12/9 Storm Discussion Thread

[4aprice]

3-5 for the Poconos tonight before change over but the model depiction I saw didn't show a ton of rain after so it should be a net gain of snow pack. Strange to me is that the wind was out of the north with a little bite during my morning workout and I expected it to be out of the south.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[mlctvt]

5-10 inches forecast for southern VT!!!

Issued by The National Weather Service
Albany, NY
4:25 am EST, Tue., Dec. 8, 2009

... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR POTENTIALLY 7 INCHES OF SNOW OR MORE... MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET IN SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT... AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW... ENDING TOMORROW EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS COULD TOTAL BETWEEN 5 TO 10 INCHES... AND SOME SLEET AND RAIN MAY MIX IN AT TIMES TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... SLEET... OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

 

[Glenn]

Heh. What a difference a week makes. Last week, I was bent because it was warm. This week...I'm happy.

 

[billski]

I wish ALY Albany forecast office would get with the Snow Forecast Total graphics. All the other offices are doing them!

 

[Glenn]

Bill, is that liquid precip in that map?

 

[billski]

Bill, is that liquid precip in that map?

no no no no no, that's the GOOD STUFF - snow! If there is liquid, it's ignored. Also remember, these are flatland/valley numbers: above 2000' it's almost always better.
SNH and Central MA will get hammerd too:

 

[xwhaler]

WSCH6 in Portland is forecasting 9-14" for the Rangeley (Saddleback) region FWIW
Opening Day on Friday could be very good!

 

[catsup948]

I thought I would put up a post after my friend Chris.

Looks there will be a good amount of snow falling out in Berkshires as well. 5-10 in Adams. Could be nice base for the Thunderbolt.

 

[Glenn]

Thanks Bill!

Yeah, looks like Southern NH will pick up a good amount. Any maps of Souther VT..specifically Windam County?

 

[WinnChill]

Southern NH not too bad before that mixing (warmer air aloft) works in to tamp down front end accumulations--northern areas make out better as they hold out longer before the mixing. Look for that moisture to pack up against southeast slopes of the southern Whites (and over to ME)...could be decent there

 

[dmc]

The national weather service in albany has issued a winter
weather advisory for the eastern catskills for snow...which is in
effect from midnight tonight to 7 pm est wednesday.

Snow will spread across the region late tonight...and continue
through the day tomorrow...ending tomorrow evening. Accumulations
could total 4 to 8 inches. Some sleet...freezing rain and rain is
expected mix in at times tomorrow afternoon

 

[wa-loaf]

For MA and WA:

THIS WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AS WELL AS NORTHWEST... CENTRAL AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT VALLEY BETWEEN 3 AND 5 AM WEDNESDAY... AND SHOULD REACH THE MERRIMACK VALLEY BETWEEN 5 AND 7 AM. THE SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES... PERHAPS FALLING AT THE RATE OF ONE INCH PER HOUR DURING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

THE ARRIVAL OF MILDER AIR WILL CAUSE THE SNOW TO CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING... BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGE TO RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAST THIS TRANSITION WILL TAKE PLACE.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE... WITH THE 8 INCH AMOUNTS LIKELY TO OCCUR FROM THE WORCESTER HILLS OR HIGH TERRAIN OF FRANKLIN COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS INTO SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

 

[WJenness]

-w

 

[Johnskiismore]

Saa-weet!!! This region looks to get 6-10 inches!

 

[deadheadskier]

Saa-weet!!! This region looks to get 6-10 inches!

Is there a line where it will be all snow and most importantly will Ragged fall north of it :grin:

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

good news for all in north country...all NCP here on Island....I'd prefer snow too, but at least its falling where it counts.....

 

[Greg]

Warning

Much of Vermont was just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning!

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...

.A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY
BRINGING A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW.

VTZ004-006>008-010-012-019-090500-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0006.091209T0900Z-091210T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.WS.W.0007.091209T0900Z-091210T0300Z/
ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-WINDSOR-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...STOWE...
ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...SPRINGFIELD...
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON
348 PM EST TUE DEC 8 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN VERMONT. THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ALONG THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS FROM LUDLOW TO NORTHFIELD
TO WALDEN.

* GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT TIMES
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* SNOW WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
WEDNESDAY...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY MID-MORNING. THE SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN DURING
THE AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING IN THE EVENING. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM WILL BE FELT WEDNESDAY MORNING AND INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER
HOUR...ACCOMPANIED BY LOW VISIBILITY AND GUSTY WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

 

[billski]

Thanks Bill!

Yeah, looks like Southern NH will pick up a good amount. Any maps of Souther VT..specifically Windam County?

That's what I was originally b#$##%#ing about. Albany would be responsible, but they are not with the program. You can however get their zone forecasts in text.

ALY is giving discouraging guidance however.
AS FOR FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL...IT APPEARS TO MAINLY BE FOR HIGHER

ELEVATIONS AS WELL...MAINLY ABOVE 1000 FT...

 

[Greg]

Flood Watch? WTF? Albany just issued a flood watch for my area, while Taunton has a Winter Weather Advisory and 2-6" in Western Hartford County. Guess it's time to Now-cast.

 

[Greg]

One freakin' monster of a storm...