2/12 storm speculation

[deadheadskier]

ignore list is under edit user profile menu

 

[BenedictGomez]

MOAR MAPPAGE!!!!!!!!!!!! (and done by a professional meterologist to boot)

 

[wa-loaf]

I for one love weather porn even if some of the models may be artificial ...

 

[Not Sure]

I for one love weather porn even if some of the models may be artificial ...

What he said!!!!
Back country Pa. Saturday ...Whoooo Hoooo!!!!!!

 

[Rowsdower]

What he said!!!!
Back country Pa. Saturday ...Whoooo Hoooo!!!!!!

Looks like I'm headed to the steep and deep Piscataway backcountry.

 

[flightschool]

New accuweather video - the snow map has such narrow snow accumulation bands.. kind of weird.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/snowstorm-carolinasto-maine/2430839568001

 

[skiberg]

If a map isn't a forecast then what the hell is it

 

[4aprice]

What he said!!!!
Back country Pa. Saturday ...Whoooo Hoooo!!!!!!

I only know a few places I would dare going off trail in the Pocono's and those spots are probably skiable now but if we get anything like what is being predicted they will definitely be skiable this weekend.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[dlague]

Enjoy the stoke! Some people seem to have their britches on too tight! Who cares if the models are wrong or right! It is about having a decent conversation and not about pissing in someone else Cheerios!


Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone

 

[ss20]

Keep the maps coming- I like them.

 

[Not Sure]

I only know a few places I would dare going off trail in the Pocono's and those spots are probably skiable now but if we get anything like what is being predicted they will definitely be skiable this weekend.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

I have a place I hiked last Winter for some recon, Drove past last week and it was almost filled in before the last 4'' storm.
I figured 6 more will do.
Will post a report with a few location hints for the Brave/Crazy.
It's pretty knarly and hard to get to.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Who cares if the models are wrong or right! It is about having a decent conversation and not about pissing in someone else Cheerios!

Well I hope this one's wrong.

00z NAM is out, came a bit east (we dont want that). On the bright side, I do not believe (but an not 100% certain) the 00z NAM got this afternoon's special Hurricane Hunter input like tonight's 00z GFS will.

 

[gmcunni]

I for one love weather porn even if some of the models may be artificial ...

^yes

 

[flightschool]

Robbed by the NAM... hope every other model can stay west.

 

[Wavewheeler]

It also means I might be able to snowshoe until July here in New Jersey. NW New Jersey will be taking a run at From_The_NEKs snow stake again.

After 2 years of staring at my snowshoes sitting unused in the closet it will be a welcome change!

Looks like both Poconos and Cats are looking good provided the track stays west. Thursday could be nasty for travel and wind so I'm thinking Friday could be the day.

 

[Nick]

Fwiw I know admittedly very little about weather and post maps here and on az's fb / IG pages based on what I'm reading. Most of it especially over 3 or 4 days out is of course guesswork but I'm happy to build excitement about snow and the optimist in me always believes the more aggressive snowfall models, even though I know that's unlikely

Sent from my SCH-I545 using AlpineZone mobile app

 

[BenedictGomez]

After 2 years of staring at my snowshoes sitting unused in the closet it will be a welcome change!

Same here.

Bought snowshoes (stole them practically) 2 years ago, this is the first year I've used them!

 

[BenedictGomez]

Very nuanced, with lower totals than most I've seen. Worth noting though is that the NAM and RGEM have both come east since he put out this map.

 

[SnowRock]

I only know a few places I would dare going off trail in the Pocono's and those spots are probably skiable now but if we get anything like what is being predicted they will definitely be skiable this weekend.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Know anyone that has ever done the old snow bowl? I imagine if things hold as forecast that would rideable

 

[BenedictGomez]

00z GFS with the Hurricane Hunter data input is out.....and it's weird. Theoretically it should improve the accuracy, but it's still on an island versus the other models.

That sort of leads you to wonder whether the GFS was right all along and all the other models were wrong (seems unlikely) or whether the GFS is such crap that even with a near live data advantage over the other models, it still blows. Head scratcher. Anyway, the snow map will probably be out by 11:30, though I'm not sure we learned much.