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Good news - Maybe?

Puck it

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This graph shows the El Nino is dying and heading into a La Nina phase.

Full article here.

http://pgosselin.wordpress.com/2010/07/17/will-2010-stay-hot-and-joe-bastardi-return-to-1970s-cold/
 
Last edited:

billski

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Oh man, I am dreaming. Forecast accuracy beyond 48 hours? Hmm. would be nice. Love to see the fundamentals be a good setup. Mother nature loves her averages.
I will wish and hope, but I'm not gonna put money on it. Interesting observations nonetheless.
 

hiroto

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From the article:

Again, all this hype about 2010 being the hottest is about to get doused with cold water. It was premature. I suspect this was known at NOAA, and so they rushed out their overheated press releases while they could.

Thank you for posting that. I've been depressed by all those recent press releases from NOAA.

 

hammer

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Does this explain the warm to hot spring and summer we've been having? Don't want to see my next electric bill...and my grass is browner than it's been in several years.
 

Glenn

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What a difference from last summer. We had to work outside around the rain showers on the weekends in VT...and even that was a challenge. Now, we're going full steam, two days in a row up there. I've been running the chainsaw for the last three weekends.
 

2knees

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Oh man, I am dreaming. Forecast accuracy beyond 48 hours? Hmm. would be nice. Love to see the fundamentals be a good setup. Mother nature loves her averages.
I will wish and hope, but I'm not gonna put money on it. Interesting observations nonetheless.

i think noaa is going to issue a winter weather alert to all the flatlanders......
 

Puck it

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snoseek

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BTW, most NOAA data is taken from urban areas. The satellite temprature measurement does not show this trend for 2010. One needs to be careful what data is being reported.

Really?

I've been told they actually have people from all areas call in weather. They supply the equipment even if I remember right.
 

Puck it

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Really?

I've been told they actually have people from all areas call in weather. They supply the equipment even if I remember right.

He is the info.

Joe D'Aleo, a meteorologist who co-founded The Weather Channel, disagrees, too. He says oceans are entering a cooling cycle that will lower temperatures.

He says too many of the weather stations NOAA uses are in warmer urban areas.

"The only reliable data set right now is satellite," D'Aleo says.

He says NASA satellite data shows the average temperature in June was 0.43 degrees higher than normal. NOAA says it was 1.22 degrees higher.:beer:



I keep telling people that you can not take data from any source with out asking questions. Data can be manipulated any way you want it to look.

Not data but an example. Wrong assumption is made and the proof comes out.

ccb7ae2c7748ce1b4fbc3907fe7cac49.png


581f81f5239b49b08bad8a615f943203.png
and dv = dx


e8c7b621252d01edbef9e0c16f6daf7a.png
and v = x


f2dd2e5887127e8c39981096597ae98a.png
1e98d139eca052849b936834e97b9f69.png
0db4297a674ddac3461dbff255de6f39.png
Q.E.D.

Do not beleive graphical data ubless the source data can be viewed and verified.
 
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