Week of March 17 to 23 2013

[BenedictGomez]

Maps have been rolling in over the last 24 hours, but I've been in ski country..... Below, for your viewing pleasure.

Today's 12z Euro snowfall predictive

Here's one of my favorite online weather wonk's guess

This one's from JB's kid

 

[hammer]

Still under the gun for too much in my back yard but this is the type of storm that ski country needs...

 

[billski]

Here's the resort-by-resort forecast from a non snowforecast source:

http://www.onthesnow.com/vermont/snow-forecast.html

No matter how you look at it, that's a lot of snow coming!

Life is good............

http://www.iabsi.com/public/ski/total_snowfall_forecast.html

 

[andyzee]

Starting to look like I picked a good week to be up here.

Killington:

7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Clear, with a low around 8. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Monday Increasing clouds, with a high near 30. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night Snow likely, mainly after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 21. Southeast wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Tuesday Snow. High near 32. Breezy, with a southeast wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Tuesday Night Snow. Low around 19. Light and variable wind becoming west 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

 

[Rikka]

I feel a sick day for Wednesday is in order!!

 

[polski]

I've got lodging booked in the MRV Mon and Tue nights and as is often the case my big concern, for Tue at least, is wind. From this afternoon's summit forecast for the Greens:

.TUESDAY...SUMMITS IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS IN THE MORNING...THEN SUMMITS BECOMING OBSCURED IN CLOUDS. SNOW. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER TEENS. SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH...DECREASING TO 25 TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO.

I realize that's the summits but the forecasts for the valleys don't call for wind to be much lighter. Appreciate intel from anyone familiar with effects of strong SE winds on lifts at MRG and SB. Looks like those would be crosswinds for most chairs at both places, with possible exception of Gatehouse and maybe North Lynx at SB. One person in my party does not skin, which would complicate things a bit if there are widespread wind holds. Thanks in advance ...

 

[BenedictGomez]

I feel a sick day for Wednesday is in order!!

Check the wind first. Most models seem okay with wind, but the GFS wants to bring several days of high winds (i.e. hopefully that model is wrong).

If the GFS is correct (hey, you never know), skiing wont be a pleasant experience until probably the weekend. I dont know enough about each model's individual biases to understand what's going on here, but the GFS panels seem WAY more windy than the ukie and Canuck, etc....

 

[ScottySkis]

Maps have been rolling in over the last 24 hours, but I've been in ski country..... Below, for your viewing pleasure.

Today's 12z Euro snowfall predictive

Here's one of my favorite online weather wonk's guess

This one's from JB's kid

Looking great for upcoming Bush trip, you going BG?

 

[billski]

No argument here. I feel a little under the weather...

 

[billski]

 

[ScottySkis]

No argument here. I feel a little under the weather...

You snow illness is the best kind of sick, have fun with the powder Billski.

 

[snoseek]

Leaving for Saddleback in 321....

 

[xwhaler]

Midweek powder day at one of my favorites in the East Saddleback...I'm jealous my friend...have a blast up there and look forward to a TR

 

[billski]

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 200 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 405 AM EDT MONDAY...A LONG DURATION MAJOR LATE SEASON SNOWSTORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH TWO PERIODS OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ANTICIPATED.

MUSIC TO MY EARS

...WITH ADDITIONAL UPSLOPE SNOW ANTICIPATE ON WEDS/THURS.

nirvana

 

[billski]

THIS SNOW MAINLY LOOKS TO HAVE RATIOS AT LEAST 10 TO 1 IN MOST PLACES...AND PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 15 OR 16 TO 1...WHICH IS RARE THIS LATE IN MARCH.


POWDER DAY(S)!

 

[from_the_NEK]

No argument here. I feel a little under the weather...

And yet again, Burke gets the snow shadow shaft

 

[ScottySkis]

Snow for the Bush, what great forecaster from snowforecast.com Mr Winnchill think?

 

[kingslug]

Any actual info on whats going on in the catskills..pretty nasty drive tomorrow if I want to go..have to be worth it.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Snowing pretty hard here in n.NJ. Such a shame that they say this will switch to rain here.

 

[billski]

Any actual info on whats going on in the catskills..pretty nasty drive tomorrow if I want to go..have to be worth it.

You're going to be going through a rain/ice/snow line somewhere along the way. In my experience unless you can pre-position tonight, you'd be better off hitting the road on Wednesday. The way I see it, there is going to be at least two mornings of pow, probably lasting the whole day. I'm counting on NOT MANY people, except the die hards already having hung up the sticks for the season.