The Official 4/12 Storm Discussion Thread

[BushMogulMaster]

Greg... get your priorities straight. Ski first, family later! Just kidding :wink: :lol:

Just tell the wife that it's just this ONE time... just this one last time for this season. It may be rough for a day or two, but she'll get over it!

We really need to hook up and hit some bumps sometime! I'll be in Colorado next year, so I don't think we'll have a chance then. You can tell your wife that you have a very important meeting....... with me!

 

[powhunter]

Yea tell her ya have to go out and do a bump and powder survey analysis for the AZ!!

 

[powderfreak]

I see that NOAA is cutting back the amount of snow that would fall in interior Maine on thursday/friday to 1-5", do you agree with that?

Could Sugarloaf/Saddleback stay all snow from the second storm over the weekend?

Thanks

Ehhh not sure exactly what they're reasoning is, I'm sure its in the discussion but with the Gray NWS office you never know. They've got Watches out for their NH mountain zones for 6-10" and my personal feeling is those amounts should extend up towards Sugarloaf...I think I mentioned that in the first post and my thoughts are unchanged. GYX NWS office there agrees with the brief numbers I threw out for NH but they stopped at the NH/ME line for some reason. I think the Winter Storm Watches should got another couple counties up into ME.

-Scott

 

[powderfreak]

New NOAA HPC snow probabilities coming out. Here's the likely hood of 4" or more for day 2. I'm waiting for day 3 to come out.

This is a good site for those of you who like this stuff...
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml

 

[loafer89]

Ehhh not sure exactly what they're reasoning is, I'm sure its in the discussion but with the Gray NWS office you never know. They've got Watches out for their NH mountain zones for 6-10" and my personal feeling is those amounts should extend up towards Sugarloaf...I think I mentioned that in the first post and my thoughts are unchanged. GYX NWS office there agrees with the brief numbers I threw out for NH but they stopped at the NH/ME line for some reason. I think the Winter Storm Watches should got another couple counties up into ME.

-Scott

Any thoughts for the second storm? the NWS forecast for 1-2" of rain has me scared to postpone my ski trip and spend some mid week days at Sugarloaf next week.

 

[nelsapbm]

Winter Storm Watch just went into effect for my neck of the woods (NW VT).
From Burlington NWS -
"Light snow will develop across most of vermont and northern new york
between 2 am and 6 am Thursday morning. The snow will become heavy at
times during the day on Thursday. The snow may mix with or change to a
period of rain or sleet at times. There is a potential for 6 or more
inches of snowfall across the region on thursday."

 

[powderfreak]

Winter Storm Watch just went into effect for my neck of the woods (NW VT).
From Burlington NWS -
"Light snow will develop across most of vermont and northern new york
between 2 am and 6 am Thursday morning. The snow will become heavy at
times during the day on Thursday. The snow may mix with or change to a
period of rain or sleet at times. There is a potential for 6 or more
inches of snowfall across the region on thursday."

Only mixing with rain or sleet would be lowest possible elevations...ie Burlington/Greater CPV area up this way, but still looks like a heavy wet snowfall in Burlington.

 

[powderfreak]

Any thoughts for the second storm? the NWS forecast for 1-2" of rain has me scared to postpone my ski trip and spend some mid week days at Sugarloaf next week.

Could go either way...I think its late Sunday and Monday personally. But if you want to see another solution, a white one, today's 18z GFS had this on the agenda for April 16th. That's an April Blizzard for Monday. The 00z NAM is also trending towards a more coastal solution.

 

[deadheadskier]

Yes. Best april here in the last 8 years.

better than 01? I lived in Stowe that winter and remember the stake being over 130" at that time and doing front flips out of the second story of my house into snow on April fools following four feet in two days.

I imagine its close to that, but hard to say better. This April has been INCREDIBLE so far

dare I venture to say that we've got the best skiing in the country right now?

 

[JD]

Not as far as snow pack. Actually hit 144 that year I think, but as far as powder goes, I haven't seen so much dry light snow, that stuck around so long, in April. Ussually this time of year the snow turns manky by 11 o clock the day of the storm. This was truely like a mid winter event.

 

[ozzy]

thanks for the updated powderfreak. You rule!
April 2001 was probably better( not that this April is anything to sneeze at by all means), it didn't stop snowing for three weeks. I remember going to Jay, that was the year they scored 571"inches for the season, and the snow was piled higher than the Jay Peak General Store in their parking lot. That was the most snow I have ever seen on the east coast.
Manky, nice i like it i'll have to use that in my repitoire.

Lets hope sunday-monday stays white and not wet.

 

[ozzy]

oh yhea, powder freak
where's your blog I tried looking for it?

 

[win]

I have mentioned in the past that we use a private weather forecast to help us each day in snow plan. We get forecasts of temperatures and winds at various elevations, and it also includes a several day forecast of snow. It has been conservative all year with respect to snowfall. Today our forecast is for 9-16" by Friday pm and another significant snowfall on Monday. Roger Hill is saying that the Monday Nor'Easter could affect the entire East Coast and make things pretty miserable everywhere. Everywhere that is but the Mountains. As all know who have been out there, this may be the best April skiing and riding ever and it looks like we have at least another great ten days ahead of us. For those who are on vacation next week plan on some terrific skiing and riding. Lincoln Peak could still be 100% open through next week and maybe longer if these storms materialize.
The Rock will be great, but so will everything else. Please do not ski either Twist or The Mall, though.

 

[Greg]

Please do not ski either Twist or The Mall, though.

Those runs stink anyway...

 

[loafer89]

Warren and I are planning on leaving tomorrow night and staying around sugarloaf through sunday-monday depending on the weather.

 

[reefer]

Nice! Rumble is an experience. Enjoy it!

Glad you enjoyed the vid. Did Chris ever see it? When is he going to log in here?

Chris saw the video and so did (50) of his co-workers! I'm working on him to log in. He's a very busy person, he runs a company golf league down here, so it's a lot of planning and sceduling right now. He just lets me make the contacts and arangements whenever we ski.

 

[180]

Is Killington far enough north tomorrw?

 

[JimG.]

Is Killington far enough north tomorrw?

I was about to call you...you might consider going the extra hour north to Sugarbush. Looks like it's going to be a little warmer than first thought.

If I were totally insane, I'd get in my car and drive the 6 hours back up to Wildcat...all snow there.


Thanks for trying to fish me for the trip tomorrow...even though you already knew I just can't do it or I'll get fired. You have no idea how many times I've almost called you back.

 

[180]

I guess I should call you.

 

[JimG.]

I have had the snow touch this season.

Dumb luck.