Is winter over in the Northeast?

[WinnChill]

I tell ya, it really helps to have real-time reports like yours. There's only so much we can tell from radar/satellite.

 

[psyflyer]

I tell ya, it really helps to have real-time reports like yours. There's only so much we can tell from radar/satellite.

I live at about 1600 feet and so far its still snowing and about half an inch on the ground. Im about to head into town and curious to see if they are getting snow and if it sticks, I will let you know. Summit should have an inch by now. Im truly hoping it continues into the day at which point I will carve it with my snowboard.

 

[WinnChill]

Cool thanks! Still some of this continuing into early this afternoon before it gradually slides northward (and warms). I nudged up summit accumulations a bit for NVT.

 

[psyflyer]

Cool thanks! Still some of this continuing into early this afternoon before it gradually slides northward (and warms). I nudged up summit accumulations a bit for NVT.

In town it just started to stick. My suv's temp gage says 32 in town and 31 here at 1600ft. Still snowing and I have almost one full inch on my deck by the looks of it, roads are all covered, its winter again around here! My neighbour whom I just saw said its pretty nice up there (meaning summit at Burke), Im gonna hit it later. After a Beer or two.

 

[billski]

I've been watching the NWS reports over the past five or so years. In general when they indicate "chance", the probabilities associated with it are usually quite low, which is another way of saying "it's unlikely we'll get anything at all, and if we do, it will be a dusting." It will make things look pretty, but won't change the skiing conditions one iota.

Having said that, it does appear that Wildcat might stand a chance of some interesting frozen precip, (after today's rain) given that marginal temps will be the trend. This could mean variable conditions - more winter like atop but more spring like lower half of mountain.

http://snowforecast.com/WildcatMountainSkiResort

Don't count the winter out yet, at least at Wildcat:

Per NOAA (Bolded interesting stuff):

Detailed text forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Windy, with a west wind between 32 and 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Windy, with a west wind 22 to 26 mph becoming south. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sunday Night: A chance of freezing rain. Cloudy, with a low around 29. Windy, with a southwest wind between 32 and 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Monday: A chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Calm wind becoming northwest between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Monday Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 24. West wind 5 to 13 mph becoming east. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday: Rain and snow. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28.

Thursday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: Cloudy, with a high near 18.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -4.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 20.

 

[WinnChill]

Plus, among other things, it's a confidence level thing too. The differences between computer model solutions are "blended" into forecasts 2 or 3+ days anyways.

The closer track will pull in more rain but perhaps northernmost resorts can hang onto the variable (elevation dependent) conditions. We'll keep adjusting on those areas.

How was your trip Bill?

 

[billski]

Plus, among other things, it's a confidence level thing too. The differences between computer model solutions are "blended" into forecasts 2 or 3+ days anyways.

The closer track will pull in more rain but perhaps northernmost resorts can hang onto the variable (elevation dependent) conditions. We'll keep adjusting on those areas.

How was your trip Bill?

Those are really great points. People get so fixated on silver-bullet forecasts that they lose sight of the ambiguities that generalizations and wide-area forecasting creates.

I'll write about my trip later today in a post over at the non-northeast trip forum. Needless to say, it will be somewhat non-traditional report.

 

[xwhaler]

Saddleback picked up 2" of snow yesterday. Was snowing pretty good on the upper mtn from 11 until 2 or so and then died down. Riding the Kennebago quad up starting about 3100 feet and going up to about 4000 you could really see the effect elevation was playing.

Really just a dusting though down at the base lodge when we left the mtn around 2:30.

 

[kingslug]

Looks like its going to be cold in the Cats this weekend...frozen in the morning and not warming up that much...base preservation.

 

[shortandsweet]

Don't give up yet. Much colder air on the way and maybe even some snow Friday and again Monday. Hey, remember April of 2007!!!!!

 

[Glenn]

Lows in SoVT look to be in the teens and 20's on Friday and Sturday night. It's gonna be like February out there. Maybe we'll get some snow...

 

[drjeff]

Lows in SoVT look to be in the teens and 20's on Friday and Sturday night. It's gonna be like February out there. Maybe we'll get some snow...

I'm gonna give the edges a little bit of extra attention (compared to a "normal" March tune) this Friday night. Plus, I'll have to do some extra snow temp calculations to figure out the right wax to use for our Duct Tape Derby sled on Sunday

 

[WJenness]

Hey, remember April of 2007!!!!!

I think this is the skiing equivalent to "REMEMBER THE ALAMO!!!"

-w

 

[Glenn]

I'm gonna give the edges a little bit of extra attention (compared to a "normal" March tune) this Friday night. Plus, I'll have to do some extra snow temp calculations to figure out the right wax to use for our Duct Tape Derby sled on Sunday

Excellent! I'm so excited for the event!

 

[billski]

NVT does not seem to pretty right now.

From Stowe this morning:
Only one black trail is open.

"The Gondola is on wind hold; Sunny Spruce Quad & Sensation Quad are on hold due to icing. It is snowing lightly this morning and we have picked up a dusting to 1" of new snow overnight. We groomed 27 trails last night and we recommend sticking to the groomed routes today. Steeper and ungroomed terrain has been temporarily closed until the snow softens. Winds are a bit blustery-- you may want to add another layer of clothing to fully enjoy your day."

Sugarbush:
"
Last Updated: Wednesday, March 24th at 9:25 AM
Good morning Sugarbush friends! With a couple of wind holds to report (plus a maintenance delay on the Super Bravo Express at Lincoln Peak), perhaps you'll want to take advantage of one of Mt. Ellen's last days of this season. Lincoln Peak's Heaven's Gate and North Lynx; and Mt. Ellen's Summit chairs are affected by this morning's 30-50mph gusts along our ridges, so stay tuned for today's further updates...
Surfaces on the hill are 'Spring Conditions' and 'Frozen Granular'. We anticipate all 111 trails being open today, as long as any scheduled lifts don't close. I plan to start my day on one of our 38 nicely-groomed trails, before testing for softening on others Currently, it's snowing lightly, but we should see the sun emerge by afternoon, with temperatures reaching the low 40's. That puts the spring skiing smile back on my face! Please note: Mt. Ellen's Inverness trail is closed for race training until 1:00 PM."


Jay Peak
most blacks are closed. 37/77 trails open, FGR.


MRG
"Come brave exciting new conditions, with skiing on Antelope to Catamount and onwards to Broadway/Easy Way. All which have been groomed and coming out better than most would expect. Additional runs will open as the ski patrol test them out and the day's weather settles in a bit. Yesterday's rain did turn over to snow over night. The conditions will be variable, changing as you travel down the hill and the groomers are the best place to play."


"Exciting new conditions"?? ooh, that sound a tad bit scary!




Smuggs
Can't find any qualitative report

 

[billski]

Plus, I'll have to do some extra snow temp calculations to figure out the right wax to use for our Duct Tape Derby sled on Sunday

Um, isn't making it down in one piece more important than speed? Waxing sounds like self-destructive behavior. I didn't think most of them survived!

 

[ski_resort_observer]

Um, isn't making it down in one piece more important than speed? Waxing sounds like self-destructive behavior. I didn't think most of them survived!

Not for speed. This time of the year some people have problems with sticking on the wet snow surface. Swix F4 Universal Glide wax or something equivalent is what is used.

 

[drjeff]

Not for speed. This time of the year some people have problems with sticking on the wet snow surface. Swix F4 Universal Glide wax or something equivalent is what is used.

Good 'ol fashioned liquid downy soap works pretty well too! Especially for the length of a Duct Tape Derby sled run there SRO :lol:

 

[shortandsweet]

Maybe not over yet

Probably a couple of inches across portions of NH and western ME Thursday night. Then...
various computer models showing the potential for some snow early next week but consistency between model runs and the models themselves has been poor. At least we will have some cold air to work with this time as arctic air overspreads New England by this weekend and hopefully holds on into early next week.

 

[jrmagic]

Nothing wrong with a little liquid teflon if you don't know how or don't have time to wax your skis;-)