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NWS 2016 / 2017 Winter forecast!

John W

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ELK WOULD BE THE BEST PLACE ON THE PLANET FOR SNOWFALL.. Looks like Elk, Blue, Camelback, Jack Frost, Platty, Belleayre and Minnewaska would be the jackpot.. Maybe VVGG also.(mountain creek for your young people)
 

snoseek

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How will Hunter do from this or even Mount Snow? More than say Wildcat/Attitash?
 

BenedictGomez

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Stayed up to see the Euro, now I'm going to bed. Came west a bit, still looks great.

EURO0311.jpg

And if you Kuchera it up it's 2 feet in the Poconos (and at Platty).

EURO0311.jpg
 

Not Sure

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ELK WOULD BE THE BEST PLACE ON THE PLANET FOR SNOWFALL.. Looks like Elk, Blue, Camelback, Jack Frost, Platty, Belleayre and Minnewaska would be the jackpot.. Maybe VVGG also.(mountain creek for your young people)

1+ I had a knee deep run on Lakawanna this december when they first dropped the rope. Still sore about them not dropping ropes elsewhere 8" everywhere else . Two feet would be awesome .
 

Tin

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Wow! Now those are some interesting totals.

LOL

ecmwf_tsnow_neng_19.thumb.png.a77f1bf258e4cb3ebfd0f9f3188a2483.png
 

BenedictGomez

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12z runs

GFS - Good run, stays put, still has blizzard

Canadian - Great run, moves a bit west, which is very good news, still not a great storm for ski country, but trend west toward other models is good news.

Euro - moves way far east, which is horrible for everyone and kills ski country hopes, but this is just an op run, so no need to jump off a cliff unless the ensemble run looks the same, and I doubt it will
 

Tin

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12z runs

GFS - Good run, stays put, still has blizzard

Canadian - Great run, moves a bit west, which is very good news, still not a great storm for ski country, but trend west toward other models is good news.

Euro - moves way far east, which is horrible for everyone and kills ski country hopes, but this is just an op run, so no need to jump off a cliff unless the ensemble run looks the same, and I doubt it will


Still 72 hours out and the systems are not even on our continent, a shit load can happen. Majority of EURO ensembles put it west of the forecast, trash the 12z run. Ukie kept it west. I'm still planning on driving up Tuesday am.
 

Tin

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NAM a little quicker, not exactly a tick east though. Similar course.

Subtract ~30% of the total liquid then multiply by 13.
qpf_acc.us_ne.png
 
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cm0311

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Was just speaking to a meteorologist from Accuweather who said models are showing it moving further east.
When I asked him what that meant for the White Mountains he mentioned more snow unless it tracks too Far East.
 

Tin

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Was just speaking to a meteorologist from Accuweather who said models are showing it moving further east.
When I asked him what that meant for the White Mountains he mentioned more snow unless it tracks too Far East.

If they work for Accuweather they are a dumbass and one Euro over-correction run = "models bringing it east" demonstrates that. LOL

The Euro has been absolute shit this year and in previous years. If the 0z GFS goes east then I will agree.

NWS is disregarding "models moving it east" and posting blizzard watches along the shore, and NWS Burlington going with a widespread 12-18.
 
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cm0311

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Then why are you not broadcasting for a major network if your so talented? You remind me of all the wannabe engineers I have to deal with.
 

Tin

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Then why are you not broadcasting for a major network of your so talented? You remind me of all the wannabe engineers out there. They think they know science.

Because I'm an engineer. It is impossible to "know science" if you don't understand the mathematics that underlies everything science and its tools attempts to explain/measure. Look at any technology in science; whether it is medical imaging, anything astro, or met models, it is all math and physics. Every pretty image you see that describes/attempts to predict a event/phenomena is based in numbers basic rules of physics. Fuck science, acquire math skillz and general principals.
 
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thebigo

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I hope you have a BSME laying around the house then.

I'm going to call you out. I say it tracks further east and mass gets the heaviest.

Not one for a pissing contest but please name the met from accuweather and the model. I am not a met, just a hobby of mine but my understanding is that the energies will not be fully sampled until tonight's 0z. Anybody, claiming to know the outcome is misrepresenting educated opinion as fact. Oh and as if it mattered, my bsme is somewhere in the attic or maybe the basement, next to my masters degree.
 
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Tin

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I hope you have a BSME laying around the house then.

I'm going to call you out. I say it tracks further east and mass gets the heaviest.

Eastern Mass has been the bull's eye for the actual system QPF, it's just a matter of ratios and if it stays frozen. The wrap around will crank for the northern spine and Whites until Thursday morning and add an extra 8-12"+ ontop of storm totals.

Not one for a pissing contest but please name the met from accuweather. I am not a met, just a hobby of mine but my understanding is that the energies will not be fully sampled until tonight's 0z. Anybody, claiming to know the outcome is misrepresenting educated opinion as fact. Oh and as if it mattered, my bsme is somewhere in the attick or maybe the basement, next to my masters degree.

He doesn't realize I'm completely fucking with him. But no one should ever cite accuweather, TWC, and 90% of Twitter mets. And yes, the factors have really yet to even reach our continent.
 
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