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Pre-MLK weekend weather tracking

BenedictGomez

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So the 12z GFS that just came out has bent to the Canuck. The Poconos still get messed up bad, but NY & VT get snow. Berks mostly snow, NH a mixed bag. Hopefully this verifies as it could save our bacon. Oddly though, the 12z Canadian looks "less good" than it did yesterday, with rain/sleet/snow in the Cats/Berks (mostly rain though), NH a mixed bag, but it still mostly spares ADK and n.VT at least, which is what I selfishly primarily care about.
 

Smellytele

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So the 12z GFS that just came out has bent to the Canuck. The Poconos still get messed up bad, but NY & VT get snow. Berks mostly snow, NH a mixed bag. Hopefully this verifies as it could save our bacon. Oddly though, the 12z Canadian looks "less good" than it did yesterday, with rain/sleet/snow in the Cats/Berks (mostly rain though), NH a mixed bag, but it still mostly spares ADK and n.VT at least, which is what I selfishly primarily care about.

For all of next week? How far north is n. VT?
 

cdskier

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So the 12z GFS that just came out has bent to the Canuck. The Poconos still get messed up bad, but NY & VT get snow. Berks mostly snow, NH a mixed bag. Hopefully this verifies as it could save our bacon. Oddly though, the 12z Canadian looks "less good" than it did yesterday, with rain/sleet/snow in the Cats/Berks (mostly rain though), NH a mixed bag, but it still mostly spares ADK and n.VT at least, which is what I selfishly primarily care about.

Apparently the Euro trended colder as well...
 

BenedictGomez

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Apparently the Euro trended colder as well...

Havent seen it, but that's excellent news if true.

For all of next week? How far north is n. VT?

For the event. Take this as "ish", but Stowe/Smuggs, JP would all be protected well. Southern Vermont would no longer get destroyed by soaking rain, but get sleet, rain, snow, mixed bag sort of thing. Trend is friend, and at this point, I'd just be happy that perhaps there's an "out" from the destructive look this has/had as opposed to hoping for a fresh 7" of snow.


EDIT: Meh, I'll briefly come out of weather-weenie retirement to show you the "worst" looking panels on the GFS and the CMC for the duration of the storm.

So these looks are as bad as it gets, which are nowhere near as bad as it was just a day or two ago with rain all the way to Montreal'ish.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_19.png


gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_21.png
 
Last edited:

dlague

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For the benefit of those on the east coast, this discussion should join the other in the weather thread or at least the second half thread. But there are three threads having similar discussions.

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snoseek

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Welp maybe, just maybe we'll evade disaster once again up at Wildcat. Anytime anything wet has come in up there its comes with snow/mix and mostly a net gain. This has happened numerous times here's to hoping it happens again
 

cdskier

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For the benefit of those on the east coast, this discussion should join the other in the weather thread or at least the second half thread. But there are three threads having similar discussions.

I rarely ever look in the weather part of the forum, so I'm happy seeing the stuff posted in this part of the forum as well! :cool:
 

JDMRoma

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At this point I'm just hoping the loaf escapes unscathed


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bdfreetuna

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I'm not gonna lie I'm really excited this looks to be a nice hit. Of course I don't have to say don't take my word for it.
 

slatham

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Havent seen it, but that's excellent news if true.



For the event. Take this as "ish", but Stowe/Smuggs, JP would all be protected well. Southern Vermont would no longer get destroyed by soaking rain, but get sleet, rain, snow, mixed bag sort of thing. Trend is friend, and at this point, I'd just be happy that perhaps there's an "out" from the destructive look this has/had as opposed to hoping for a fresh 7" of snow.


EDIT: Meh, I'll briefly come out of weather-weenie retirement to show you the "worst" looking panels on the GFS and the CMC for the duration of the storm.

So these looks are as bad as it gets, which are nowhere near as bad as it was just a day or two ago with rain all the way to Montreal'ish.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_19.png


gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_21.png

Interesting, weatherbell p-type map for same time on Canadian has snow in SoVT......
 

deadheadskier

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Welp maybe, just maybe we'll evade disaster once again up at Wildcat. Anytime anything wet has come in up there its comes with snow/mix and mostly a net gain. This has happened numerous times here's to hoping it happens again
Cute blonde woman at the bar today said hope you all back next Tuesday and Wednesday. I'm calling 8" early next week up here.

I'm trusting her outlook.

To your point, outside of last week, Cat has made out with snow several times this season when the long term forecast called for rain.

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snoseek

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Cute blonde woman at the bar today said hope you all back next Tuesday and Wednesday. I'm calling 8" early next week up here.

I'm trusting her outlook.

To your point, outside of last week, Cat has made out with snow several times this season when the long term forecast called for rain.

Sent from my XT1565 using AlpineZone mobile app

Wait what cute blond?!

Anyhow ill be up Sunday and Monday if Youre around.
 
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