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January 2nd - 3rd storm

BenedictGomez

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This would be good news for snowlovers in NJ and better for Poconos and Cats if this guy (pro met from Baltimore) is correct. He doesnt explicityly say it in the below, but what he means is that any movement towards the coast greater than what the models show = better snowfall for western lands.

1535507_10152090554238476_1021205966_n.jpg


For the Night Owls...
The northern and southern branch jets just met in Arkansas.
Notice the pivot and southern moisture appears to be pulled farther north.
Other notes for the weather geeks: A baroclinic leaf is evident developing and pushing north through MD. This reminds me of the Jan 25, 2000 set up models pushed too out to sea.

I see High Pressure trying to ridge down trough Maine and Nova Scotia, which will try to keep the new coastal from moving out to far east. I know I am going against the grain of American Models and NWS, but I can't ignore what I see here.
 

billski

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From Albany discussion this morning:

"ALTHOUGH [snow] AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS WILL BE INCREASING TO 15:1 OR BETTER BY LATER TODAY."

...
"...AND A FEW SPOTS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE CATSKILLS...GREENS...AND BERKSHIRES MAY SEE CLOSE 15 INCHES IN TOTAL."

From Boston discussion could be burdensome amounts of snow for Blue Hills, and the city proper.
"THE EXCEPTION TO THE LULL IN THE STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL PROBABLY BE ACROSS EASTERN MA LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...MAY SEE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY AMOUNTS WHERE SOME AREAS PICK UP SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW....THE OCEAN EFFECT ACTIVITY WHICH PROBABLY IS UNDERDONE IN THE MODELS"

It's showtime! :daffy:
 
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BenedictGomez

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So far I've seen professional meterolgists who think this storm will:

A) Underperform
B) Perform as expected
C) Outperform

I love the complete uncertainly. Hopefully it's a nice surprise.
 

drjeff

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From Albany discussion this morning:

"ALTHOUGH [snow] AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS WILL BE INCREASING TO 15:1 OR BETTER BY LATER TODAY."

...
"...AND A FEW SPOTS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE CATSKILLS...GREENS...AND BERKSHIRES MAY SEE CLOSE 15 INCHES IN TOTAL."

From Boston discussion could be burdensome amounts of snow for Blue Hills, and the city proper.
"THE EXCEPTION TO THE LULL IN THE STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL PROBABLY BE ACROSS EASTERN MA LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...MAY SEE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY AMOUNTS WHERE SOME AREAS PICK UP SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW....THE OCEAN EFFECT ACTIVITY WHICH PROBABLY IS UNDERDONE IN THE MODELS"

It's showtime! :daffy:

15:1 with the forecasted winds ='s 0-36" with a significant windpacked layer ontop of the deeper amounts

As evil as this sounds, if I was a ski resort GM, and I had some unopened terrain awaiting enough natural snow to get it open, I'd be having the grooming crew out during this storm and trying to quickly pack down what falls to keep it where it fell, so that the base set up is better for future storms. You gotta call a spade a spade sometimes, and the true blower quality density snow that this one looks like it will bring, won't fair well in the winds we're likely to see
 

Cornhead

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From Albany discussion this morning:

"ALTHOUGH [snow] AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS WILL BE INCREASING TO 15:1 OR BETTER BY LATER TODAY."

...
"...AND A FEW SPOTS IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE CATSKILLS...GREENS...AND BERKSHIRES MAY SEE CLOSE 15 INCHES IN TOTAL."

From Boston discussion could be burdensome amounts of snow for Blue Hills, and the city proper.
"THE EXCEPTION TO THE LULL IN THE STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL PROBABLY BE ACROSS EASTERN MA LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...MAY SEE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY AMOUNTS WHERE SOME AREAS PICK UP SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW....THE OCEAN EFFECT ACTIVITY WHICH PROBABLY IS UNDERDONE IN THE MODELS"

It's showtime! :daffy:

High terrain in the Catskills is where I'll be, bring it!
 

Savemeasammy

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15:1 with the forecasted winds ='s 0-36" with a significant windpacked layer ontop of the deeper amounts

As evil as this sounds, if I was a ski resort GM, and I had some unopened terrain awaiting enough natural snow to get it open, I'd be having the grooming crew out during this storm and trying to quickly pack down what falls to keep it where it fell, so that the base set up is better for future storms. You gotta call a spade a spade sometimes, and the true blower quality density snow that this one looks like it will bring, won't fair well in the winds we're likely to see

I sort of hate to say it, but I think I agree with this... Some of the unopened trails out there would probably benefit from being packed down in order to set up for the next few systems in the pipeline.

This snow is going to be awesome where it falls onto an existing base!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

St. Bear

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As evil as this sounds, if I was a ski resort GM, and I had some unopened terrain awaiting enough natural snow to get it open, I'd be having the grooming crew out during this storm and trying to quickly pack down what falls to keep it where it fell, so that the base set up is better for future storms. You gotta call a spade a spade sometimes, and the true blower quality density snow that this one looks like it will bring, won't fair well in the winds we're likely to see

I've said on this site many times that resorts should do this more. All too often, you end up seeing huge moguls with dirt in the troughs.
 

4aprice

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15:1 with the forecasted winds ='s 0-36" with a significant windpacked layer ontop of the deeper amounts

As evil as this sounds, if I was a ski resort GM, and I had some unopened terrain awaiting enough natural snow to get it open, I'd be having the grooming crew out during this storm and trying to quickly pack down what falls to keep it where it fell, so that the base set up is better for future storms. You gotta call a spade a spade sometimes, and the true blower quality density snow that this one looks like it will bring, won't fair well in the winds we're likely to see

Call that intelligent grooming.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

MadMadWorld

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I used a graphics program to create a new layer, which I typed the resort names over. I then merged the layers. Right now I'm having a resolution problem uploading files to AZ. I've got overlays for most of New England now. It's pretty handy.

Where are your updated maps with snowfall totals? I've been waiting impatiently all morning
 

4aprice

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I'll be at Camelback for sure. Looking like Sunday is gonna be the nicest day.

CBK was in excellent shape yesterday,(and empty too:razz:) can only get better from here. Bumps on Lower Cleo had been dusted and skied great. Bumps on Asp had been leveled after rain but the trail had been blown on Tuesday Night and not groomed so it looks like they want to let them build again.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

KD7000

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These Friday cold temps have me re-thinking ski plans. I'd tough it out, but it won't be any fun for the kids. May have to fight the crowds Saturday.
 

JDMRoma

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These Friday cold temps have me re-thinking ski plans. I'd tough it out, but it won't be any fun for the kids. May have to fight the crowds Saturday.
I just may do both days…Id rather deal with Cold then crowds but then again I won't have any kids with me
 

bigbog

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Washing zee feet(to remove that nighttime perspiration prior to going outside)
Good socks
Good fitting boots
Proper layers
Continuous Breathing = circulation.....
Add either neck fleece or headfleece

30deg temps = 30deg snow.....
Ya' want good snow ya' gotta go where it's cold....without the ultrasoft shovels(recreational skis)...Hope there is warm, quality stuff for the kids...agreed, must take some shopping.
.....just sayin'/ramblin.
 
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