powderfreak
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- Jan 9, 2007
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Mid and Late Week...
Most of the major ski resorts in northern New England and upstate NY will be able to make snow for a better part of the day (likely all day at the summits) from tomorrow night through Saturday. Low elevation highs look to be around 40 or low 40's (I'm talking 1,000ft and below) with near freezing for highs at 3,000ft. Lows will be in the teens and twenties. With high pressure overhead for Thurs and Fri, snowmaking conditions will be optimal. Expect big production from those looking to open a little earlier than the rest of the pack.
Weekend...
Next interesting wx feature is a clipper for Friday night/Saturday. It looks to dive too far south at this point for the north country, but could effect the northern mid-Atlantic and SNE areas with a mix of rain and snow. This could easily be the first snowflakes for the Mid-Atlantic/SNE region above 750ft in elevation (parts of CT, S.NY, NW.NJ, etc). I'll be monitoring this as it should produce a coastal low (a Miller B type system) with a snow/rain shield to the north and west. Precip amounts look light but maybe a 1-2" snow for some areas outside true ski country. Today's 12z EURO had this shown pretty well and is in the middle ground of medium range guidance.
Just saw today's 12z Canadian and it went apesh*t with a heavy early season snowstorm from ME back through northern CT. It has the 500mb trough going negative and then cutting off parking a surface low just N of Cape Cod..with a good amount of wrap around moisture. Food for thought considering the GFS has been showing nothing to write home about. The GFS is having a hard time with the tempo of a couple shortwaves in the northern stream later in the week and shoves the first one out to sea quickly...while the Euro and Canadian show the first amplifying enough to take on a neutral to negative tilt somewhere off the SNE coast.
-Scott
Most of the major ski resorts in northern New England and upstate NY will be able to make snow for a better part of the day (likely all day at the summits) from tomorrow night through Saturday. Low elevation highs look to be around 40 or low 40's (I'm talking 1,000ft and below) with near freezing for highs at 3,000ft. Lows will be in the teens and twenties. With high pressure overhead for Thurs and Fri, snowmaking conditions will be optimal. Expect big production from those looking to open a little earlier than the rest of the pack.
Weekend...
Next interesting wx feature is a clipper for Friday night/Saturday. It looks to dive too far south at this point for the north country, but could effect the northern mid-Atlantic and SNE areas with a mix of rain and snow. This could easily be the first snowflakes for the Mid-Atlantic/SNE region above 750ft in elevation (parts of CT, S.NY, NW.NJ, etc). I'll be monitoring this as it should produce a coastal low (a Miller B type system) with a snow/rain shield to the north and west. Precip amounts look light but maybe a 1-2" snow for some areas outside true ski country. Today's 12z EURO had this shown pretty well and is in the middle ground of medium range guidance.
Just saw today's 12z Canadian and it went apesh*t with a heavy early season snowstorm from ME back through northern CT. It has the 500mb trough going negative and then cutting off parking a surface low just N of Cape Cod..with a good amount of wrap around moisture. Food for thought considering the GFS has been showing nothing to write home about. The GFS is having a hard time with the tempo of a couple shortwaves in the northern stream later in the week and shoves the first one out to sea quickly...while the Euro and Canadian show the first amplifying enough to take on a neutral to negative tilt somewhere off the SNE coast.
-Scott
