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Puck it

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Counterpoint. Even Fauci is backtracking on mortality rate in a journal publication.

https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/03/coronavirus-fatality-rate-computing-difficult/#slide-1
You can drive yourself crazy watching changes in the mortality rate in real time. The calculation is an incomplete numerator (deaths) over an incomplete denominator (cases). We're not going to know what the real best guess mortality rate is for a while. I suspect that the denominator is significantly understated (asymotomayic younger people and people who don't qualify to get tested are not included).

Fauci isn't a politician. "Clarifying" is probably more accurate than "backtracking", but that's parsing words. I certainly don't envy how he's found himself in the middle of a soap opera narrative about whether he thinks Trump listens to him. It's frankly sad. The guy's a doctor trying to do his best in probably the biggest test of his life. He doesnt need to deal with that type of nonsense.

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BenedictGomez

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Fauci isn't a politician. "Clarifying" is probably more accurate than "backtracking", but that's parsing words. I certainly don't envy how he's found himself in the middle of a soap opera narrative about whether he thinks Trump listens to him. It's frankly sad. The guy's a doctor trying to do his best in probably the biggest test of his life. He doesnt need to deal with that type of nonsense.

And that's the ONLY thing the media cares about when Fauci steps-up to the plate. You feel bad for him. I watch those daily updates each day, and all the media asks him are questions asked in "clever" ways to somehow trap him into disagreeing with something Trump said. LOL
 

BenedictGomez

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You can drive yourself crazy watching changes in the mortality rate in real time. The calculation is an incomplete numerator (deaths) over an incomplete denominator (cases). We're not going to know what the real best guess mortality rate is for a while. I suspect that the denominator is significantly understated (asymotomayic younger people and people who don't qualify to get tested are not included).

This is all correct. And it happens with all these novel viruses, the death rate will go down.

It's very easy to miss both asymptomatic and/or mild cases (which are the bulk of them), it's not so easy to miss a body bag. So the denominator is wildly understated, increasing mortality rate.
 
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