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Temp drop will lead to alpine snow

Powderhound21

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Check this:
-------------------------
Rain; windy in the afternoon High: 46° F Low: 29° F
-------------------------


That is for the killington base. They have a 3000' vertical. Temp drops 4 degrees for every 1000'. This would equal out to about 34 degrees at the summit. I foresee snow-capped mountains.
 

awf170

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Powderhound21 said:
Check this:
-------------------------
Rain; windy in the afternoon High: 46° F Low: 29° F
-------------------------


That is for the killington base. They have a 3000' vertical. Temp drops 4 degrees for every 1000'. This would equal out to about 34 degrees at the summit. I foresee snow-capped mountains.

Its most likely from killingtons actually base which is 2,600... not the lowest point which is 1,100(i think)
 

riverc0il

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man, you guys all need to chill out and relax. the snow will come when it comes! 10/18 is a week out, the long term models look good but anything can happen. withdrawal is definitely getting people pumped up!
 

Zand

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riverc0il said:
man, you guys all need to chill out and relax. the snow will come when it comes! 10/18 is a week out, the long term models look good but anything can happen. withdrawal is definitely getting people pumped up!

Hey... we don't all go to Tucks in July like you. :blink:
 

riverc0il

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heh, c'mon Zand. i skied once in june and once in july, it was awesome but it wasn't that much more skiing that it really tied me over any more than most folks. not seeing how that has much to do with my post any ways. just saying relax... it'll get here when it gets here (i am starting to sound like BobR i think, heh!). i am excited about ski season too! very much looking forward to the first snow fall :beer: but i can't see obsessing about 1+ week forecasts.
 

Marc

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Powderhound21 said:
Check this:
-------------------------
Rain; windy in the afternoon High: 46° F Low: 29° F
-------------------------


That is for the killington base. They have a 3000' vertical. Temp drops 4 degrees for every 1000'. This would equal out to about 34 degrees at the summit. I foresee snow-capped mountains.

The problem here is that the base is not 3000 feet difference from the peak. The 3000 feet of vertical claim is largely BS because they measure all the way down to the Skye Ship base. The vert on the main gondola down to KBL I think is something like half that.

Not sure where the weather reporting is down though, elevation-wise.

At any rate, I'll be exciting when they actually start blowing the stuff...
 

Powderhound21

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Here is the forecast for the killington area Oct 21-25. With these temps (And yes, they are gonna change, but they give a rough idea) I would not see why they would not blow on the summit. If this is the forecast for the base lodge, and there is another nearly 2000' above it, This would chop 8 degrees off of the temps. I would find it hard to belive why they would not blow with highs around 42 and lows around 24.

-----------------------------------
Friday, Oct 21
Killington, VT Weather Rain; windy in the afternoon High: 49° F Low: 29° F

Saturday, Oct 22
Killington, VT Weather Rain or snow showers High: 48° F Low: 30° F

Sunday, Oct 23
Killington, VT Weather Mostly cloudy High: 46° F Low: 31° F

Monday, Oct 24
Killington, VT Weather Partly sunny High: 48° F Low: 32° F

Tuesday, Oct 25
Killington, VT Weather Mostly cloudy High: 48° F Low: 33° F
--------------------------------------

Would anyone beg to differ??
 

Tin Woodsman

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I'd beg to differ. The main K-Mart base is at 2500' while K-Peak is at 4200' - a difference of 1700'. Moreover, if they follow recent practice, they'll wait until they can open up something all the way to the main base area instead of doing the old upload/truck/ski/truck/download nonsense.

Most importantly, you really need to understand that any specific temp forecast beyond 3-5 days is next to worthless. Please, for your sanity and that of others on this board, don't waste time daydreaming about temps 10-14 days away. You want to start a discussion indicating how the long-range models look promising? That's cool - I'm right there with you. However, discussing the finer points of the AOL 15 day outlook has got to be the biggest waste of time I can imagine.
 

loafer89

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An important note is that the weather forecast for Killington are all forecasts for Rutland at 784', not for the KBL at 2,540'. There is often a huge temperature and weather difference between the two.
 

riverc0il

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I would find it hard to belive why they would not blow with highs around 42 and lows around 24.
not so hard to believe actually. ski areas are just as much concerned with the week AFTER a cold snap as the actual cold snap itself. if next tuesday it is 26 at night, the snow gurus will be looking at outlooks and models for the following week to determine if the snow they are about to blow will stick around or instantly melt. no use blowing top to bottom three weeks into october if it's just going to melt two weeks before they even open.

now the "blow the mice out" PR marketing gimic more definitely more than likely happen next week if the temps are cold enough.
 

ctenidae

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However, discussing the finer points of the AOL 15 day outlook has got to be the biggest waste of time I can imagine.

I don't know, debunking the discussion of the finer points of the AOL 15 day outlook is pretty far up that list.

Like I said before, it keeps us occupied, and is harmless (except to Greg's bandwidth bill, but that's why we love ya, buddy!)
 
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