VT -- 48/99​

Magic Mountain, VT -- 40/50 --> 6/50 (ouch)

Okemo, VT -- 40/129​

Killington Resort, VT -- 102/155 --> 57/155

Sugarbush, VT -- 14/111

Mad River Glen -- 43/60

Bolton Valley, VT -- 17/71​

Stowe, VT -- 38/127​

Smugglers Notch, VT -- 27/78​

Jay Peak, VT -- 28/81

--------------------------------------------

Belleayre, NY -- 36/61

Gore Mountain, NY -- 15/110

Hunter Mountain, NY -- 23/66

Windham, NY -- 16/54

Whiteface Mountain, NY -- 34/94

------------------------------------------

Sunday River, ME -- 32/139

Sugarloaf, ME -- 68/170 --> 28/170

Saddleback, ME -- 52/68 --> 16/68

-------------------------------------------

Wildcat ,NH -- 5/48​

Attitash, NH -- 4/76​

Loon Mountain, NH -- 19/73​

Mount Sunapee, NH -- 14/67​

Cannon, NH -- 37/97 --> 20/97

Bretton Woods, NH -- 13/98

------------Out West-------------

Breckenridge, CO -- 109/187

Vail, CO -- 179/278

Aspen Snowmass, CO -- 281/366 (4-mountains)

Winter Park Resort, -- CO 106/171

Beaver Creek, CO -- 55/150

Keystone Resort, CO -- 66/143

Steamboat, CO -- 92/181

Telluride, CO -- 43/147

Arapahoe Basin, CO -- 41/145

Loveland, CO -- 23/94

Wolf Creek, CO -- 144/144 (FULLY OPEN)

----------------------------------------

Mammoth Mountain, CA -- 105/175

----------Lake Tahoe CA,NV---------

Kirkwood, CA --48/79

Northstar California, CA --39/100

Palisades Tahoe, CA -- 95/270

Heavenly CA,NV -- 31/114​

Mt. Rose - Ski Tahoe, NV -- 29/66

----------------------------------------

Solitude, UT -- 14/82

Park City, UT -- 29/346

Alta, UT -- 82/118 --> 47/118

Deer Valley, UT -- 26/103

Snowbasin , UT -- 25/114

Snowbird, UT -- 46/140


THE SNOW GOODS ARE OUT THERE SOMEWHERE? HAVE FUN : )~

Where Will it Be Deep This Week? These are North America’s Top 5 Forecasted Resorts for the 10 Days of December 15 – 24, 2024​

 
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zyk

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Western Catskills. Dumping now. That kind of year. Not that I'm upset, but 3 foot on top of the wood piles is a pita. It will do this all winter so get ready to have some fun. Not sarcasm I'm excited
 

MidnightJester

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Upcoming 10-day stretch has a a lot of SNOW potential


“Stormtrack favors northern CA/PNW/BC/ID/WY/MT. CO & UT are now excluded. Snow moving into ID/WY/Tahoe/PNW 12/16. Heavy snow accumulation hits Tetons PM 12/16-12/17, and Interior BC PM 12/17-12/18.
Snow Timeline:
Wasatch: PM 12/16-12/17(L), 12/25(L)
Tetons: PM 12/16-12/17(H), 12/22(L/M)
Colorado: 12/17(L)
Tahoe: PM 12/16(M), 12/21(M/H), 12/24(M/H)
Interior BC: 12/16(L), PM 12/17-12/18(H), 12/19(L), 12/23-12/24(L)
Northeast: 12/16(L), 12/17(R/S), 12/18-12/19(L), 12/20-12/21(L)”

Chris Tomer

Here is a dumping of SNOW the Northeast could use : )~

Palisades Tahoe, CA, Has Received 43″ Snow Since Friday and 102″ for the Season​


Thanks to More Than 2-Feet of Snow This Weekend, Mammoth Mountain, CA, is 100% Open​

 

BenedictGomez

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Some sporty stuff at brighton...
But..we need a whole lot more.
They opened 9990 yesterday. For the life of me, I have no idea how. Knowing Vail it was probably so hundreds of tourists dont all cancel the biggest revenue week of their year is my guess, but I have to imagine that's going to be a core shot mine field. I cant even imagine.
 

ThatGuy

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They opened 9990 yesterday. For the life of me, I have no idea how. Knowing Vail it was probably so hundreds of tourists dont all cancel the biggest revenue week of their year is my guess, but I have to imagine that's going to be a core shot mine field. I cant even imagine.
It was ski patrol pushing for it so the snowpack gets more consolidated before another big storm goes on top of it. They wanted it open even earlier.
 

MidnightJester

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Weather.com (The Weather Channel)
January forecast trends colder in the Northeast, but milder in the Northwest. Notice how the outlook for January looks a bit different in the northern tier compared to what the overall picture for January to March shows above. Specifically, the Northeast is skewed somewhat colder than average amid widespread above-average temperatures elsewhere, especially from the Mountain West into the Mississippi Valley.
However, forecasters at Atmospheric G2 say there is high uncertainty surrounding the January forecast.

  • A deeper dive on January's uncertainty: That chance of colder weather in the Northeast hinges on the possibility of the positive phase of what's called the Pacific–North American pattern returning by mid-month. This pattern, which was in place for the first half of December, is associated with a southward-plunging jet stream sending arctic air into the eastern states.
  • While there are indications historically that this pattern might return for a period of time in January and bring more rounds of cold air to the East, it's not a guarantee given conflicting computer model guidance. So it's possible this January forecast could shift in a future update coming later this month depending on atmospheric indicators at that time.

ag2-january_1219.jpg

The NOAA just released its outlook for January 2025, giving skiers and riders the first glimpse into what the New Year might hold. The MAGIC 8-BALL might help the Northeast for its weather future. Bring on the Nor'easters​

off14_temp.gif

off14_prcp.png
 
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ThatGuy

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Have you been up there yet? It's a very rocky area to begin with, wondering what the coverage looks like.
No im staying away till another storm or two comes. My friends were up there yesterday and they said it wasn’t terrible off 94 turns and Red Pine Chutes. Im sure Fright Gully is rock city right now though.
 
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