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Week of February 2nd, storm speculation

MadMadWorld

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Leominster, MA
Folks, this thing is MUCH BIGGER than what the models expected.

The models basically called for a decent sized black lab, and a rottweiler is forming in the middle of the country

. If you've been looking at model depictions of this storm over the last few days, this should be pretty obvious just by glancing at the below.

1888670_10152229238488352_1150519666_n.png


EDIT: Okay, back to work, it's month-end close for heaven's sake, this is a terrible (wonderful) distraction.

So how much of a bump are we looking at?
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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North Reading, Mass.
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Resorts Feb 5 Feb 6 Feb 7 Total Base Depth

Elk Mountain Ski Resort
13"0"0" 13" 60"
Ski Denton
12"0"0" 12" 12"
Ski Sawmill
12"0"0" 12" 24"
Big Bear
11"0"0" 11" 30"
Blue Mountain Ski Area
11"0"0" 11" 60"
Big Boulder
10"0"0" 10" 36"
Montage Mountain
10"0"0" 10" 64"
Seven Springs
10"0"0" 10" 48"
Bear Creek Mountain Resort
10"0"0" 10" 48"
Eagle Rock
10"0"0" 10" 50"
Hidden Valley Resort
10"0"0" 10" 44"
Jack Frost
10"0"0" 10" 36"
Mount Pleasant of Edinboro
10"0"0" 10" 20"
Shawnee Mountain Ski Area
10"0"0" 10" 60"
Alpine Mountain
9"0"0" 9" 42"
Camelback Mountain Resort
9"0"0" 9" 48"
Spring Mountain Ski Area
9"0"0" 9" 55"
Whitetail Resort
9"0"0" 9" 50"
Blue Knob
9"0"0" 9" 34"
Liberty
9"0"0" 9" 48"
Roundtop Mountain Resort
9"0"0" 9" 55"
Tussey Mountain
9"0"0" 9" 24"
 

billski

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ski.iabsi.com
Folks, this thing is MUCH BIGGER than what the models expected.
.

OK time to make a run on it. And I don't mean to the grocery store, except maybe to load the vehicle with powerbars and gatorade.
Let those snow haters watch "storm central" naseously repeat the same dreadful news over and over:popcorn:

T-5 hours to safari time!
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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North Reading, Mass.
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...winter storm warning remains in effect from midnight tonight
to 6 pm est wednesday...

* locations...all of east central new york...southern vermont...
Western massachusetts and northwest connecticut.

* hazard types...heavy snow.

* snow accumulations... 8 to 12 inches of snow...with 12 to 15
inches in the higher elevations of the eastern catskills...
Berkshires and southern green mountains.


* maximum snowfall rates...one inch per hour.

* timing...late tonight through wednesday.

* impacts...dangerous travel conditions late tonight through
wednesday...especially the wednesday morning commute...possibly
into the wednesday evening commute.
 

4aprice

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Mar 14, 2008
Messages
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63
Location
Lake Hopatcong, NJ and Granby Co
OK time to make a run on it. And I don't mean to the grocery store, except maybe to load the vehicle with powerbars and gatorade.
Let those snow haters watch "storm central" naseously repeat the same dreadful news over and over:popcorn:

T-5 hours to safari time!

Bill: I've been thinking of you the past couple of mornings as the howls of "no more snow" have gone up from the NYC media (WPIX - NY for 1). I turned to my wife, who was rolling her eyes and told her its only going to get worse from here till spring. LET IT SNOW BABY:snow:

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

4aprice

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Lake Hopatcong, NJ and Granby Co
Poconos gets screwed (as usual).

6-10 predicted for CBK, on top of the 5 yesterday. Any mixing is supposed to be light and short and I doubt will have much effect on the skiing. Been a while since this happened and I gotta pinch myself to make sure its not a dream. Rooting for those up north as well.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

BenedictGomez

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Wasatch Back
6-10 predicted for CBK, on top of the 5 yesterday. Any mixing is supposed to be light and short and I doubt will have much effect on the skiing. Been a while since this happened and I gotta pinch myself to make sure its not a dream. Rooting for those up north as well.

Hopefully. It's bigger than modeled so it's certainly possible (I'm not buying 10" for the Poconos though).

But at this point, I'd be more worried about significant icing destroying the good conditions currently in the Poconos than any benefit of new snow. The Poconos are dangerously close to the ice zone, and remember this thing has been moving more north than modeled. HOPEFULLY it's also colder than modeled, which would move the entire r/s and ice lines farther south and leave the Pokes in safety.
 

BenedictGomez

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For example:

966896_669529509760516_490573268_o.jpg


Way TOO close for comfort. I want that to move south. One thing that might help is that the models are blind to CAD. So IMO I think this might look worse than reality will be and the Poconos will be spared, but it's worrisome.
 

moguler6

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Mar 16, 2009
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Resorts Feb 5 Feb 6 Feb 7 TotalBase Depth
Holiday Mountain13"0"0" 13" 40"
Belleayre12"0"0" 12" 65"
Hunter Mountain12"0"0" 12" 100"
Maple Ski Ridge12"1"0" 13" 77"
Plattekill Mountain12"0"0" 12" 30"
Windham Mountain12"0"0" 12" 60"
Catamount11"1"0" 12" 36"
Greek Peak11"0"0" 11" 36"
Labrador Mt.10"0"0" 10" 40"
Song Mountain10"0"0" 10" 54"
Toggenburg Mountain10"0"0" 10" 30"
Willard Mountain10"1"0" 11" 20"
Bristol Mountain10"0"0" 10" 62"
Holiday Valley10"0"0" 10" 44"
Holimont Ski Area10"0"0" 10" 36"
Hunt Hollow Ski Club10"0"0" 10" 48"
Mount Peter Ski Area10"0"0" 10" 52"
Tuxedo Ridge at Sterling Forest10"0"0" 10" 30"
Peek'n Peak9"0"0" 9" 40"
Kissing Bridge9"0"0" 9" 48"
Thunder Ridge9"0"0" 9" 45"
West Mountain9"1"0" 10" 36"
Royal Mountain Ski Area9"1"0" 10" 48"
Buffalo Ski Club Ski Area8"0"0" 8" 42"
Woods Valley Ski Area8"1"0" 9" 48"
Brantling Ski Slopes7"0"0" 7" 27"
Hickory Ski Center7"1"0" 8" 0"
Oak Mountain7"1"0" 8" 36"
Swain7"0"0" 7" 46"
Gore Mountain6"1"0" 7" 27"

These base depths are bogus. How does Hunter have a 100" base when they've only had 50" of snow all season.
 

St. Bear

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These base depths are bogus. How does Hunter have a 100" base when they've only had 50" of snow all season.

In the East Coast base depths are next to meaningless. There is too much variation from trail to trail, depending what has snowmaking, what has grooming, and the last time either was done.
 

BenedictGomez

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I hope this thing doesnt keep moving north, I was perfectly happy with the Catskills bullseye, but if this keeps up the way it is the bullseye will be north of that.
 
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