2/12 storm speculation

[Tin]

Looking like the Berkshires and Catskills are the place to be, 12-18???

 

[Rowsdower]

Yeah, Butternut is gonna be going off. The Catskills and Camelback are gonna hit the jackpot as well.

Sick.

 

[SnowRock]

If you were me... I will be able to sleep home and likely make it to Cmaleback or Mountain Creek Thursday and maybe even Friday depending upon who gets hit better and not have to do much juggling with work and life. Or do I try and grab a room up in the Cats tomorrow night so I can hit Hunter and enjoy the westside when its really good and have to juggle more work and life?? Decisions decisions

 

[flightschool]

I hope Joe Bastardi is right and GFS is going to keep shifting 20 miles west each run to come in line with the Euro. That would mean a powerful storm for almost all of ski country. He thinks it will be locked in by tomorrow AM

 

[WJenness]

Time off request going in now... Thursday & Friday, I will be Out of Office.

 

[lstone84]

3'+ in SNH get there quick

 

[The Sneak]

Probably going to BEast solo on Monday. Hopefully that saturday system refreshes things...

 

[ScottySkis]

I hope Joe Bastardi is right and GFS is going to keep shifting 20 miles west each run to come in line with the Euro. That would mean a powerful storm for almost all of ski country. He thinks it will be locked in by tomorrow AM

Catskills is the place to be with this one.

 

[lstone84]

nah i think pat's peak 3' fri am

 

[BenedictGomez]

Mets Snow Guesstimates incoming!!!!

 

[BenedictGomez]

The Catskills and Camelback are gonna hit the jackpot as well.

Given the extreme NW-cutoff, there's a chance the Poconos are going to get screwed badly out of the heaviest snow. I'm not saying that's going to happen, and if the western trend continues it wont, but there will be places in PA that get screwed for sure.

Note how the 12zNAM displays the sharp cutoff from BIG snow, to Decent snow, to "snow, what snow?", in just a 40 or 50 mile shift.

 

[flightschool]

Catskills is the place to be with this one.

Southern Maine and NH may do better FYI. Storm is going to intensify as it moves NE from what i've seen. Not saying that will happen, but it could. Looks like catskills will do great no matter what so if you're playing the probability strategy, go Catskills.

 

[flightschool]

Given the extreme NW-cutoff, there's a chance the Poconos are going to get screwed badly out of the heaviest snow. I'm not saying that's going to happen, and if the western trend continues it wont, but there will be places in PA that get screwed for sure.

Mixing in Pocono's or just no precipitation? Never mind. sorry! Although CMC is showing mixing into allentown PA.

 

[Rowsdower]

Given the extreme NW-cutoff, there's a chance the Poconos are going to get screwed badly out of the heaviest snow. I'm not saying that's going to happen, and if the western trend continues it wont, but there will be places in PA that get screwed for sure.

Note how the 12zNAM displays the sharp cutoff from BIG snow, to Decent snow, to "snow, what snow?", in just a 40 or 50 mile shift.

This looks like the Catskills and Pokes get screwed. Hopefully it tracks a bit more NW. I don't need the snow, but the mountains do.

 

[lerops]

I might have screwed Smuggs by booking with them yesterday. Sorry NEK!

 

[Tin]

Baltimore, NYC, and Philly? The Weather Channel will go Full Snowmagedon Ret... on this.

"Tens of millions in the path of deadly winter storm (Greek or Roman God name here)!"

 

[skifree]

damn. I need milk and bread


beer

 

[Puck it]

damn. I need milk and bread


beer

And eggs!!!!!

 

[BenedictGomez]

This looks like the Catskills and Pokes get screwed. Hopefully it tracks a bit more NW. I don't need the snow, but the mountains do.

12z Euro is out and it came slightly west'ish, which is good for Poconos (obviously), so they should be fine if that track verifies. Any west movement is good for Poconos and Cats.

I think most mets are being conservative at this point, it wouldnt shock me if lots of folks end up with 15"+ out of this.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Joe Bastardi's map with timeline.

He's expecting heavier snow to penetrate deeper into ski country than most are thinking.