2/3 Storm Discussion Thread

[KingM]

It would be christmas for the second time this year up here @ Burke if we get a pounding after today.

Jeez, I hope not. We had rain for Christmas this year.

 

[psyflyer]

Jeez, I hope not. We had rain for Christmas this year.

Burke did not. It snowed all day.

 

[from_the_NEK]

The weekend after Christmas was pretty miserable

 

[from_the_NEK]

BTW since greg started this thread we are doomed to have a crap storm :flame:

 

[awf170]

Come on Monsoon rain for MA! I'm hoping for at least 3 inches of nice warm rain to watch away all that worthless snow. I want to go mountain biking.




I do hope that up north gets dumped on though.

 

[Moe Ghoul]

Fear not, northerners, for the Snowjesus returns to the Kingdom to set camp at Jay, next Tues-Saturday. Epic snow shall bless that mountain.

 

[loafer89]

ALL MODEL GUIDANCE
POINTS TOWARD AN INSIDE RUNNER FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WHICH
TRANSLATES TO HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL ALONG WITH FLOODING GIVEN CURRENT
SNOW PACK HOLDING 2+ INCHES OF LIQUID.

 

[Warp Daddy]

The only certainty in these WEATHER GUESSERS repertoire is this : It's sure to get dark at nite followed by lighter skies in the morning --- the rest is up for grabs

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

agreed, still to early to even think whats going on...i'm stressing, headed to MRG next Friday, SB Sat and Sun....praying for more snow...I dont care what happens here on LI, just as it snows in the mtns.....

 

[mondeo]

Got a wind and temperature prediction to go along with that?

Winds will be variable, with gusts possibly up to 50 mph.

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

looks like it may have shifted east taking the L off the Cape coast....thats what we want!!!!


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
425 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2009

EXTENDED RANGE MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY MONDAY AND THEN MOVE
UP THE EAST COAST LATE MONDAY NIGHT...AND THEN JUST SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND EARLY TUESDAY...WITH THE GFS AND CANADIAN GLOBAL MODELS
BRING THE LOW ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WHILE THE ECMWF
HAS THIS LOW MOVING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD ON TUESDAY. OPERATIONAL MODELS
HAVE BEEN TRENDING FURTHER EAST WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW...WHERE
MODEL RUNS THE PAST FEW DAYS HAD IT GOING FURTHER TO THE WEST.
ECMWF MODEL SHOWED THE BIGGEST DEPARTURE FROM 24 HOURS AGO...WHEN
IT HAD THE LOW TRACKING ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA INTO CENTRAL
NEW YORK STATE ON TUESDAY. THE LATEST ECMWF MODEL RUN NOW HAS THE
LOW TRACKING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD ON TUESDAY. THE EASTERN TREND
OF THE MODELS WITH THIS LOW FOR TUESDAY HAS THE IMPLICATIONS FOR
OUR REGION BEING COLDER ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND THUS
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL LIKELY BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. THIS FAR OUT
THERE STILL IS PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY ON WHAT THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS LOW WILL BE...AND THUS HOW HEAVY WILL THE PRECIPITATION BE
FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE LOW WERE TO TRACK ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WHICH WOULD IMPLY THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW
ACROSS OUR REGION. ONCE THE LOW MOVES INTO CANADA ON
WEDNESDAY...SOME RESIDUAL LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY

 

[danny p]

^^^^ thanks for the positive update!!! fingers crossed!!

 

[Glenn]

I'm hoping for the best. I'd rather see nothing at all vs. "the r word".

 

[hammer]

Guess I should check out the Accuweather forums and see what all the meteorology wannabes from Indiana and Ohio are saying now...:razz:

I actually would not mind an NCP event in my back yard if it still snowed further north...the snow is really piling up at home and the kids have had enough snow days.

 

[long island boarder]

Any thoughts on how Sugarbush will fare for this storm or is it too early to speculate?

 

[psyflyer]

local forecasts are not giving us any info as they are waiting for more clarity. That said we got a couple of inches overnight and its currently snowing HEAVY. White big inch-wide flakes have been falling steadily for over 2 hours now adding to our 2 overnight inches. Today should be great overall.

 

[billski]

It's going to be something big.

Jesse Ferrell at Accuweather says the models are comparable with the 1993 blizzard and the 2007 Valentine's Day Storm, or at least close enough to bring into the same discussion. Check out those maps of snowfall from those two storms. Enough to make one drool.

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-...ontent/Weathermatrix/archives/2009/01/wow.asp

Yeah, well, the cynic in me says look to other sources. Accuweather also called this week's snow "massive." Nontheless, I am still hopeful for another dump. I am burning incense to the almighty Ullr as I write :razz:

 

[KingM]

I was alarmed the first time they mentioned this storm, but I'm starting to grow hopeful. It also means some extra work for me as I really should spend Saturday shoveling off the roof and moving snow mounds around so that I'll have somewhere to put a big dump. We're already pretty snowed in.

In the meanwhile, I'll be at the Bush today. Should be some of the best skiing of the year. Wednesday was awesome, even though the place I went had most of the mountain on wind hold.

 

[St. Bear]

Accuweather is now saying that the storm is slowly shifting east, with the heaviest stuff aimed directly at the Adirondacks.

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&blog=weathermatrix

 

[JD]

Nice. Another storm for my Wednesday/Thursday off next week.