The Official 2/14 Valentine's Day Storm Discussion Thread

[ctenidae]

Yikes.

I hope the Mrs. owns a gas mask.

She holds the patent on them.

 

[thetrailboss]

Latest forecast from WCAX is 8-14 inches for VT. Some sleet maybe in S VT.

 

[ajl50]

Latest forecast from WCAX is 8-14 inches for VT. Some sleet maybe in S VT.

Ahhh....here we go...let the warm air mix in.
nice.

 

[thetrailboss]

Ahhh....here we go...let the warm air mix in.
nice.

The sle%t is only a possibility at this point....the cold air is really coming in right now....so the chances of that NCP are getting slimmer...

 

[awf170]

NECN's forecast is 25 inches for basically all of Vermont, most of NH, and a good chunk of Maine. I really think somewhere is going to end up with 3 ft.

http://weather.boston.com/

 

[thetrailboss]

NECN's forecast is 25 inches for basically all of Vermont, most of NH, and a good chunk of Maine. I really think somewhere is going to end up with 3 ft.

http://weather.boston.com/

Man, I hope so....but the Boston weather forecasts are terrible when it comes to NNE. Then again, maybe this can be the time to prove me wrong. :wink:

 

[thetrailboss]

The latest from NWS for Central VT:

Winter Storm Watch

/O.CON.KBTV.WS.A.0002.070214T0600Z- 070215T1200Z/ ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND- WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH... RUTLAND... SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 827 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ORANGE...RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON VERMONT CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...AND BE NEAR CAPE COD EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AS IS USUALLY THE CASE...EXACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL DEPEND ON THE OVERALL TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AT TIMES DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...THIS STORM SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL THIS WINTER TO VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE THAN 1 FOOT OF SNOWFALL BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

THE POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AS WELL AS PERIODS OF SLEET DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE VERY DIFFICULT DURING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

 

[awf170]

Man, I hope so....but the Boston weather forecasts are terrible when it comes to NNE. Then again, maybe this can be the time to prove me wrong. :wink:

NECN is usually really good. It is more of a New England forecast then a Boston one.

 

[Marc]

NECN is usually really good. It is more of a New England forecast then a Boston one.

Hey Austin, I bought a pair of Hi Rides this weekend... suppose there will be some fresh to skin to left this weekend? How's the frostbite toe?

 

[MadPadraic]

I have a pass to Sunapee and Cannon. Sunapee wouldn't be so evil as to flatten fresh snow into useless corduroy would they?

 

[Justin10]

http://www.firsttracksonline.com/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=1641

 

[SkiFirst]

 

[powderfreak]

Forecast For Upcoming Winter Storm

http://www.firsttracksonline.com/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=1641

Map and text. Technical discussion coming tomorrow morning. What I've seen of the latest data tonight, the storm is still in the two thumbs up category. Its like they gave me the crayons to draw a major interior northeast snowstorm...expect Winter Storm Warnings to fly with the 4am or 11am packages put out by the NWS in Burlington, Albany, and Boston. Gray, ME will likely wait till 4pm tomorrow for the warnings.

-Scott

 

[salsgang]

NWS Gray ME put up their winter storm warning this morning.

"...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WILL LIKELY EXCEED A FOOT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN MAINE AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE. SOME AREAS COULD GET AS MUCH AS TWO FEET OF SNOW FROM THIS STORM."

 

[ckofer]

there is no reason to work thursday

 

[Skier75]

there is no reason to work thursday

I agree....so I'll take Friday off instead.... Gonna hit Sugarloaf, lets hope the storm makes it up that far.

 

[thetrailboss]

I think we are already talking about this...continue the discussion here.

 

[thetrailboss]

UPDATE: Hey folks, we have a HEAVY SNOW WARNING in effect!!!!!!!

/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0002.070214T0600Z- 070215T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.HS.W. 0001.070214T0600Z-070215T1200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS- ESSEX- WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA- WASHINGTON- WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE- WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY... TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY... MONTPELIER... MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD... RANDOLPH... RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD... WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS... RICHFORD...UNDERHILL... BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD... KILLINGTON 343 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR VERMONT AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION THIS MORNING AND WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS VERMONT AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS WIND GUSTS INCREASE TO NEAR 35 MPH. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SPINE OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS.

WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IF POSSIBLE... TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED DURING THIS TIME.

 

[KingM]

From Mad River Glen's web site:

The BIG NEWS is that we can expect a major dumping of 20"-40" beginning Tuesday night into Thursday.

 

[dmc]

I can't wait to get out of Ct and get back home... Everyone at work is confused why I'd drive to where the storm is supposed to be bad.. Unless they're skiers...