2/12 storm speculation

[BenedictGomez]

And now Bastardi's kid, also taking the "Go big or go home" attitude with predicting this storm.

He's going outside-the-box and forecasting a massive near-blizzard with at least 6", and up to 12" for all of New England

 

[jrmagic]

Joe Bastardi's map with timeline.

He's expecting heavier snow to penetrate deeper into ski country than most are thinking.

Let's hope he's right. I'm encouraged that in his mind whike still narrow, the NW cutoff isn't quite as sharp as we have been seeing.

 

[Tin]

How has this gone from Thursday night to Friday night?

 

[hammer]

How has this gone from Thursday night to Friday night?

00Z Friday = 1900 (7PM) Thursday?

 

[Tin]

Blonde moment, thanks.

 

[BenedictGomez]

12z Euro snow map is out

I'm guessing the New England (and especially northern New England) weather folks are asleep at the switch on this one and it caught them by surprise.

Seems to me the region might do better than most are expecting.

 

[lerops]

yes, baby!

 

[Puck it]

 

[Boston Bulldog]

Oh man, if only the NAM was reliable. It just gave a foot all the way from NVT down to the coast. H7 is huge in that run.

 

[podunk77]

For those thinking of hitting central NH on Friday, remember that Ragged has $14 Valentine's Day lift tickets so long as you buy them online by Thursday midnight.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Saint Valentines Day might be a little windy depending on where you are.

 

[BenedictGomez]

18Z GFS is out

And it moved west yet again......which means it's failure is complete.... and it now looks more like the Canuck and the Euro.

What does it mean?

IMO, it means that New England TV weather folk are finally going to increase their snow totals for the region, because most of them use the US government's sorry predictive weather model.

It also means I might be able to snowshoe until July here in New Jersey. NW New Jersey will be taking a run at From_The_NEKs snow stake again.

 

[flightschool]

Benedict do you think the NAM will come west?

 

[BenedictGomez]

Benedict do you think the NAM will come west?

The 18Z NAM is already out.

 

[cbackman]

18z nam looks good

 

[BenedictGomez]

Amateur weather weenie's (met major) first call map.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Catskills Guess.....

 

[BenedictGomez]

12Z Euro Ensemble snow map

Similar to 12z Operational Euro map I posted a few hours ago, but:

BETTER for DAX

BETTER for VT

WORSE for NH.

Why?

Because the ensemble run shifts the snow to the west by about 40 or 50 miles.

 

[lstone84]

lets have a bunch of amateurs post models and maps they know nothing about, great, keep going!

 

[BenedictGomez]

lets have a bunch of amateurs post models and maps they know nothing about, great, keep going!l

Hey look!

A guy with 12 posts in 17 months, 33% of which (4 of 12) are in this thread, makes a derogatory comment about the only thread he's participating in.

Hmmm........ I'm gonna lay heavy odds somebody is from New Hampshire and didn't like the last post.