Another 09/10 Winter Forecast

[St. Bear]

I don't know what the difference is between this new winter forecast, and the one that came out a few months ago. It's pretty much the same thing. As we get closer to winter, it does seem like the models are supporting these forecasts.

I guess the more consensus among forecasters the better!

 

[Johnskiismore]

I like those models!

Just moved into my new house, no snow blower, no shovel, no money to buy a beater 4X4 for plowing, and a pretty big driveway... northern New England will get slammed this winter!

 

[Glenn]

I like those models!

Just moved into my new house, no snow blower, no shovel, no money to buy a beater 4X4 for plowing, and a pretty big driveway... northern New England will get slammed this winter!

Thanks for helping out! :beer:

 

[Johnskiismore]

Thanks for helping out! :beer:

You're welcome, I'll drink one or five to that!:beer:

 

[ERJ-145CA]

I like that forecast, looks good for northwestern NJ.

 

[wa-loaf]

I like those models!

Just moved into my new house, no snow blower, no shovel, no money to buy a beater 4X4 for plowing, and a pretty big driveway... northern New England will get slammed this winter!

Don't put any snows on your car either ...

 

[St. Bear]

Accuweather's Canadian Weather Blog released their preliminary winter forecast. Some east coast highlights:

Mean pattern for January
--Snowy pattern from the interior Middle Atlantic and Northeast U.S up into eastern Quebec and the Maritimes. Equal chances rain or snow close to the coast and in the major cities as Arctic air intrusions would be rare ahead of the storms.

Mean pattern for February
--Overall, February looks very similar to January, according to the European. ... Also, it looks a little colder (slightly below-normal) from eastern Canada down into the eastern third of the U.S. with more intense storms coming up through the East or just off the coast and up into Atlantic Canada. Could be a snowy month from the Appalachians to just inland from the Northeast U.S. coast and then up into eastern Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick.

Mean pattern for March
--Active storm track across the southern U.S. again and then up along the eastern seaboard.
--Above-normal rain and snow along the East Coast and into the coastal Maritimes. Plenty of snow from the Appalachians up into eastern Ontario, Quebec, New England and New Brunswick.

In closing......Based on this model alone, we would expect a pretty good ski season over the Appalachians from North Carolina and Virginia up through eastern Quebec and from the Sierra Mountains through the southern Rockies. Ski areas out in western
Canada would end up with much less snow compared to normal. Hopefully, the stormy pattern going on as we speak out west will translate into a well established base of snow that can carry through the winter.

I know that long range forecasts are kind of a crapshot, but when so many different models and "experts" are starting to put out similar scenerios, that's got to be a good sign, right?

 

[billski]

Accuweather's Canadian Weather Blog released their preliminary winter forecast. Some east coast highlights:
I know that long range forecasts are kind of a crapshot, but when so many different models and "experts" are starting to put out similar scenerios, that's got to be a good sign, right?

Nothing against you, but they don't call it "Crapuweather" for nothing.:-o

 

[St. Bear]

Nothing against you, but they don't call it "Crapuweather" for nothing.:-o

All human wisdom is summed up in two words - wait and hope.
~Alexander Dumas

 

[4aprice]

Nothing against you, but they don't call it "Crapuweather" for nothing.:-o

Actually bill, he is interpreting the Euro Model forecast and that is usually the best model in winter.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[4aprice]

It looks like the news is getting better. Chat on the weather boards pointing to a change around Thanksgiving.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[billski]

The real problem is that nobody here has made a sacrifice to Ullr yet!

 

[riverc0il]

One blogger on Famous Internet Skiers has posted suggesting some new analog years to potentially compare this season to including 04-05 and 06-07 which were two of my best years. I am game for that.

 

[Johnskiismore]

One blogger on Famous Internet Skiers has posted suggesting some new analog years to potentially compare this season to including 04-05 and 06-07 which were two of my best years. I am game for that.

I like, my snow tires are not on....

 

[riverc0il]

I like, my snow tires are not on....

Neither are mine. I have never not had my snows on by December since I started using them.

 

[Glenn]

Please keep your snows off. That should get us at least one or two "surprise" storms. :lol:

 

[hammer]

The real problem is that nobody here has made a sacrifice to Ullr yet!

How does one sacrifice an old snow blower? :wink:

 

[billski]

One blogger on Famous Internet Skiers has posted suggesting some new analog years to potentially compare this season to including 04-05 and 06-07 which were two of my best years. I am game for that.

I hate long range forecasts.
Scott and Lionel have pretty much kissed off T-weekend skiing.
http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/weather/
At least they are being honest!
All we can do is hope at this point.
back to the leaves this w/e

 

[billski]

How does one sacrifice an old snow blower? :wink:

hammer, no,no, no! You're not with the program. You must sacrifice virgins only! 8)

 

[riverc0il]

I hate long range forecasts.
Scott and Lionel have pretty much kissed off T-weekend skiing.
http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/weather/
At least they are being honest!
All we can do is hope at this point.
back to the leaves this w/e

If this warm spell lasts much longer, you might start having to climb trees to keep busy raking. I imagine you are getting pretty close to done by now!