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Weekend Feb 10-11-12

WinnChill

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I spy some snow with upslope potential for early Saturday.
Better get there on Sat. or it will all be in the woods on Sunday. oooo nooooo!

Watching the trend for Saturday's offshore storm get even closer--we may be dealing with something here. We'll keep watching :-o
 

BenedictGomez

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The Lehigh Valley guys is actually predicting 2 to 4 inches of snow at the moment, God only knows the Poconos could use that, even if it's just a few.

The 12z GFS came wayyyyy West like the NAM12z.... and has a deeper trough axis than the NAM, but instead has a double low feature offshore, which is most likely incorrect. It has glaring convective feedback issues on this run, so verbatim while it agrees with the NAM as far as totals, 2-4" Lehigh Valley, more South and East... it SHOULD be showing a much bigger coastal storm if it wasn't for the convective feedback issues. If you had big plans on Saturday, make sure they are in pencil...

Potential exists for over 6" of of snow... not calling this yet, but I am getting concerned..............Upside potential 6-12".... but not favoring that.
 

xwhaler

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Come on Northern VT...we'll be at Smuggs Sat so really hoping for some fresh underfoot---be easier to deal with the cold/wind that is forecasted.
 

BenedictGomez

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New England guy I follow is starting to get excited now too, he just posted his first snow prediction map.

I'd pay good money to have this map shift 50 miles west!!!!!

But lets hope this one pans out nevertheless, I'd be THRILLED with even 4" at this point, let alone 6".

42700934741686528113031.jpg
 

WJenness

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New England guy I follow is starting to get excited now too, he just posted his first snow prediction map.

I'd pay good money to have this map shift 50 miles west!!!!!

But lets hope this one pans out nevertheless, I'd be THRILLED with even 4" at this point, let alone 6".

42700934741686528113031.jpg

PLEASE!!!

Who/what needs to be sacrificed.

-w
 

billski

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The Lehigh Valley guys is actually predicting 2 to 4 inches of snow at the moment, God only knows the Poconos could use that, even if it's just a few.

The 12z GFS came wayyyyy West like the NAM12z.... and has a deeper trough axis than the NAM, but instead has a double low feature offshore, which is most likely incorrect. It has glaring convective feedback issues on this run, so verbatim while it agrees with the NAM as far as totals, 2-4" Lehigh Valley, more South and East... it SHOULD be showing a much bigger coastal storm if it wasn't for the convective feedback issues. If you had big plans on Saturday, make sure they are in pencil...

Translation: It might snow.
 

hammer

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New England guy I follow is starting to get excited now too, he just posted his first snow prediction map.

I'd pay good money to have this map shift 50 miles west!!!!!

But lets hope this one pans out nevertheless, I'd be THRILLED with even 4" at this point, let alone 6".

42700934741686528113031.jpg
Just wish the color bands were reversed...all of that snow on the coast is such a waste.

Could be a good opportunity to hit the mighty Nashoba...
 

BenedictGomez

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The Accuweather guys have a similar prediction, but they've not nudged the map as far west as the other guy.... And obviously pushing this thing westward or not is going to be key

590x45102091710severe1.png



And the Pennsy guy who has been the most conservative so far also sees it bumping further interior...

For those of you that have been following along, the models today have come way West with a coastal system that could potentially affect us this Friday night from midnight through Saturday morning at least. Current call is for 1-4" which may end up being conservative... we will hold off for now going into storm mode until after the 00z runs tonight. I cannot give exact estimates better than that right now
 

billski

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We are pre staged!
Life is too short.
The gnome knows
follow the gnome
or suffer the indignatons of wasted snow.
Repent!
Come to the promised land all ye believers!

Desparate times deserve desparate measures!

And I ain't even drinkin!
 

MommaBear

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Weather guy here in CT is calling for 2 to 5 across the state - the 5 being where the picture above shows 6 to 12. And said the further west or north you go, the amounts will be less. Said the "considerable snowfall" will be out over the water. :cry:
 

WinnChill

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VT, NH, and ME forecasts are updated (whew!). Yeah, this storm still looks like a glancing blow. The cold front dropping in from the NW tonight could give northern areas a few inches--then the ocean storm clips southern resorts Saturday (not much) but I could see a Gunstock or a Waterville, possibly Sugarloaf/Sunday River with more favorable slope orientation to get a slight boost Saturday PM. Winds may hold off most of the day to keep the windchill down a bit. THEN, Jay/Smuggs/Stowe and a few other northern resorts picking up some upslope Sunday (mainly PM)....cold though with windchills! Lots going on but I'll update through the weekend. Hope that helps everyone!
 

soulseller

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Looks like The 'Goo is getting the goods again. Fingers crossed Wawa gets the upper end of their range, thats where I will be tomorrow for 4pm.
 
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