Plenty of snow on the way, almanac predicts

[WWF-VT]

Anyone believe these predictions? Let's all hope they are right this year

http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=130055&ac=PHnws

 

[ALLSKIING]

When you see a forecast like that then yes...I believe.

 

[Ski Diva]

Isn't that what they said last year??????

 

[Grassi21]

I have a hard time believeing the 7 day forecast... But I sure do hope this comes to fruition.

 

[Greg]

I hope it's true. Is there any data out there that demonstrates the accuracy of the FA "predictions". It would be interesting to know their track record.

 

[RISkier]

Though I'm not looking at any actual numbers my impression is that this summer has been quite a bit cooler than the last couple so I'm hoping that bodes well for a colder winter. My take is that it's less about the total quantity of snow and more about getting less NCP and warm weather. Two feet of snow followed by 2" of rain and warm weather makes the snow total look good but doesn't really do much for conditions.

 

[Greg]

Though I'm not looking at any actual numbers my impression is that this summer has been quite a bit cooler than the last couple so I'm hoping that bodes well for a colder winter. My take is that it's less about the total quantity of snow and more about getting less NCP and warm weather. Two feet of snow followed by 2" of rain and warm weather makes the snow total look good but doesn't really do much for conditions.

I would agree that this summer has been relatively cool and wet. My grass was browner in May than it was all summer. We live at the top of a windy hill so the area usually dries out pretty quickly. Still my grass was growing at spring-time rates all summer. I think this weekend was one of the few times we had the A/C going all month.

I also agree that consistent cold is better for a ski season than is lot of moisture, especially if it's not always frozen.

 

[Zand]

Up here (well... up as in comparison to you Greg haha) it's been dry as a bone for the second half of the summer. We're running at something like 5" below normal since July 1. We haven't even seen a drop of rain since Friday the 17th.

 

[Phildozer]

Central Massachusetts is drier than a popcorn fart this Summer.

My lawn is brown and crunchy.

 

[GrilledSteezeSandwich]

Hell Yeah..I'm getting myself some Pontoons for all the Powder..

 

[Greg]

How does the Farmers' Almanac Predict the Weather?
Farmers’ Almanac long-range weather forecasts are calculated by Caleb Weatherbee who uses a proprietary formula developed by Farmers' Almanac founder David Young. This formula considers many factors, such as sunspots, moon phases, and other astronomical and atmospheric factors and conditions. Since 1818, this carefully guarded formula has been passed along from calculator to calculator and has never been revealed.

Unlike your local news, government, or commercial weather service, our forecasts are calculated several years in advance. Once the new year’s Farmers’ Almanac is printed, we can not go back to change or update our forecasts as many other local sources do. Given this fact, our forecasts must be somewhat generalized.

Although many longtime Almanac followers claim that our forecasts are 80% to 85% accurate, it should be noted that weather forecasting still remains an inexact science. Therefore, our forecasts may sometimes be imperfect. If you are planning an outdoor event, we recommend that you also check forecasts from local sources.

http://www.farmersalmanac.com/farmers-almanac-forecasts

Translation: It's all bullshit.

 

[ctenidae]

 

[ctenidae]

Translation: It's all bullshit.

Yeah, but it's bullshit that gives me a warm fuzzy feeling when I read it in the checkout line at the store.

 

[Kerovick]

I'm going to beleive it till it's proven otherwise then declare loudly that I knew all along that is was BS.

 

[Greg]

Yeah, but it's bullshit that gives me a warm fuzzy feeling when I read it in the checkout line at the store.

Indeed. I am totally behind this year's forecast in terms of hoping it comes true. Sweet smelling bullshit for sure!