12/31 - ??? Storm Discussion Thread

[WinnChill]

Thanks for the kind words Bumpsis! It's a lot of work for very little return so we're glad when we hear these things. We really try to get into as much detail as possible and give you guys as much heads up on where the big pow will be. I'm glad I can share a little bit of that here as well.

Cheers!

 

[mikestaple]

6pm Boston weather guy is saying this is going to be a multi day storm starting on 1/1 and from the Maine coast and then diagonally on a line to around Meridith, NH and across to the VT line they will be measuring snow in feet. (He didn't specifically say what the amounts would be in VT).

He compared the odd S shaped jet stream that will trap this storm to the blizzard of 78 (except this one traps the low in the Gulf of Maine instead of off of Nantucket - so the snow goes north).

It's early, but it could be epic.

 

[roark]

If there are wind holds at Mount Snow this weekend and we get a good storm then I'm off to Magic!

why not just go to Magic anyway? Certainly my preference, particularly with fresh snow...

 

[riverc0il]

Roger Hill posting some estimates:
http://assets.jaypeakresort.com/images/Roger_Hill/12_28_09.JPG

Hmmmm.... Saddleback any one?

 

[riverc0il]

Matt Noyes LiveStream video indicates that Matt says too early to make any calls about this one until tomorrow at the absolute earliest and he wants early Thursday model data preferably. Seems like a ton of different possibilities are on the table currently. Can't wait to get a more exact forecast!
http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/

 

[MR. evil]

why not just go to Magic anyway? Certainly my preference, particularly with fresh snow...

If this storm pans out Randi and I will either be at Magic or Berkshire East. Keeping fingers crossed.

 

[salsgang]

Just booked a new years weekend condo in Rangeley. C'mom mother nature bring it to Saddleback! It sure has been fun watching the forecasts develop!

 

[Johnskiismore]

I'm liking what I see so far, please please please!!

 

[xwhaler]

Heading up to Rangeley tomorrow night through the wknd!
Little warm up day on Thursday for us then the real fun starts!

 

[from_the_NEK]

Well I didn't ski last Sunday as I said I would in another thread. However, Saturday is going to be my day. I haven't decided where I'm going to go yet. Burke usually fairs pretty well with the winds during a Nor'Easter. However, I may decide to chase the deepest powder... What to do? Saddleback sounds like a lot of fun too (never been). Jay has a high probability of being mobbed for the holiday powder weekend so I'll likely be avoiding it (although wind holds at Jay can be epic). Here's to getting a bit of snow in the next 5 days :beer:

Edit: If I can still move on Sunday, maybe I should make this a two day event...

 

[wa-loaf]

Might have to see if I can make a run to Cannon on Sunday. Especially if this becomes a ME and NH event.

 

[frozencorn]

Roger Hill posting some estimates:
http://assets.jaypeakresort.com/images/Roger_Hill/12_28_09.JPG

Hmmmm.... Saddleback any one?

This is what I've been thinking all week. However, with the wind likely to play a factor, I'm keeping that at the forefront of my decision-making. Never been to Saddleback. What's the wind like there?

 

[salsgang]

This is what I've been thinking all week. However, with the wind likely to play a factor, I'm keeping that at the forefront of my decision-making. Never been to Saddleback. What's the wind like there?

It can get pretty breezy there. Like anywhere it depends the direction. I have been there in a gale but the wind was coming out of the NW and right up the chair. Other days it didn't seem quite so windy but the wind direction killed the lifts. Overall they are pretty successful spinning lifts in storms IMO.

As of this moment they don't have the upper mountain chair open, so it will be interesting to see the timing / amount of the snow and how quick they can get the upper mountain quad running. I will be there Friday / Saturday. Regardless they have some great tree runs / trials off the lower mountain lift / TBar so it will be fun anyway.

 

[Glenn]

Meh, looking like NWS is just calling for "light snow" for Southern VT.

 

[drjeff]

Meh, looking like NWS is just calling for "light snow" for Southern VT.

Darned stupid, frikin' right turn a bit out to sea the models are beginning to show some consensus that this storm now looks like it wants to take This sucker was looking real good 24 hours ago for So VT, now looking like just some light stuff :smash: with the bullseye over the NH/ME mountains. Still hope though, just a slight bump back to the West and So VT is back in the game for big snows ([size=-4]unfortunately though most recent storm tracks tend to be a bit East of what the models have been suggesting[/size])

 

[riverc0il]

Darned stupid, frikin' right turn a bit out to sea the models are beginning to show some consensus that this storm now looks like it wants to take This sucker was looking real good 24 hours ago for VT, now looking like just some light stuff :smash:

You will just need to adjust plans and follow the snow. Condo at the mountain and season passes be damned, if Maine gets the goods it will be worth the trip!

Still plenty of time before this one is decided. Matt Noyes said on his video blog that the models would not stop shifting until tomorrow night at the absolute earliest when a specific indicator will force the models to come in line.

 

[hammer]

Any suggestions on the timing for a day trip? While I would be NUTS to say that I'd rather not see the snow, I'm trying to avoid having to drive in the stuff...

 

[WinnChill]

Will wait til the midday model runs come out but, yeah, southern VT starting to miss out on the big snow....still looks like Maine gets blasted and even back into the NH Whites. Northern Greens still respectable but not as much (will have to rely on wraparound snow showers through the weekend)...this thing still bombs out Saturday. Edging VT accumulations back a little and see what this thing does. Hang New Years Day with the hangover as the storm takes shape, then head to the slopes Saturday/Sunday to enjoy some fresh powder.

 

[drjeff]

Here's one of the latest 72 hour precip estimates. The darker the colors, the better for big storm totals

Looks like the best estimates for the big winners now are for Maine Lobsters and Powder as a New Years combo

 

[WinnChill]

Any suggestions on the timing for a day trip? While I would be NUTS to say that I'd rather not see the snow, I'm trying to avoid having to drive in the stuff...

Just saw your post...fresh accumulations look to build up through the weekend, mainly Saturday. (again, Maine thru northern NH). We'll probably get some light stuff Friday if you want decent driving conditions...it'll likely be tough later Saturday and early Sunday.