2/12 storm speculation

[Boston Bulldog]

Not buying the NAM. The precip shield should be relatively large on this one due to the lack of pure arctic air carving out a sharp backedge. Should be a glancing blow for NNE, not a major hit.

This one is juiced. Reminds me of the January 2011 systems; crushes SNE and gives a nice snowfall to the ski areas. If the EURO brings a track back over TAN (It's been waffling between just SE of TAN and NE of the benchmark lol), we're back in business.

 

[Boston Bulldog]

There is a small system coming from the great lakes screwing things up... :angry: I'm going to Sugarbush Sat/sunday and if this thing doesn't turn NW i'm going to need a moment to myself.

I believe that system will be phasing with the main event. The weekend looks good for a moderate snowfall Sat/Sat Night (idk about the timing) right now, as BG said.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Strange... strange. I've never seen such a sharp cut off, on both sides.

The eastern cutoff isnt really a storm cutoff, it's just that that's a snow map and there is too much warm air on that side for snow. The western cutoff is where the storm ends.

 

[Boston Bulldog]

The eastern cutoff isnt really a storm cutoff, it's just that that's a snow map and there is too much warm air on that side for snow. The western cutoff is where the storm ends.

I know, just the cut off from Rain to Snow is so sharp on that map. I would at least expect it to have a more SE-NE gradient to it as well as a more gradual cut off. Also the western cut off seems too pronounced. I believe the snow shield will be large in this storm due to the lack of pure arctic air.

 

[BenedictGomez]

The first "First Call" map I've seen.

 

[Rowsdower]

Just don't reschedule my Thursday morning class... I want to get to the mountains Friday.

 

[billski]

Not buying the NAM. The precip shield should be relatively large on this one due to the lack of pure arctic air carving out a sharp backedge. Should be a glacing blow for NNE, not a major hit.

This one is juiced. Reminds me of the January 2011 systems; crushes SNE and gives a nice snowfall to the ski areas. If the EURO brings a track back over TAN (It's been waffling between just SE of TAN and NE of the benchmark lol), we're back in business.

Catastrophic, record-breaking, monumental, killer-storm, gridlock, panic. 'cmon weather.com and accuweather, let's pump this one up!

 

[sf77]

This will be excellent for everyone that is heading out skiing over the President's Day Weekend. I'll be on the mountains on Saturday and Sunday and this new snow will be AWESOME!:lol:
It will once again be a more southerly tracking snow with more of the heavy snow in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Fine with me though because I'll be skiing on fresh powder in MA.
I agree with the widespread amounts of 8-12+ all across New England.

 

[gmcunni]

this storm and Magic Mtn could be a nice pres weekend combo

 

[vermonter44]

Its been a ton of snow here in South Jersey. Hopefully it trends north and gives ski country some nice snow.

 

[xwhaler]

this storm and Magic Mtn could be a nice pres weekend combo

$39 ride and ski tickets this Sat at Magic.....RSNE tour stop

Sent from my VS980 4G using AlpineZone mobile app

 

[Wavewheeler]

Wow, looks like a home run for the Catskills and Poconos. I want to do a run up to Camelback. I was thinking Thursday. Have Jeep, will travel in snow. I'm inclined to do Friday but I'm thinking with the beginning of a holiday weekend, a lot of people taking off early and the roads being cleared that CB will be a zoo. I'll probably have the place to myself on Thursday.

Looks like a rain/mix where I am. Hopefully this will trend NW.

Either way I get to listen to all my friend bitch about how horrible this winter is. I don't know..I'M having an AWESOME time!

 

[gmcunni]

$39 ride and ski tickets this Sat at Magic.....RSNE tour stop

i can't find this, can you point me to it? google no help me

 

[xwhaler]

Www.rideandskine.com

Click on weekend tour

Sent from my VS980 4G using AlpineZone mobile app

 

[catsup948]

I have two Magic vouchers I need to use but Berkshire East being a bit south looks like they may get more snow.

Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk

 

[BenedictGomez]

Bastardi's kid's first call map

Went with just a snow threat map. Still just too much uncertainty with where the track of the low will actually end up. Farther west=heavy snow farther west with mixing on the coast. Farther east=heavy snow in the I-95 corridor down through Central NC, while areas farther inland get little to no snow. **Area outlined in Purple- Highest chance of 18-24"+ snow.

 

[BenedictGomez]

00z GFS comes another 40 miles NW. Not that I care. Garbage model playing catch-up to other models. Cant wait to see the 00z Canadian!

 

[billski]

nek including jp are having a lousy year. Well, as someone said, it's socialist snow. Spread the wealth! I'll be back in town on Saturday, I may have to go out and pay some steep amount. Should have bought the magic pass!

 

[billski]

been too busy working. Wow, this looks handsome!

 

[flightschool]

Accuweather snow map out - good for everyone except Northern VT. JP, Stowe, SB get shafted again.