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Hurricane Earl Speculation Thread

hammer

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Trying to figure this one out...have a rather important outside activity on Saturday and while it would be interesting to have a storm the timing would really suck.
 

WJenness

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One of my friends may get to experience this hurricane twice...

She's in Anguilla right now on a family vacation and the hurricane is passing just to the north of the island right now.

She comes home (to MA) on Wednesday and may get to see Earl again this weekend.

-w
 

Glenn

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Trying to figure this one out...have a rather important outside activity on Saturday and while it would be interesting to have a storm the timing would really suck.

Me too. It's the first day of "Summer Brewfest" at Mt. Snow. A lot of people will be :angry: if it's rained out.
 

EOS

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One of my friends may get to experience this hurricane twice...

She's in Anguilla right now on a family vacation and the hurricane is passing just to the north of the island right now.

She comes home (to MA) on Wednesday and may get to see Earl again this weekend.

-w


Tell her to bring a camera on the plane with her in case she can see the cloud formation of the hurricane on the flight back!
 

2knees

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supposed to go camping starting friday night in R.I. seems like the cape and the islands might get whacked pretty good out of this but no commitment yet as to how far west its gonna go.
 

gmcunni

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145314W5_NL_sm.gif
 

2knees

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either way, you gonna be one wet boy!

that sounds REALLY creepy.....


Not gonna go friday if its pouring since i have both my kids with me. i dont think they would enjoy it too much.
 

drjeff

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Me too. It's the first day of "Summer Brewfest" at Mt. Snow. A lot of people will be :angry: if it's rained out.

Glenn, baring some major slow down of the cold front coming in from the West that in all likelyhood will keep Earl offshore, the biggest effect Earl will have on brewfest is a few decent wind gusts. The timing of Earl's passage is more likely to have any rain that reaches So VT occur Friday night when you and me and our better halves are consuming some adult beverages at your place! :beer:

If by some chance Earl comes inland and causes a cancellation of brewer's fest for Saturday, I'll host my own, and you know where that would be held! :)
 

drjeff

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supposed to go camping starting friday night in R.I. seems like the cape and the islands might get whacked pretty good out of this but no commitment yet as to how far west its gonna go.

This is one of those storms where 30 or 40 miles difference in the track will be the difference between some wind and light rain for RI this Friday evening/Saturday and serious WIND and RAIN. Either way the surf at the RI beaches (and any South facing at first and then Easterly facing beaches later) should be mighty impressive to see
 

hammer

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supposed to go camping starting friday night in R.I. seems like the cape and the islands might get whacked pretty good out of this but no commitment yet as to how far west its gonna go.
Tent camping in the rain sucks...hope you can wait it out or cancel.
 

ctenidae

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Hope it goes east- don't want to pull the boat this close to teh end of the season- like packing your ski gear "for a minute" in mid March.
 

drjeff

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*fingers crossed* but the models are starting to show that cold front coming in from the West should win out the battle to steer Earl away from a New England landfall by a few hundred miles :)

post-13231-1283309098.png


Still 60 to 72 hours to go though, but atleast for most of today, the projected storm tracks for just about all of the forcasting models have been taking Earl more to the East with each new model run, and that's very good news for the New England coast!
 

Glenn

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Glenn, baring some major slow down of the cold front coming in from the West that in all likelyhood will keep Earl offshore, the biggest effect Earl will have on brewfest is a few decent wind gusts. The timing of Earl's passage is more likely to have any rain that reaches So VT occur Friday night when you and me and our better halves are consuming some adult beverages at your place! :beer:

If by some chance Earl comes inland and causes a cancellation of brewer's fest for Saturday, I'll host my own, and you know where that would be held! :)

Awesome Jeff! It looks like it's tracking a bit more East...and that's a damn good thing. But hey, it is always good to have a "Plan B". :beer:
 

SKIQUATTRO

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will be surfing today and tomorrow (friday will be just nuts) and hopefully some left over swell for the weekend...
 

Warp Daddy

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*fingers crossed* but the models are starting to show that cold front coming in from the West should win out the battle to steer Earl away from a New England landfall by a few hundred miles :)

post-13231-1283309098.png


Still 60 to 72 hours to go though, but atleast for most of today, the projected storm tracks for just about all of the forcasting models have been taking Earl more to the East with each new model run, and that's very good news for the New England coast!

That's great for coastal NE , we plan to be in Harwichport/ Chatham region for a week starting 9/13 after a week in Bolton Landing on Lake George , Would have hated to see serious damage or beach erosion
 

skijay

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I was vacationing back in August of 2004 on Lido Key (Sarasota, FL) and we were told to evacuate due to Charley's path was to hug the Gulf coast with eyes on Tampa, FL.

We did find a place in Sebring, FL and left the Thursday (12th) in the morning before the 6pm - "have to be off the key" time.

It was horrible to find a place since most of the gulf coast evacuees went towards Orlando (our first choice). Our hotel in Sebring had "Hurricane Charley free zone" posted under their name.

At about 2:00pm (Friday the 13th) while in Sebring, FL at the Wal-Mart, the announcement came over the loud speaker, that this store will be closing shortly due to the change in Hurricane Charley's path. Starting around 5:00 pm that night, I was in my first hurricane. It was to much later before the power went out and the landline phones went dead. However, my Verizon cell phone had full signal during the storm and we were able to keep in touch back home in CT to get weather reports.

To make a long story short, Charley made a direct hit of Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda and moved north. We were in it's path. We were on the right side and yes there was damage, but it was equal to a Cat 1 storm (we were told this when down there).

It goes to show how unpredictable a hurricane can be. We can be here in CT and at 12 noon on Friday and hear a "Hurricane Warning" alert go out. You never know.
 
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