2/19 - 2/20 Storm Discussion Thread

[billski]

Haven't seen any forecast amounts on NWS, where did you see that?

NWS
forecast.weather.gov
Pick a town.
Select "Hourly Weather Graph"
Forward to Wed/Thurs/Fri

Watch these http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml move for about 24 hours and you get a sense of what might happen to.

it's actually worked out handily for me all season. Again, closer to the event, more accuracy. I stop tracking at 24 hours ahead and start packing.

 

[tcharron]

NWS
forecast.weather.gov
Pick a town.
Select "Hourly Weather Graph"
Forward to Wed/Thurs/Fri

Ahh, ok. Yea, I look at the hourly weather graph as well, but sometimes it's actual snowfall amounts seem vague.

 

[billski]

Ahh, ok. Yea, I look at the hourly weather graph as well, but sometimes it's actual snowfall amounts seem vague.

As they should this far out.
The key is interpretation; not literal; in context; subject to change.
It's the trend that matters.

 

[billski]

Josh fox is getting worked up over this one http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/

I just wish he will be right.

 

[roark]

Models keep heading north. Hope ends up tracking a bit south again.

 

[Johnskiismore]

Josh fox is getting worked up over this one http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/

I just wish he will be right.

Me too!

 

[polski]

The way most medium- to longer-range forecasts have played out this winter, personally I am going to expect the worst and be happy for anything that is not the worst.

Also seeing mention in NWS-Burlington discussion of possible advisory-level wind on the back end. So while I'm trying to take Friday off (no matter what happens, to have a day with my kids during their vaca week) I'm kinda expecting that if anything I'll be looking for sloppy seconds on the weekend. And you know what? I'd be fine with that, as long as there's enough wrap-around snow on top of whatever might happen earlier.

 

[GrilledSteezeSandwich]

I think this storm is going to be a giant bust!!!!

 

[hardline]

Probably skiing Killington or Sugarbush Saturday, Stowe Sunday and ???? Monday..

ill be at stowe on sunday and stratton on monday and tues.

 

[riverc0il]

Cleared for vacation on Thursday, sah-weet. Bring it.

 

[billski]

Cleared for vacation on Thursday, sah-weet. Bring it.

gogogo!

Bullseye looking like the Whites and Maine.
could be another Black Mt. day...

 

[riverc0il]

gogogo!

Bullseye looking like the Whites and Maine.
could be another Black Mt. day...

I am not making the destination call until Wednesday when snow estimates become more solid. Black is not really on the table. Much as I love no competition powder days, I am also in the mood for some serious terrain. Cannon and Burke are my options for the I-93 corridor. Anything in the NoVT Route 100 corridor is on the table as well. We'll see how this thing comes together.

 

[psyflyer]

Local forecasts are calling up to 1 foot at Burke Mountain, problem is local forecast is likely wrong

However we have been getting snow as 3 days ago we got 2 inches, then we got one inch on both Sunday and Monday and overnight we got another inch and is still snowing pretty heavy here with big white fat flakes. Today will be a great time on the mountain as we could get a few more inches judging by the way its snowing now.

 

[hammer]

Looks like SNE will take one for the team with this one...

 

[mishka]

from forecast for Bethel ME on Weather.com :
" Feb 18 Tomorrow night
Snow along with gusty winds at times. Low 23F. Winds SE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Significant snow accumulation possible. ": :

I will be at Sunday River on 19th

 

[billski]

NWS Gray Maine:

EXPECT A GENERAL 6 TO 10
INCH SNOWFALL OVER MOST OF THE CWA.

 

[salsgang]

For Maine... They are creeping the changeover to rain line inland a bit... Looks like somewhere between Norway and Bethel is the all snow line. Still OK for SR, Mt. Abram, SL and Saddleback... not so good for Shawnee. Looks like a Windy event Thursday... hope it dies down Friday.

We are pre-positioning in Central Maine Thursday night ready to take on Saddleback Friday! I want a powder day Friday! Stay Snow!

 

[billski]

Burlington Vermont NWS:
"
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK AND EASTERN
GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT BY THURSDAY EVENING."

 

[snake]

how does 16" sound for maine?

 

[billski]

Gray, Maine NWS, 3:45PM:
"
...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LOOMS FOR WESTERN MAINE AND
NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...


LOOK FOR THE SNOW TO DEVELOP FROM WEST TO EAST DURING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING
INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. AS MILDER
AIR TRIES TO COME ONSHORE NEAR THE COAST...THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH
OR EVEN CHANGE TO RAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL END THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWEST MAINE...BUT CONTINUE ACROSS THE REST OF
THE AREA INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AT THIS TIME...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF
STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH SIGNIFICANTLY
MORE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE AND INTERIOR SECTIONS
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MAINE.