Weather 1/11 and beyond

[drjeff]

What do folks think snow conditions will be like on Sunday? Weather now looks fine but are we talking about wet packed frozen stuff that is hard to groom? Or given the warm up on Sunday do we think Sunday could be nice spring skiing in Mid January? Sunny skies forecasted----trying to figure out if it's worth my effort.
Am considering Shawnee Peak or Ragged.

I'm thinking that given the timing of the rain Saturday night/early Sunday AM and the fact that it's not supposed to be too cold on Sunday, that most ski areas will do minimal amounts of grooming Saturday night and the the snow surfaces shouldn't be too bad, especially once the sun hits them for a bit. Likely far from bulletproof on Sunday

 

[bdfreetuna]

Sunday is going to be a slush festival. If the rain is done by the time the lifts spin I'll go get slushy at Killington.

 

[fcksummer]

Had no idea it was going to snow today, wife just texted me and I was like shit.........should have gone skiing !
It come to that drastic measure this season when only in inch makes you want to get it before the next meltdown.
Now are they saying the @ain will hold off till after noon tomorrow ? or is it starting in the morning and Im talking about Northern NH
Bretton Woods or Cannon.........

This is for Cannon

I'm thinking about trying my luck Sunday. Trying to weigh between maybe getting wet on Saturday morning and how the snow will be Sunday AM after a night of rain.

 

[from_the_NEK]

Yep, Lyndonville and some other valley areas along the Passumpsic River are screwed come tomorrow afternoon/night...

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN NEW
YORK...CLINTON...ESSEX...SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN
FRANKLIN. IN VERMONT... CALEDONIA...ADDISON...CHITTENDEN...
FRANKLIN...RUTLAND...ESSEX...LAMOILLE...ORANGE...
ORLEANS...WASHINGTON...AND WINDSOR.

* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* LOW PRESSURE PASSING WEST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY WILL BRING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 40S AND A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 0.75 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS TO AROUND AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF VERMONT.

* MOST OF THE RAINFALL WILL GO DIRECTLY INTO RUNOFF WITH FROZEN
GROUND. THE WARM TEMPERATURES AND EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT AND POTENTIAL
BREAKUP...ESPECIALLY ON SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS WHERE ICE IS
THINNER. ICE JAMS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS LARGER RIVERS
CREST FROM RUNOFF.

* LOCAL STREET FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED DUE TO ICE/SNOW COVERED
DRAINS AND CULVERTS. TIMING FOR MINOR STREET FLOODING WOULD
MAINLY BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAMS CAN OCCUR SUDDENLY AND ARE HIGHLY UNSTABLE. WATER CAN
BACKUP QUICKLY BEHIND AN ICE JAM AND FLOOD AN AREA IN A MATTER
OF MINUTES. IN ADDITION...IF AN ICE JAM BREAKS A SUDDEN RELEASE OF
WATER CAN FLOOD AREAS DOWNSTREAM.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

 

[Huck_It_Baby]

Things could be worse!

 

[bdfreetuna]

It's looking like Sunday is going to be below freezing and light snow in most of VT.

So maybe it will be incredibly icy on Sunday? Wish I wasn't limited to weekend ski days right now

 

[MadMadWorld]

Things could be worse!

View attachment 10266

Wow it most definitely could be worse. I'm not ready to shed my pessimism yet though....

 

[HD333]

Not feeling quite as bad for taking the weekend off this weekend after looking at the weather in So. VT. Good timing on the wife's part for her girls spa weekend...

 

[from_the_NEK]

Weather guys are predicting around an inch of rain here now. :sad: Picture from lunchtime.

 

[BenedictGomez]

GFS just latched onto a snowstorm for next Thursday. Hope it pans out.

EURO also sees it, which is most encouraging.

 

[MadMadWorld]

Weather guys are predicting around an inch of rain here now. :sad: Picture from lunchtime.

Ugh crossing my fingers for you guys.

 

[gladerider]

GFS just latched onto a snowstorm for next Thursday. Hope it pans out.

EURO also sees it, which is most encouraging.

Drink to that. Hope that pans out.

Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk

 

[fbrissette]

We've been patient. We deserve a big one so we can talk about something else then bra trees.

 

[Huck_It_Baby]

We've been patient. We deserve a big one so we can talk about something else then bra trees.

+1

 

[BenedictGomez]

18z GFS got a clue and now shows snow in the same sortof timeframe. Model agreement is encouraging.

 

[St. Bear]

Regarding that Thurs snowstorm, and beyond.
http://www.madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/2014/01/yes-in-spite-of-what-will-happen-over.html

 

[bdfreetuna]

I like the optimism from the mad river weather blog

Sent from my Nexus 4 using AlpineZone mobile app

 

[BenedictGomez]

I like the optimism from the mad river weather blog

Yes, it shows up like clockwork around all the major ski holidays.

That said, this time some optimism seems legit.

 

[Wavewheeler]

Thursday snowstorm? I'll still be up in Vermont. I'll extend my stay if necessary and hit the slopes on Friday too! Here's praying for the white stuff (not the wet stuff!)

 

[eelskoorb]

Rain Saturday, then warm Sun-Monday (below freezing at nite, but for how long?) Let's hope Tues 1/14/14 front brings SNOW.
They have 'a good base' I hear that every year. bahhhh