dlague
Active member
BTW - Just need to eat foods that will block you up hold it in for a couple of days and there you one big dump!
In any case, if you are at Cannon - I will have to buy you a beer! :beer:
-
Welcome to AlpineZone, the largest online community of skiers and snowboarders in the Northeast!
You may have to REGISTER before you can post. Registering is FREE, gets rid of the majority of advertisements, and lets you participate in giveaways and other AlpineZone events!
2014-2015 Winter Forecast (here we go)
- Thread starter dlague
- Start date
BTW - Just need to eat foods that will block you up hold it in for a couple of days and there you one big dump!
In any case, if you are at Cannon - I will have to buy you a beer! :beer:
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
The 12z GFS just came out and CONFIRMED with the EURO!!!!!!! 
Puck it
Well-known member
I'll drive.
Puck it
Well-known member
This is just doomed it.The 12z GFS just came out and CONFIRMED with the EURO!!!!!!!
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Well, there's still plenty of opportunity to be negative if you want to be a Debbie Downer.
1) The energy is not on shore yet so the best sampling hasn't occurred.
2) There a clipper on Wednesday, and models often get confused and don't handle 1,2, punches well
3) The 00z Canuck (12z not out yet) only has this a winner for NJ, RI, east MA as it's further east
4) Even on the GFS & ECMWF it might not get west enough for a lot of ski country if the trend "stops"
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Here's the 00z Canadian. You can see it doesn't work out well; so it will be interesting to see what the 12z says.
billski
Active member
If you want to get really twisted about this one, look at what WxRisk.com is saying!
*** ALERT ** 12Z GFS NOW HAS JAN 23-24 S.E.C.S. SIGNIFICANT EAST COAST SNOWSTORM ....
The reason why this MAJOR DEVELOPMENT significant is because this was the ONE weather model which insisted that the Low over the Southeast U.S. Coast was NOT going to come up the coast but instead stay out to sea. And because it would stay away from the coast ...skies over the northeast U.S. would stay SUNNY and temperature that be in the 40S. oppps!
Clearly as you can see that is not going to happen... as this model now looks like the European model and has a major snowstorm from Washington, DC up towards Boston. Sunny and 45? dont think so.
*** ALERT ** 12Z GFS NOW HAS JAN 23-24 S.E.C.S. SIGNIFICANT EAST COAST SNOWSTORM ....
The reason why this MAJOR DEVELOPMENT significant is because this was the ONE weather model which insisted that the Low over the Southeast U.S. Coast was NOT going to come up the coast but instead stay out to sea. And because it would stay away from the coast ...skies over the northeast U.S. would stay SUNNY and temperature that be in the 40S. oppps!
Clearly as you can see that is not going to happen... as this model now looks like the European model and has a major snowstorm from Washington, DC up towards Boston. Sunny and 45? dont think so.
Attachments
catsup948
New member
This is one to watch. Talk is that it will develop to late and the trough doesn't dig enough. Cape Cod special. My hope is for this seasonal trend of storms to cut west brings this sucker over the canal.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
At the moment. But the trend has been NW. If that happens it would be rain in NJ and the cities, but snow for ski country. Trend is the friend though, I'll gladly sacrifice my snow in NJ if it lands in the Cats instead.
EDIT: Also, because of that system coming through on Wednesday, it wouldn't surprise me at all if the models are screwing this up, we've seen that happen time-and-again the last few years where it just doesn't handle 2 storms in close proximity well.
catsup948
New member
Monday/Tuesday has a big signal. Much better storm than this weekend. We have to wait on that one.
Curious to see both evolve after this clipper comes through tomorrow. Hopefully it over performs in nj tmrw nite and it leads to a great weekend
Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
That popped up out of nowhere. Hopefully it's legit and not just the ECMWF getting confused by all these simultaneous energy readings. Watch, practically nobody will talk about that until the Saturday storm is past - seems like most mets can only focus on one storm at a time, lol.
catsup948
New member
Both seem to be out to sea. I'm watching closely hoping for that nw trend which would pay off big in interior southern New england.
billski
Active member
that's exactly what nws said this afternoon in their technical discussion. After all, they have to put out a near-term forecast.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Que? The first 00z run is out (NAM) and on it Saturday looks pretty much just like the earlier GFS and Euro. Poconos, Cats, and Berks would all get snow. With a slight northern shift, places like Gore and s.VT would get some snow too.
catsup948
New member
I was looking at the 12z Euro and Canadian both out to sea a bit. Candian shows an impressive bowling ball of energy, fast moving. I'll await 00z model runs when I get up.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Every major model has this snowstorm.
In true hype, panic-inducing, money-marketing fashion, here I'll only post the jackpot zone from the model that's by far the most amped for this storm. That's how it's done on social media, right?
billski
Active member
Word has it that the weather forecasts are funded by Star Market, Stop and Shop, Market Basket, Garelick Farms, Wonder Bread, Budweiser, Ben&Jerrys, Mobil, Sunoco and Exxon.
catsup948
New member
Every major model has this snowstorm.
In true hype, panic-inducing, money-marketing fashion, here I'll only post the jackpot zone from the model that's by far the most amped for this storm. That's how it's done on social media, right?
And I'm done. I meant out to sea for a great track here in the Berkshires. It's a perfect benchmark track for major northeast cities.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
I was planning on a n.VT trip next weekend, but if the GFS is correct I'm pulling the plug on it. If the Canuck is correct Friday will be fine, but Saturday might not be too pleasant.
I'll be anxiously watching this over the next few days. Le sigh.....
I'll be anxiously watching this over the next few days. Le sigh.....
Similar threads
