January 6th Inland Runner

[Boston Bulldog]

Models have been trending significantly colder:-D

GFS now has the entire Green Mountain Spine in some sort of wintery precip. At this time yesterday, the R/S line was predicted to be around Buffalo.

If this trend continues, we could have a major winter storm, whether it be ice or snow, for the majority of New England. Stay tuned...

 

[billski]

At this time yesterday, the R/S line was predicted to be around Buffalo.

wtf?

 

[BenedictGomez]

Models have been trending significantly colder:-D

GFS now has the entire Green Mountain Spine in some sort of wintery precip. At this time yesterday, the R/S line was predicted to be around Buffalo.

Yeah, per GFS even the Catskills look like they would be all snow for entire event (tight at start though) now. And IIRC these models do not "anticipate" prior snowfall right? (i.e. I don't think the models digest the snowfall that will be on the ground leading to radiative cooling) Anyone know that?

EDIT: Just ran the 00z Euro though, and it's still about Buffalo at 120 hours, but drops massively at 144, oddly west to east rather than north to south. Another big arctic dig. It would be colder in the Florida panhandle than it will be in Portsmouth, NH for a few hours if that verified. lol

 

[Boston Bulldog]

Yeah, per GFS even the Catskills look like they would be all snow for entire event (tight at start though) now. And IIRC these models do not "anticipate" prior snowfall right? (i.e. I don't think the models digest the snowfall that will be on the ground leading to radiative cooling) Anyone know that?

Yeah, I don't think so. The 32 degree line they put out is determined by atmospheric conditions and doesn't include other factors, such as snowpack. (I think)

 

[Tin]

I'm less concerned about snow and more concerned about the wind.on the back side. Making the trip to Jay for Tuesday and Wednesday and.don't want wind.holds or temps of -30.

 

[catsup948]

This is an interesting storm. Could start as rain Sunday afternoon then back to snow overnight then rain Monday am and rapidly back to snow in the afternoon. Then it all freezes solid with Monday night lows in the single digits! I am hoping this ends up like last week's slop bomb and the ski resorts get something out of it!

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[andrec10]

Just say nooooo to inland runners!!!!!

 

[Boston Bulldog]

Just say nooooo to inland runners!!!!!

Amen bro

 

[dmw]

Any new thoughts on this one? I'll be at Stowe and I've seen both snow and non-snow forecasted. First time there, fingers crossed.

 

[Boston Bulldog]

New GFS= Snowstorm

BOOM. Inland runner no more.

 

[dmw]

Thanks!

 

[andrec10]

It was as easy as that! Works for me!


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[from_the_NEK]

It's gonna bust, I can feel it…









Edit: Just took the day off on Tuesday. Happy birthday to me! :-D

 

[Tin]

Still looking wet in southern VT and NH. Hopefully not.much.

 

[billski]

Still looking wet in southern VT and NH. Hopefully not.much.

If this is our "January thaw", I'll take it. We need to keep the perspective that for the east coast, this is still a bit "early" in the season.

 

[from_the_NEK]

It's gonna bust, I can feel it…









Edit: Just took the day off on Tuesday. Happy birthday to me! :-D

Well it looks like it is going to be a cold and icy birthday :sad:

 

[Boston Bulldog]

GFS caved to Euro. Cold rain for most.

 

[Tin]

Looks very windy on the backside. Hope I can get at least one day in at Jay.

 

[andrec10]

GFS caved to Euro. Cold rain for most.

Oh the Horror!!!

 

[Boston Bulldog]

I really don't know what to make of this storm. I'm thinking some ice at the onset, then a cold rain (upper 30's low 40's) for most ski areas during the duration, and an inch or 2 of snow once the cold front passes through.

Disappointing, but not going to kill us. Only SE MA and CONN are going to torch into the low 50's. If anything, it's going to settle the pow into the base which is always good for late season.