Dual Late Season Storm Thread

[drjeff]

I've been up here since the weekend. Conditions at Magic, Mt. Ellen, and Stowe the last 2 days have not been great. I'm hoping this storm is a good one as well!

On another note I'm shocked at how large the crowds are during the week. Yesterday I went out for an hour during lunch and had to wait 20 minutes in the 4 runner line to get on. The gondola was 10 to 15 minutes, the mountain triple had no line. I've never seen lines like this mid week at Stowe. This photo was on Tuesday around 11.30 am, where I'm standing in the picture was 10 minutes or so into my wait.....
View attachment 51239

Many schools in NY have vacation week this week

 

[HowieT2]

fingers crossed but nws forecast for lincoln peak is 5-8" at 3k. snow-forecast.com is 7".

 

[dblskifanatic]

Well it appears like there will be quite a bit of wet weather before switching over to snow. When it does cutover it will be heavy wet snow and temps will continue to drop. From the looks of things it looks like a 3-6 inch event for northern VT, I got info from Accuweather, Weather Channel, and Windy.com and they all seem to match up pretty well. I know some of you use better analysis tools but these have been pretty accurate for me this year.

Weather alert:

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

• WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches.
• WHERE...Portions of central, northeast and northwest Vermont and northern New York.
• WHEN...From 2 AM Thursday to 2 AM EDT Friday.
• IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

 

[KustyTheKlown]

Well it appears like there will be quite a bit of wet weather before switching over to snow. When it does cutover it will be heavy wet snow and temps will continue to drop. From the looks of things it looks like a 3-6 inch event for northern VT, I got info from Accuweather, Weather Channel, and Windy.com and they all seem to match up pretty well. I know some of you use better analysis tools but these have been pretty accurate for me this year.

Weather alert:

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EDT FRIDAY...

• WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches.
• WHERE...Portions of central, northeast and northwest Vermont and northern New York.
• WHEN...From 2 AM Thursday to 2 AM EDT Friday.
• IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

these arent mountain point forecasts. this is mainly talking about valleys/cities/towns. jay will get 10" at elevation.

 

[HowieT2]

these arent mountain point forecasts. this is mainly talking about valleys/cities/towns. jay will get 10" at elevation.

correct.

Enhanced Mountain Point Forecasts

www.weather.gov

 

[Zand]

Models have been bumping east. Northern NH and Western ME might get in on a few inches. Might get the cold air to crash in a couple hours earlier as well. Hopefully the higher elevations can maximize snow time during the precip window.

 

[kingslug]

Stowe site is very optimistic 10 to 15 inches...I like that LOL

 

[2Planker]

Stowe site is very optimistic 10 to 15 inches...I like that LOL

They're smokin' some of that NE Kingdom product....

2"-3" maybe after a ton of rain

 

[kendo]

I've been up here since the weekend. Conditions at Magic, Mt. Ellen, and Stowe the last 2 days have not been great. I'm hoping this storm is a good one as well!

On another note I'm shocked at how large the crowds are during the week. Yesterday I went out for an hour during lunch and had to wait 20 minutes in the 4 runner line to get on. The gondola was 10 to 15 minutes, the mountain triple had no line. I've never seen lines like this mid week at Stowe. This photo was on Tuesday around 11.30 am, where I'm standing in the picture was 10 minutes or so into my wait.....

Not surprised at yesterday's 11:30am FourRunner line. Spruce Lodge was empty at 11:30am (CV restricted access), Sunny Spruce and Meadows were both nearly empty with thin cover on the remaining open trails, Sensation was closed to racing only - so you're left with everyone on Mansfield skiing thru lunch and using the FourRunner, Mtn Triple and Gondola.

Skied today from 8-12 on creamy mashed potatoes with some gravy spots showing thru! FourRunner was <5mins and Mtn Triple was ski on.

Hoping for a fast drop in temp tonight. . . I'm forecasting 4-6" at the base with 8-12" up top!

 

[kingslug]

I'm forecasting ...something will fall from the sky at some point and change into something else..at some point.

 

[Zand]

NWS forecast for Mansfield is 8-16"

No reason Jay won't beat them by a couple inches.

 

[dblskifanatic]

Looks like Northeastern NY will do well. North of 89 in VT to the Canadian border a little lighter but the place to be in VT, As snow forecast maps become more defined.

 

[kingslug]

NWS forecast for Mansfield is 8-16"

No reason Jay won't beat them by a couple inches.

sold!

 

[KustyTheKlown]

They're smokin' some of that NE Kingdom product....

2"-3" maybe after a ton of rain

pretty negative take that doesnt even really jive with the latest models.

top of stowe:

 

[ThatGuy]

pretty negative take that doesnt even really jive with the latest models.

top of stowe:

View attachment 51244

NoVT is definitely going to get some decent snow. At this point I’m more worried about the crowd thats going to be at Jay storm chasing. Debating the 1hr45 to Whiteface or the 3hr30 to Jay.

 

[Zand]

NoVT is definitely going to get some decent snow. At this point I’m more worried about the crowd thats going to be at Jay storm chasing. Debating the 1hr45 to Whiteface or the 3hr30 to Jay.

I can't picture Jay being that busy, especially with no Canadians. Probably skied 40 days there in college including powder days and weekends (and with Canadians) and never waited for Jet or Bonnie and only minimal waits for the Freezer. I can't ride the Tram solo this year so that can have a 3 hour line for all I care.

I think it's just too far from most people, especially if Stowe gets just as much snow. But I could be very wrong, who knows.

 

[KustyTheKlown]

i definitely experienced waits on the bonnie this year, especially when the flyer is down, which is a very possible for Friday.

agreed tho that a stowe powder day gobbles up the epic hordes. and it is still a Friday. my company closes for good Friday, and maybe its a bank/govt holiday? but most people need to work Friday...

a lot of people have also mentally turned the page. its April and its been warm and raining. and thankfully this snow doesn't touch the i-95 corridor and people's yards. if you aren't tapped into the ski-web, you don't even know a significant storm is coming.

hopes.

 

[ThatGuy]

Hope is all we have after every storm in March was a bust lol. Guess I’ll make my decision tomorrow.

 

[Tonyr]

Not surprised at yesterday's 11:30am FourRunner line. Spruce Lodge was empty at 11:30am (CV restricted access), Sunny Spruce and Meadows were both nearly empty with thin cover on the remaining open trails, Sensation was closed to racing only - so you're left with everyone on Mansfield skiing thru lunch and using the FourRunner, Mtn Triple and Gondola.

Skied today from 8-12 on creamy mashed potatoes with some gravy spots showing thru! FourRunner was <5mins and Mtn Triple was ski on.

Hoping for a fast drop in temp tonight. . . I'm forecasting 4-6" at the base with 8-12" up top!

Yes today was a much different story. No waits anywhere other than the gondola.

 

[kingslug]

Stoked!