Dual Late Season Storm Thread

[dblskifanatic]

I can't picture Jay being that busy, especially with no Canadians. Probably skied 40 days there in college including powder days and weekends (and with Canadians) and never waited for Jet or Bonnie and only minimal waits for the Freezer. I can't ride the Tram solo this year so that can have a 3 hour line for all I care.

I think it's just too far from most people, especially if Stowe gets just as much snow. But I could be very wrong, who knows.

Never waited for Jet?! I lived in that area and it was my home mountain and Jet was always popular and Since they have changed Stateside I have skated to it only to turn around. Good stuff there!

 

[tumbler]

Just don't get your hopes up for a pow day. Some of the hardest skiing I have done is in late March/April snow glop. Better to let others ski it in sometimes.

 

[Smellytele]

Never waited for Jet?! I lived in that area and it was my home mountain and Jet was always popular and Since they have changed Stateside I have skated to it only to turn around. Good stuff there!

Agree I have waited in very long lines at the Jet. Longer than the yankee freezer.

 

[Zand]

Never waited for Jet?! I lived in that area and it was my home mountain and Jet was always popular and Since they have changed Stateside I have skated to it only to turn around. Good stuff there!

My college days were back in the old stinky lodge days so I'm guessing many more people end up on that side with the new lodge and hotel now. But Jet used to almost be a hideaway for me if the main base got busy. Always skied it midday.

 

[Zand]

Just don't get your hopes up for a pow day. Some of the hardest skiing I have done is in late March/April snow glop. Better to let others ski it in sometimes.

Yeah I'm almost glad I can't get up till Sunday. Supposed to stay cool behind the storm so everything should be skied in but not melted away yet.

Plus if the storm ends up being a total flop I can just bag the trip.

 

[kingslug]

you know,,with all this talk about snow and beer..y'all should be waxing your skis..and drinking a beer.
Never had this one Relic brewery..pretty tasty...

 

[kingslug]

Just don't get your hopes up for a pow day. Some of the hardest skiing I have done is in late March/April snow glop. Better to let others ski it in sometimes.

I will....ski it in that is. Fat skis help.

 

[ss20]

Not concerned about heavy snow, save for the start. Temps are supposed to dip into the low 20s and teens Thursday into Thursday night.

I'm also not concerned about horrific crowds Friday. I have my indy days for jay and I'm probably the only person on this coast that has saved them up to this point lol. I'm expecting all locals.

Saturday I'll be at Sugarbush and that's where I'm a bit concerned about crowding. 6" of new snow and perfect spring weather but we're all packed onto 5 lifts at lincoln peak with Ellen and MRG closed.

 

[Zand]

I will....ski it in that is. Fat skis help.

This storm kind of reminds me of April 2012. That was the year with the 80 degree March that killed off everyone (including Jay) and up to that point, the only powder day I had that year was Halloween at Killington. I remember sitting in class at LSC and it was 50 and raining in mid April but I checked Jays report out of habit and they were reporting 18". I got up and walked out of class and started driving. It was rain all the way to the Stateside parking lot but sure enough it was deep dense pow on the mountain. Incredibly dense, in fact. I was straightlining trails like Powerline and River Quai where you're usually dodging boulders, but this snow was sticking to everything. Impossible to turn...glades were full of snow but were terrifying to actually ski.

3 days later after the snow drained and got skied in, it was some of the best conditions I've ever skied. And all this was after a torch March had everyone shutting down.

This storm has less moisture than that one did but just has a similar feeling. Like the good part of the season is over but suddenly mother nature is going to pull one out of her ass to save the season for another week or two.

At this point I think 10" is a fair expectation. Do a snow dance tonight for the ol' Jay Cloud.

 

[Smellytele]

Not concerned about heavy snow, save for the start. Temps are supposed to dip into the low 20s and teens Thursday into Thursday night.

I'm also not concerned about horrific crowds Friday. I have my indy days for jay and I'm probably the only person on this coast that has saved them up to this point lol. I'm expecting all locals.

Saturday I'll be at Sugarbush and that's where I'm a bit concerned about crowding. 6" of new snow and perfect spring weather but we're all packed onto 5 lifts at lincoln peak with Ellen and MRG closed.

Going Saturday to use my second Jay indy pass and my buddy is using his first.

 

[drjeff]

This storm on radar is looking more and more like a dud for ski country, as the slug of moisture that was integral to getting some decent snow totals now appears to look like it's going way further South and East than the models thought....

 

[ss20]

So some good news and bad news...bad news is dry slot tonight after this initial round of showers means there probably won't be much on the ground come tomorrow. Good news is the cold air is coming in faster than previously anticipated, and that the wrap-around effect looks like it'll be greater Friday.

As of 8:10 Mt. Ellen summit temp per SB website was 45 degrees. The NOAA mountain point forecast for 8pm was 47 degrees, so we're running a couple degrees cooler which is good.

 

[Zand]

The precip heading to VT and NY is over Ohio. The first heavy precip was modeled to be off the NJ shore.

If anything, the slow developing precip on the wave heading north is a good thing. Less hours of rain before the change.

 

[ss20]

The precip heading to VT and NY is over Ohio. The first heavy precip was modeled to be off the NJ shore.

If anything, the slow developing precip on the wave heading north is a good thing. Less hours of rain before the change.

Correct, our snow is in Ohio. But @drjeff is kinda correct in that this thing shifted East huuuuugely and snow forecasts are down a bit from what they were at the start of the day. Jay, which was on the Eastern fringe of big totals is now gonna be the western side, lol. Northern NH mountains probably gonna end up doing quite well.

Whiteface/Gore skiers should be sweating bullet lol. NOAA Albany has a good write-up on what's happening....keep in mind they do not forecast for VT, that is done by Burlington, which is holding its forecast steady as of the latest write-up.

A slight but notable shift to a less amplified system
is evident in the majority of the 12Z guidance, leading overall
weaker lift. This has resulted in drier model consensus over
areas where the winter headlines are in effect, and it is
becoming increasingly doubtful whether we will hit Winter Storm
Warning criteria of 7" in 12 hours. Will leave headlines intact
for now to reduce confusion but future shifts can continue to
monitor.

 

[Zand]

I hadn't read this afternoon's BTV discussion, but they're surprisingly bullish.

Overall little change made from the previous forecast with
models remaining in fairly good agreement. Following the trends
of the NAM3/HRRR/HRDPS and this afternoons surface and radar
analyses, the most notable change is that the cold front
currently moving through the Ottawa Valley looks to track
slightly faster through the forecast area tonight, stalling just
east of the Connecticut River Thursday morning. The result is
colder air filtering into the region faster, but also a period
of drier air entraining aloft across northern New York later
this evening through midnight before the coastal moves over the
New England coastal waters and begins to deepen. Deepening takes
place a little slower and further east of the region over the
Maine coast Thursday, which in turn only helps to keep snow
lingering longer Thursday afternoon/night across northern areas.

All this said, the main idea we`ve been highlighting remains in
place with scattered rain showers across northern New York this
afternoon tapering off briefly this evening while blossoming
over Vermont from 00Z through midnight. Thereafter, rain will
become widespread again and transition to snow across northern
New York and the summit peaks of VT through 09Z, then through
the entire North Country except the lower Connecticut River
Valley by 12Z. Persistent light snow is expected through the day
Thursday, lingering into Thursday night across the higher
elevations and back into the Champlain Valley with Froude
numbers supporting severely blocked flow. By the end of the day
Thursday, snow accumulations remain on track to be in the 3-6"
range across central/northern portions of the CWA with locally
6-8" across the northwest slopes of the Adirondacks. Elevations
above 2000 feet will likely see upwards of 8-12" to the summit
peaks.

 

[WWF-VT]

This thread is comedy with people getting all jacked up about a "possible" 4-8" of snow at elevation in Northern VT on April 1st.

 

[ss20]

This thread is comedy with people getting all jacked up about a "possible" 4-8" of snow at elevation in Northern VT on April 1st.

That's 4"-8" more than most places got all March!

 

[MG Skier]

I'll be arriving at Jay on Friday, Skiing Saturday and Sunday.
I'll take whatever I can get new snow wise!
Zand, I can't remember if I was there for that storm or not in 2012...but it rings a bell!

 

[180]

i am more concerned that Saturday and Sunday are sunny and warm!

 

[kingslug]

Now..is it worth driving 5 hours...hmmm...