12/9 Storm Discussion Thread

[JPTracker]

From Roger Hill

December 7th, 2009.

STEADY AS SHE GOES - MORE SNOW TO ACCRUE AT JAY PEAK

Jay Peak picked up 3 to 5” last night and is expecting another 4” to 6” today into Tuesday morning! Adding another “FOOT” to that is a strong possibility by late this week, with “**even more potential lake effect snows behind this significant storm” for Thursday and Friday.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW’S – A disturbance moving across the Great Lakes and northern New England Monday, will enhance moisture plumes downwind of Lake Ontario with Jay Peak a primary recipient.

The weather pattern is much colder now with the transition of this colder air over the weekend. With skiing conditions improving Tuesday, it looks like it'll be a great day to be on the slopes and you’ll want to bring your sun glasses as there should be sunny intervals, but the J-cloud orographic mechanism may keep flurries going from time to time throughout the day.

Higher winds and potentially heavy snow will work in on Wednesday, as a power house of a storm system in the Mid West curls northeast into the eastern Great Lakes region and passes to our northwest. Warmer air circulating around Wednesday’s storm from the south, may cause brief period of mixed precipitation late in the day Wednesday…before changing back to snow Wednesday night.

**Behind Wednesday’s storm, a pattern of rather intense Lake Effect snow was setting up as arctic air will blow across the relatively warm waters of Lake Ontario and Lake Huron with plumes of lake effect snows extending into the northern Green Mountain.

Bottom line – very good news – for boarders and riders with amounts of over two feet not out of the question by Saturday.

Looks like Jays going to get hammered again. Two feet by Saturday!

 

[JD]

From Roger Hill



Looks like Jays going to get hammered again. Two feet by Saturday!

You guys close to skiing natural snow up there?

 

[ZYDECORICH]

"Ullr is the god of skiing...Among his many skills, he was the god of skiing, archery, hunting, and was known to be quite promiscuous

As the undisputed master of skis, he often used his skill to escape from foes or track down prey in addition to shredding fresh POW."

It is said that Ullr was such a great skier that he would streak across the sky leaving the brilliant stars as his trails (they obviously had some fine powder days). Though very skilled, Ullr guarded his knowledge closely and refused to show the other gods how to ski. "


Every God has his goddess. The “Goddess of Snow” is Skadi (also the goddess of justice, vengeance, and righteousness, so don’t piss her off).

Which reminds me - the gods only skied with one pole, so they could handle a weapon with the other. Another reason not to piss her off!

http://www.ullr.org/WhatTheHeckIsUllr.htm
http://www.newwest.net/snow_blog/article/praying_to_ullr_and_skadi/C458/L41/

i am now educated.. thanks bill.

 

[ZYDECORICH]

A schnapps unavailable in CT. If anyone wants to ship me some, would be most appreciated. Can be ordered online but at a high shipping cost.


How is that different than any other woman?

AND THAT LOOKS TASTY! if i find any i'll let you know!

 

[ta&idaho]

I want this again later this week:



That was some epic early season upslope at the Big K.

Nice music choice:

I am hiding from some BEAST
But the BEAST was always here
Watching without eyes
Because the BEAST is just my fear

 

[Greg]

Nice catch! :lol:

 

[4aprice]

Boy what a difference a week makes. Even if we get slop on Wednesday (think a nice hard bullet proof base) things are really looking up and from what I understand its gonna get cold after that. I expected the snow to melt here in N Jersey Sunday and today but its holding on quite well. Joe Bastardi predicts a white Christmas for alot of the country. With decent snowmaking temps after Wed it looks like its T-4 days till I'm on the snow for my 43 ski season. The jones is rising.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[Greg]

Burlington update. Take a deep breath, it's one helluva long one:

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 300 PM EST MONDAY...ON TUESDAY...SFC RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WL MOVE ACRS OUR CWA. SOUNDINGS AND MOISTURE CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW PLENTY OF SHALLOW MOISTURE BTWN SFC AND 800MB
TUES...ESPECIALLY ACRS OUR MTNS ZNS...THEREFORE WL MENTION SCHC
POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS THRU 18Z...THEN CLRING. NOT EXPECTING MUCH
ACCUMULATION. OTHERWISE...2M TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER
20S MTNS TO L/M 30S VALLEYS. TUESDAY NIGHT...TEMPS WL QUICKLY DROP
EARLY ACRS OUR CWA WITH MAINLY CLR SKIES...BUT SOUNDINGS SHOW
INCREASE MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE AFT 06Z...ALONG WITH DEVELOPING
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS...WHICH WL RESULT IN TEMPS WARMING TWD
DAYBREAK. IN ADDITION...FEEL WAA SNOW WL BE APPROACHING OUR
EXTREME SW ZNS BY DAYBREAK...THEREFORE WL CONT TO MENTION CHC
POPS. COLDEST OVERNIGHT LOWS WL BE NEK WITH READINGS IN THE TEENS.

WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY...THE MAIN CHALLENGES WL BE PTYPE/AMOUNT...ALONG
WITH POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS. LATEST GUIDANCE IN VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH POSITION OF DEEP MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG SFC LOW PRES NEAR CHICAGO BY 12Z
WEDS. LATEST TRACK SHOWS SYSTEM LIFTING NE INTO CENTRAL
MICHIGAN...THEN INTO THE SOUTHERN OTTAWA VALLEY BY 12Z THURS...AS
SECONDARY COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS ON THE TRIPLE POINT NEAR WASHINGTON
DC. THIS DEVELOPMENT ADDS SOME COMPLICATIONS TO FCST...WITH REGARDS
TO HOW MUCH WARM AIR ADVECTS INTO OUR FA AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AND
EXACT PRESSURE GRADIENT BTWN THE TWO SYSTEMS. LOCAL TRRN AND
EXPECTED STORM TRACK WL HAVE A MAJOR ROLE ON PRECIP TYPE...WIND
MAGNITUDE...AND OVERALL QPF AMOUNTS.

FEEL OUR CWA WL HAVE 2 POTENTIAL WIND EVENTS WITH THIS UPCOMING
SYSTEM...FIRST WL BE SE DOWNSLOPING WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES
ON WEDS...FOLLOWED BY POST FRONTAL SW TO WEST WINDS WEDS NIGHT INTO
THURS ACRS THE ENTIRE CWA...WITH HIGHEST GUSTS IN THE DACKS/SLV.
PROGS SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LLVL SE JET OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS WEDS
MORNING ACRS OUR SOUTHERN ZNS...AND LIFTING NORTH THRU THE DAY.
LOCAL 4KM WRF AND 12KM NAM SOUNDINGS SHOW TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER
WINDS BTWN 40 AND 50 KNTS...WITH SOME HIGHER VALUES JUST ABOVE THE
MIXED LAYER. FEEL THIS WL SUPPORT AT LEAST WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA
ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES FROM RUTLAND TO CAMBRIDGE...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR EXPOSED MTN TOP LOCATIONS TO GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR SO ON WEDS. THE
NEXT THREAT WL BE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH SHARP PRES RISE COUPLET WEDS
NIGHT INTO THURS AS A 977MB LOW PRES LIFTS INTO SOUTHERN CANADA.
GIVEN...DEVELOPING DEEP MIXED LAYER AND FAVORABLE SW CHANNELING ACRS
THE SLV...FEEL SFC WINDS WL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE BTWN 25 AND 35
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ON WEDS NIGHT INTO THURS.
MEANWHILE...WINDS WL BE BTWN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ACRS
THE REST OF THE FA ON LATE WEDS NIGHT INTO THURS.

PRECIP TYPE/QPF AMOUNTS: GIVEN...INITIAL SFC TRACK TO OUR
WEST...EXPECT THE 1000-500MB 540 LINE TO BE A GOOD INDICATOR OF THE
SNOW TO MIX TO RAIN LINE ACRS OUR CWA. IN ADDITION...EXPECT STRONG
SE GRADIENT TO WARM DOWNSLOPING REGIONS OF THE GREEN MTNS QUICKER
THAN MODELS HAVE FCST AND LIMIT OVERALL QPF FROM RUTLAND TO
UNDERHILL TO CAMBRIDGE ON WEDS. HOWEVER...THE WORCESTER RANGE AND ON
THE SE UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE GREEN MTNS FROM LUDLOW TO JAY PEAK WL
SEE ENHANCED PRECIP AND LONGER DURATION OF FROZEN PRECIP...DUE TO
UPSLOPE COOLING EFFECTS. THE SAME WL OCCUR ON THE SE UPSLOPE REGIONS
OF THE DACKS. ALSO...SE DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE WHITE MTNS WL LIMIT
QPF AMOUNTS ACRS THE UPPER CT RIVER VALLEY ON WEDS. VERTICAL
SOUNDINGS ACRS THE FA...SHOW A COMPLEX THERMAL PROFILE WITH WARMING
BTWN 850-700MB OF ABOVE 0C BY 18Z WEDS...BUT A SIGNIFICANT COLD
LAYER BTWN 950MB AND 850MB OF TEMPS BTWN -2 AND -4C....BEFORE BL
TEMPS WARM TO ABOVE 0C AGAIN. GIVEN DEPTH OF FREEZING LAYER...EXPECT
A BAND OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET TO BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS BTWN 1500 FT AND 2500 FT...ESPECIALLY ACRS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN VT AND THE DACKS ON WEDS. MEANWHILE...ACRS THE
HIGHER TRRN OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MTNS/NEK...SOUNDINGS SHOW WARM
LAYER OF +1 TO +3C DEVELOPING AFT 21Z WEDS...THEREFORE SNOW WL
CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIXTURE WITH RAIN AND POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN
IN THE DEEPER VALLEYS. LIMITED DEEP/COLD SNOW PACK AND STRONG
WINDS WL HELP TO MIX LLVL COLD DENSE AIRMASS OUT OF THE DEEPER
VALLEYS QUICKER ON WEDS. THINKING SNOWFALL TOTALS WL BE A TRACE TO
2" CPV/WESTERN SLOPES (RUT TO CAMBRIDGE)...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MTNS...AND 2 TO 5" DACKS AND NORTHERN GREEN MTNS
IN VERMONT BY 00Z THURS. FEEL SOME ICE ACCUMULATION WL BE POSSIBLE
BTWN 1500 TO 2500 FEET ACRS THE DACKS/GREEN MTNS ON WEDS
AFTN/EVENING. IN ADDITION...COOL NE DRAINAGE WINDS DOWN THE
SLV...COULD RESULT IN SOME ICE ACCUMULATION NEAR MSS ON WEDS
AFTN/EVENING.

OVERALL QPF FROM INITIAL WAA LIFT/MOISTURE WL BE AROUND 0.25" ACRS
THE CPV/WESTERN SLOPES TO 0.25 TO 0.50" EASTERN/CENTRAL VT AND PARTS
OF THE DACKS/SLV. TEMPS WL BE TRICKY AND HIGHLY DEPEND UPON
ELEVATION AND WINDS...EXPECT WARMEST TEMPS IN THE DOWNSLOPE AREAS.
IF SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE COAST OCCURS QUICKER THAN
FCST...WARMER AIR ALOFT WL HAVE DIFFICULTIES REACHING OUR
FA...RESULTING IN GREATER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. ITS A COMPLEX SFC SETUP
WITH A DIFFICULT THERMAL PROFILE TO PINPOINT ATTM. STAY TUNED AND
EXPECT CHANGES IN THE UPCOMING FCSTS.

WEDS NIGHT...MID/UPPER LVL DRY SLOT WL ADVECT FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
ACRS OUR CWA...WITH BEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE STAYING ACRS THE
DACKS/SLV AND EXTREME NORTHERN VT ZNS. EXPECT MOST OF THE STEADIER
PRECIP TO TAPER OFF TO AREAS OF DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE...BUT AS
HGHTS FALL AND LLVL CAA DEVELOPS TOWARD THURS MORNING...PRECIP WL
CHANGE BACK TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATION WL
BE POSSIBLE ACRS THE HIGHER TRRN. TEMPS WL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
OVERNIGHT IN THE 30S MOST AREAS.
-- End Changed Discussion --


&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 300 PM EST MONDAY...HIGHLIGHTS DURING EXTENDED PORTIONS OF
THE FCST FROM THURSDAY ONWARD WILL BE CHILLY TEMPERATURES ALONG
WITH SCT TO NUMEROUS SHSN ACROSS THE MTNS AND LK SNOWBELTS. LATEST
MEDIUM RANGE OPERATIONAL AND SUPPORTING ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOWING
AFOREMENTIONED DEEP LOW PRESSURE PULLING AWAY INTO ERN
CANADA/MARITIMES THROUGH THE COURSE OF THU/THU NIGHT AS SFC COLD
FRONT SWEEPS WELL EAST. WILL ADVERTISE MAINLY MORNING HIGHS ON
THURSDAY AS TEMPS FALL THROUGH THE DAY UNDER STRONG CAA AND 850 MB
TEMPS FALL INTO THE -10 TO -12C RANGE BY EARLY EVENING. FCST
SOUNDING PROGS CONTINUE TO SHOW IMPRESSIVE TURBULENT MIXING
THROUGH THE DAY AS BNDRY LYR DEPTH INCREASES TO NEAR 800
MB...EASILY TAPPING INTO STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. WILL
ADVERTISE GUSTS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE GRIDDED DATA AND AS EVENT
DRAWS CLOSER COULD EASILY SEE HIGHER VALUES HERE...ESP IN THE ST
LAWRENCE/FAR NRN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WHERE ENHANCED CHANNELING LIKELY
TO DEVELOP.

THEREAFTER...MEAN WESTERLY FLOW SLOWLY ABATES FROM THURSDAY NIGHT
ONWARD AS ANY PCPN BECOMES MORE CONFINED TO OROGRAPHICALLY FAVORED
LOCALES AND THE LK ONTARIO SNOWBELTS. WILL MENTION SOLID CHC POPS
(30-50%) IN THE GREENS...AND CHC/LIKELY (40-60%) ACROSS THE DACKS AND
SNOWBELTS OF SRN ST LAWRENCE/SRN FRANKLIN COUNTIES FROM THU NIGHT
INTO EARLY SAT. DEEPER VALLEY SHOULD REMAIN ESSENTIALLY DRY WITH A
FEW PASSING LIGHT SHSN/FLURRIES FROM TIME TO TIME. MEAN 925-850 MB
TEMPS QUITE CHILLY WHICH SHOULD ENSURE A RATHER COLD STETCH ON TAP
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 18-28 RANGE AND LOWS 5 TO 15 ABOVE OR
SO. GIVEN SUCH MILD RECENT WEATHER THIS WILL BE A REALITY CHECK THAT
YES...AFTER ALL IT IS DECEMBER IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION BY SAT AFTERNOON WITH
COLD/DRY CONDS EXPECTED. BY SUNDAY/SUNDAY EVENING...REINFORCING SHOT
OF COLDER AIR PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH A RENEWED THREAT OF
SHSN...ESP ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS. A GENERAL RETURN TO COLD/DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK W/ADDL HIGH PRESSURE.
-- End Changed Discussion --

I guess that ll means check back later...

 

[RootDKJ]

Boy what a difference a week makes. Even if we get slop on Wednesday (think a nice hard bullet proof base) things are really looking up and from what I understand its gonna get cold after that. I expected the snow to melt here in N Jersey Sunday and today but its holding on quite well. Joe Bastardi predicts a white Christmas for alot of the country. With decent snowmaking temps after Wed it looks like its T-4 days till I'm on the snow for my 43 ski season. The jones is rising.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Yeah, me too. My lawn is still mostly covered. I'm hoping for the best on Wednesday.

Wed --> Friday is looking promising. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...0791016&site=phi&smap=1&marine=0&unit=0&lg=en

 

[4aprice]

Yeah, me too. My lawn is still mostly covered. I'm hoping for the best on Wednesday.

Wed --> Friday is looking promising. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...0791016&site=phi&smap=1&marine=0&unit=0&lg=en

Root:

They were making snow at Camelback Friday night. Hopefully a Sat opening.

This next system looks like one of those that will produce a small front end thump before mixing and changing over to rain. Not a terrible scenerio. I would think it would solidify what is down so far into a solid chunk of base. The good news is it supposedly gets cold after and they can throw some good snow on top of it. We're almost ready to set sail on 2009/2010

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[RootDKJ]

Root:

They were making snow at Camelback Friday night. Hopefully a Sat opening.

This next system looks like one of those that will produce a small front end thump before mixing and changing over to rain. Not a terrible scenerio. I would think it would solidify what is down so far into a solid chunk of base. The good news is it supposedly gets cold after and they can throw some good snow on top of it. We're almost ready to set sail on 2009/2010

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Blue is shooting for a Friday opening. Does CB usually offer a discounted early season/wrod reduced rate? If so, I might go out there Sat or Sun.

 

[kingdom-tele]

JD-

the natural snow that made it through the swamp out last week has set up into a porcelin like substance, its skiable but not totally enjoyable. Skied today and the snow that fell today has bonded really well - that being said though its still spark skiing - if the mountains can hold on and pull 6-8" of dense/rain crust snow, then add ina couple days of lake fluff - it would be quite decent - I doubt they get much running by the weekend and it could be a good skin around ( ps -its telefest this weekend so it will be an extra shit show)

 

[4aprice]

Blue is shooting for a Friday opening. Does CB usually offer a discounted early season/wrod reduced rate? If so, I might go out there Sat or Sun.

I don't know what they will charge. I certainly would not pay full price. I believe they will have 4 1/2 ways down from the top.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[RootDKJ]

I don't know what they will charge. I certainly would not pay full price. I believe they will have 4 1/2 ways down from the top.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

That's pretty good for opening day. Hopefully Blue will open Friday and then I won't have to "think" about where I'm headed.

 

[riverc0il]

ps -its telefest this weekend so it will be an extra shit show)

UGH! The suck!!! Here's hoping they are only running the Jet.

 

[Greg]

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
212 AM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...

.A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...AND INTO ONTARIO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...PRODUCING A BURST OF HEAVY
SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY MIXED PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM ALOFT. LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL PRODUCE OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT TO SNOW AMOUNTS ALONG THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...WHERE THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
SNOWFALL. ELSEWHERE...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM
3 TO 5 INCHES.

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-012-019-082200-
/O.NEW.KBTV.WS.A.0006.091209T0900Z-091210T0300Z/
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-WINDSOR-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...
STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
212 AM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF VERMONT...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATION ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VERMONT ON WEDNESDAY.
THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
GREEN MOUNTAINS FROM LUDLOW TO NORTHFIELD TO WALDEN.

* GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE MIXED
WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT TIMES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH
LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN VERMONT
DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WEDNESDAY...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES
BY MID-MORNING. AS TEMPERATURES WARM ALOFT...SNOW WILL MIX WITH
AND CHANGE TO SLEET...AND THEN AS A PERIOD OF RAIN BEFORE ENDING
WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM
WILL BE FELT WEDNESDAY MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...ACCOMPANIED
BY LOW VISIBILITY AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

Hope the rain is minimal.

 

[hammer]

Not too bad for SW NH and interior MA...hope the changeover to NCP is delayed...

WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

THIS WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AS WELL AS NORTHWEST... CENTRAL AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT VALLEY BETWEEN 3 AND 5 AM WEDNESDAY... AND SHOULD REACH THE MERRIMACK VALLEY BETWEEN 5 AND 7 AM. THE SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES... PERHAPS FALLING AT THE RATE OF ONE INCH PER HOUR DURING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

THE ARRIVAL OF MILDER AIR WILL CAUSE THE SNOW TO CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING... BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGE TO RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAST THIS TRANSITION WILL TAKE PLACE.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE... WITH THE 8 INCH AMOUNTS LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS INTO SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW. ANYONE PLANNING TRAVEL SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY TRAVEL PLANS IF NECESSARY.

 

[andrec10]

I'll take it!

Local weather forecast for Hunter. Not a powder day, but better than all r***.

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT... AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW... ENDING TOMORROW EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS COULD TOTAL 4 TO 8 INCHES. SOME SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN IS EXPECTED MIX IN AT TIMES TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

 

[wa-loaf]

A morning at WA may be in order, depending on when the rain hits. They're saying 8 inches in that area before change-over.

 

[WinnChill]

Looks like the southeastern Whites and over towards Sugarloaf/Sunday River could get some enhanced upslope snowfall for higher accumulations. Sure, some mixing works in but heavier precip could suppress snow levels a bit. A mixed bag of offsetting factors but that area could make out the best. I updated things over at our site to reflect that. Opening days are imminent!

Cheers,
WC