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The Official 12/19/08 Storm Discussion Thread

Glenn

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Even here in CT it looks like a good storm. It'll be an interesting ride too and from the company Christmas party Friday night.
 

danny p

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backyard riding and snowshoeing tomorrow and this weekend! finally might get to hit some stuff I've been eyeing up! Stoked!
 

WJenness

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Just saw this on WCVB's site while looking at the local news:

snow1_640x480.jpg


-w
 

billski

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Congruency

NWS indicates almost all the models agree for Friday. Bring it on!

NEARLY EVERY PIECE OF GUIDANCE WE/VE LOOKED AT...INCLUDING
OPERATIONAL MODELS...THE SREFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE SUGGEST A GENERAL
STRIPE OF 0.5 TO 1.0 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTH.
THE SOUTH TREND IN THE MODELS THAT STARTED Y/DAY HAS PRETTY MUCH
ENDED...EVEN THE OFTENTIMES UNDER PERFORMING NAM HAS COME BACK NORTH.
WE/LL LIKELY SEE A LOW TRACK PRETTY CLOSE TO THE BENCHMARK.
HOWEVER...THERE/S STILL SOME WIGGLE ROOM HERE IN TERMS OF TRACK SINCE
WE/RE STILL 30-36 HOURS AWAY
. CHANGES IN TRACK WOULD LIKELY ALTER
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.
 

vcunning

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Just saw this on WCVB's site while looking at the local news:

snow1_640x480.jpg


-w

Cough, Cough. It looks like the whole family just got sick. I'm not sure we can make it into work and school on Friday. Cough. Cough. Don't want to infect anyone before the holidays.

Hopefully a noon departure on Friday to Southern Vermont works.

Unfortunately, the long range forecast is making it look like I might be sick through and including Monday.
 

Glenn

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V,
It looks like it'll be an awesome weekend up there. Not sure if my wife and I will be able to make it. Make some turns for us!
 

Greg

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V,
It looks like it'll be an awesome weekend up there. Not sure if my wife and I will be able to make it. Make some turns for us!

Any AZer that is within 90 minutes of Sundown should have their sights pointed there for tomorrow. [thread="44471"]Join us![/thread]
 

RootDKJ

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looking real good for PA as well. From NWS:
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME. PORTIONS OF THE LEHIGH VALLEY SHOULD HAVE LESSER AMOUNTS
AS MIXING IS EXPECTED WITH EVEN A CHANGEOVER TO SOME FREEZING
RAIN.
 

billski

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Prime time for Mass. Back Country. If I had a day I would be hitting the Thunderbolt for sure. Been wanting to catch that with good snow for years...

Hmm. That's a good thought. I just wish it had a little base.:idea:

Similar conditions (10-12 on no/low base), may be available via lift-served at Magic...
 

Glenn

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Any AZer that is within 90 minutes of Sundown should have their sights pointed there for tomorrow. [thread="44471"]Join us![/thread]

Two parties tomorrow...one at work...then the after work work party. D'oh! I'm hoping maybe, just maybe I'll at least get to fire up the ATV, click into 4wd and scoot around on that for a bit. It's kinda like skiing...but with cool engine noises and no poles. Maybe I'll get baggy jacket, b-ball jersey and ride in reverse (switch).
 

Greg

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Two parties tomorrow...one at work...then the after work work party. D'oh! I'm hoping maybe, just maybe I'll at least get to fire up the ATV, click into 4wd and scoot around on that for a bit. It's kinda like skiing...but with cool engine noises and no poles. Maybe I'll get baggy jacket, b-ball jersey and ride in reverse (switch).

Skip the parties. Problem solved.
 

bvibert

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Two parties tomorrow...one at work...then the after work work party. D'oh! I'm hoping maybe, just maybe I'll at least get to fire up the ATV, click into 4wd and scoot around on that for a bit. It's kinda like skiing...but with cool engine noises and no poles. Maybe I'll get baggy jacket, b-ball jersey and ride in reverse (switch).

Skip the parties. Problem solved.

x2

This is a pow day in CT we're talking about here! That easily trumps any work party!
 

Greg

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x2

This is a pow day in CT we're talking about here! That easily trumps any work party!

Right. Pow days in CT are rare. You have to take advantage of them. Plus those stupid work parties will probably be canceled. Consider this a CLIT initiation... :lol:
 

bvibert

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Right. Pow days in CT are rare. You have to take advantage of them. Plus those stupid work parties will probably be canceled. Consider this a CLIT initiation... :lol:

Agreed on probably being canceled, but if not then anyone who's worth talking to will be out slaying the pow anyway...
 

Greg

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Ugh. I actually used the term "pow". I hate that.

So Glenn - meet us on Temptor tomorrow afternoon, okay?
 

Greg

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Winter Storm Warning

We just got upgraded to Winter Storm Warning level:

RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
216 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-190415-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0013.081219T1300Z-081220T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0013.081219T1400Z-081220T0600Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
216 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM FRIDAY TO 1
AM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

HEAVY AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...
THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY. SNOW
WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY MORNING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER
OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY MIDNIGHT.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION FROM THIS STORM WILL BE 8 TO 16 INCHES
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...BERKSHIRES AND NORTHERN
LITCHFIELD COUNTY.
IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
LITCHFIELD COUNTY...7 TO 14 INCHES WILL FALL.

SNOW WILL FALL AT THE RATE OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR FRIDAY
AFTERNOON
...WHICH WILL SEVERELY IMPACT THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE.

THE STORM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SNOWFALL WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS
THE COUNTRY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...REACHING THE JERSEY COAST FRIDAY
EVENING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.
 
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