BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Those things are such BS I dont understand why they exist. That said, mid January is starting to look cold, and with legitimate storm shots-on-goal for the first time this year.
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Winter Forecast 2015-2016
- Thread starter dlague
- Start date
Those things are such BS I dont understand why they exist. That said, mid January is starting to look cold, and with legitimate storm shots-on-goal for the first time this year.
ss20
Well-known member
It's far out, but for a couple of days the models have been showing a storm for next Saturday. I think this should synopsis(ize) it best... if you're skiing south of the VT/Mass line, click here. If you're skiing north of VT/MA, click here
EDIT: and the next model run brings snow down to NYC. My weather joke jinxed us correctly! In all seriousness, could see some major snow Friday-Sunday next weekend. Long-range, I know... light at the end of the tunnel, right?
EDIT: and the next model run brings snow down to NYC. My weather joke jinxed us correctly! In all seriousness, could see some major snow Friday-Sunday next weekend. Long-range, I know... light at the end of the tunnel, right?
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BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Cant catch a break.
Not Sure
Well-known member
Well after this warm up/rain looks like the cold is here to stay. 6:00
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Isn't that what we said last week. ?
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andrec10
Active member
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VTKilarney
Well-known member
From the Single Chair Weather Blog:
There has been a lot of debate surrounding the evolution of pattern during the middle part of January and beyond. There is no doubt, some of the teleconnections that typically drive eastern U.S. and specifically New England cold will weaken between the 15th and 17th. We will certainly lose the support of the PNA or any large ridge in western North America. We will have the benefit of a loosened Pacific Jet next week allowing for the outbreak of cold weather but this jet stream is expected to re-tighten somewhat (it's hard to keep that completely down in a El Nino) mid month. I don't argue any of this but the MJO does not support a complete EPO flip. In addition, we should continue to see some limited blocking near the poles preventing the pattern from going entirely warm. In my opinion, we should see lots of storminess so even if the event this weekend doesn't materialize as we would like, we should see additional chances during the middle part of January and beyond with temperatures closer to normal if not slightly above normal.
There has been a lot of debate surrounding the evolution of pattern during the middle part of January and beyond. There is no doubt, some of the teleconnections that typically drive eastern U.S. and specifically New England cold will weaken between the 15th and 17th. We will certainly lose the support of the PNA or any large ridge in western North America. We will have the benefit of a loosened Pacific Jet next week allowing for the outbreak of cold weather but this jet stream is expected to re-tighten somewhat (it's hard to keep that completely down in a El Nino) mid month. I don't argue any of this but the MJO does not support a complete EPO flip. In addition, we should continue to see some limited blocking near the poles preventing the pattern from going entirely warm. In my opinion, we should see lots of storminess so even if the event this weekend doesn't materialize as we would like, we should see additional chances during the middle part of January and beyond with temperatures closer to normal if not slightly above normal.
catsup948
New member
Monsterous storms starting to show up on the ensembles. Nice pattern incoming after tomorrow. Maybe, just maybe we can get something to hit.
ss20
Well-known member
Yeah, next weekend looks really undecided. Three systems of energy close together and its throwing off the models.
Puck it
Well-known member
We f'ing need it. 2 steps forward and 3 steps back today.
lerops
New member
We already had the January thaw. Just that we didn't have the snow first.
ss20
Well-known member
Summary of the 2015-2016 ski season so far!
dlague
Active member
Today was a mess. We drove by Cannon and thin areas are the wrong color now! What will remain will be bullet proof.
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bigbog
Active member
Tomorrow(Tusday) into Wednesday should provide someting at elevation...but then temps fluctuate again. Agree, at least there appears to be somekind of change in the arctic's cold-air dipping more to the south than earlier...
ss20
Well-known member
Sh!t sh!t sh!t... next weekend is falling apart...quickly. GFS has rain all the way to the Canadian border Saturday into early Sunday, with snow finishing the event off... but mostly rain. EURO is a bit colder. But there are a lot of variables with this storm and the surrounding area. Gotta see how things develop, but as of now what we need isn't in play.
GFS "snowfall" (or lack of) from late Friday to late Monday
Hopefully Tuesday's snow showers remind Flatlanders that it is in fact winter and drives up ticket sales up north.
GFS "snowfall" (or lack of) from late Friday to late Monday
Hopefully Tuesday's snow showers remind Flatlanders that it is in fact winter and drives up ticket sales up north.
catsup948
New member
We probably should wait on this one. There are many pieces in play. No need to create panic.
andrec10
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The sky is falling................
dlague
Active member
I think this weekend looks OK in Northern NH!
The GFS is clueless!
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