The Official 12/16 Storm Discussion Thread

[Greg]

Still looks like a mix for the Berks, but the forecast is still better than it was a few days ago with a high of only 32 on Friday. Hopefully, it will stay predominently frozen...

 

[freeheelwilly]

wunderground.com calls for "heavy snow accumulation" in Wilmington, "moderate snow accumulation" in North Creek. Might be a Whiteface day.

That I agree with.

All the maps looks like Whiteface, Jay, Stowe, etc. will get pounded.

Whiteface perhaps but the rest..?? Not so sure at this point.

This is the latest outta the NWS Burlington Office:

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CAROLINAS EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST UP THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND BE AROUND NEW JERSEY EARLY
FRIDAY...AND THEN NEAR BOSTON EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THE NAM MODEL
LOOKS A BIT TOO FAR WEST WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW ON FRIDAY. GFS
MODEL NOW FURTHER EAST THAN NAM MODEL...AND TAKES LOW OVER BOSTON BY
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GFS MODEL TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY THE
EUROPEAN MODEL (ECMWF). THIS FURTHER EASTWARD TRACK CLOSER TO THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN ALL THE DENSE COLD
AIR OVER THE REGION. THE EUROPEAN MODEL 24 HOURS AGO ALSO HAD THIS
SAME EASTERN TRACK. THUS...WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS MODEL FOR THIS
FORECAST WHICH MEANS COLDER TEMPERATURES...AND PRECIPITATION TYPE IN
THE FORM OF SNOW. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ON
FRIDAY WILL BE FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WESTWARD TO THE ADIRONDACKS
AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. MODELS SHOW THAT THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM OF
VERMONT WILL BE SHADOWED BY THE WHITE MOUNTAINS IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...WITH LESSER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THERE. SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. PER COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING
OFFICES...HAVE HELD OFF ON ISSUING ANY WATCHES AT THIS TIME...SINCE
SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNTIL LATE IN THE FOURTH PERIOD...AND
MOSTLY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY (FIFTH PERIOD). WILL UPDATE THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ON THIS UPCOMING STORM.


Now, we're at least 24-36 hours away from this thing gettin' cranked up and as we all (should) know by now, the exact track of these things is notoriously difficult to forecast but as of this particular point in time, Whiteface looks like the winner, at least as far as the NWS Burlington office is concerned. FWIW. :beer:

 

[Marc]

Blech, sleet and freezing rain for around here...

I'm probably gonna spend my Friday night blocking the road for mofo power lines. Super.

 

[salida]

I think Maine (sugarloaf/sunday river) and possibly wildcat will be winners in this one...

 

[ALLSKIING]

I like this pic for Catamount on Tue.
http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/weeklyplannerusnational/usnationalweatherfriday_large.html

 

[Tin Woodsman]

I think Maine (sugarloaf/sunday river) and possibly wildcat will be winners in this one...

Nah - too far to the East me thinks. Lots of warm air at the mid levels there. Whiteface and perhaps Jay will do best here, IMHO.

 

[freeheelwilly]

Latest exerpt from NWS Burlington Office:

STILL EARLY TO PIN DOWN EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW/SLEET...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS ERN SECTIONS WITH GREATEST THREAT FOR MIXED
PRECIPITATION/ZR. BEST GUESS NOW WOULD BE 6-12" FOR THE ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY AND NRN ADIRONDACKS. 4-8" ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND
MOST OF VT...EXCEPT LESSER AMOUNTS IN THE CT/PASSUMPSIC RIVER VALLEY
WHERE SOME ICE ACCUMULATION IS ALSO FORECAST.


Don't walk RUN to Whiteface this weekend (Actually just kidding. Stay home. I'm sure it'll miss us and the skiing will suck)

 

[Zand]

It doesn't look like we'll get much snow over here, but I think everythting will stay frozen. Freezing rain turns into nice snow when groomed. As long as the NCP stays to the east (like everyone except the Weather Channel, who is always WRONG, says) I'll be happy. Looks like another school cancellation on Friday too.

 

[awf170]

I think Maine (sugarloaf/sunday river) and possibly wildcat will be winners in this one...

Nah - too far to the East me thinks. Lots of warm air at the mid levels there. Whiteface and perhaps Jay will do best here, IMHO.

No, it will defiantly be Cannon, and remember me going friday has nothing to do with this opinion :wink:

 

[salida]

Vermont is going to dry slot, Maine might be warm... depends, either White Mountains which will shadow vermont, or Maine, I still feel good about Maine.

Cannon will undoubtedly do well out of this storm. Maybe they can start opening things up, or better yet, leave them roped off, it wouldn't bother me!

 

[awf170]

Cannon will undoubtedly do well out of this storm. Maybe they can start opening things up, or better yet, leave them roped off, it wouldn't bother me!

I want them to open the lifts just not the trails :wink: Avalance, paulies, and zoomer laps would be sick if zoomer chair was running for just garys to be open. I doubt it will happen so I will be doing a whole lot of hiking(it should be a whole lot of skinning but my freerides didnt come yet )

 

[bigbog]

..........

Living in the North East and complaining about snow :roll: . I just don't get that. Why not complain about gravity or magnetism while you're at it.

Ditto!....C'mon guys, what's the interest in Boston forecasts?? Granted, I love the seashore, but the hills are up north...the temps are steady up here this season!....snow being blown every night... 8)

 

[ALLSKIING]

Looks more like an ice storm now. Hope it stays all snow in the higher elevations.

 

[freeheelwilly]

Looks more like an ice storm now. Hope it stays all snow in the higher elevations.

Not here. Callin' for 6-12" at Whiteface. :beer:

 

[salida]

Na, the mountains are still safe, snow all the way 6-12 for most places would be a good guess, maybe more in the franconias and wildcats

 

[Marc]

Na, the mountains are still safe, snow all the way 6-12 for most places would be a good guess, maybe more in the franconias and wildcats

Man, I hope so, would make for a good day for me at Attitash on Saturday...

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

Family obligations will be keeping me home all weekend...please make some turns for me....

 

[VB]

would make great skiing on Saterday at whaleback hopefully, Ill be skiing and snowboarding(for the first time).

 

[dmc]

 

[awf170]

Na, the mountains are still safe, snow all the way 6-12 for most places would be a good guess, maybe more in the franconias and wildcats

Man, I hope so, would make for a good day for me at Attitash on Saturday...

Salida you better be right about cannon, zoomer chair is opening tomorrow laps on the front face will be awsome. There will probably be more of the base of my ski left on the trail then on my skis but it will fun. :lol: