catsup948
New member
Could be some upslope.
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Winter Forecast 2015-2016
- Thread starter dlague
- Start date
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Things are starting to look better. Some things are going are way, like the Siberian snow cover looks good, and some of the bad things are "less bad" looking now.
Wishful thinking. I expect a roller coaster winter than trends on the warm side.
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Freeze thaw.....freeze thaw.....puke
Yes, that tends to be what you get with these type of years. Whether you net an above or below average snowfall total is a game of chance. Either way it is unlikely to stay consistently cold.
Not Sure
Well-known member
Would be curious to see if previous El Nino's had an interaction with a pool of warm water ( The Blob) off Alaska.
Or is this a previously unseen pattern?
Not Sure
Well-known member
http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/
Been too busy to go back and look at Siberia other years vs this one. Cool site though
Rowsdower
Member
September was one of the warmest on record, globally. Although what that means locally will differ, of course, and a warm autumn doesn't necessarily mean a warm winter.
We'll see, but I'm expecting the worst so as not to be too disappointed just in case.
We'll see, but I'm expecting the worst so as not to be too disappointed just in case.
Rowsdower
Member
November looks warm.
dlague
Active member
Then again I think someone posted warm October but people are skiing already!
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That's a good point....also warmer then average could be 1 degree above.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
There's a solid thesis I've seen that the first 1/2 of winter could be warmer than average, and the second 1/2 of winter could be colder than average.
Harvey
Well-known member
Would love to see, can you post a link?
Harvey
Well-known member
(Double post)
Not Sure
Well-known member
For entertainment purposes Only ...IDKN ,At this time more Siberian snow than fall 2013. Interesting swath of snow in Canada.
On the Entomalogical front saw a huge Boxelder bug hatch today. Reminds me of Winter of 93-94
slatham
Well-known member
https://opensnow.com/news/post/el-nino-part-3-how-will-el-nino-impact-snowfall-for-the-2015-2016-ski-season
Accuweather and Weatherbell also have good info out on the upcoming winter.
But this winter is a tough call. Will a more typical El Nino pattern be in control, or will the +PDO (warm water in NE Pacific that helped the last couple of winters) and a move to a Modoki (central) El Nino change the pattern as we get to mid winter? Accuweather for one has out two scenarios and has not made a call on which one they think will prevail.
But there is solid consensus that November is warm in the East (some, like weatherbell, have had this forecast out for some time now).
Accuweather and Weatherbell also have good info out on the upcoming winter.
But this winter is a tough call. Will a more typical El Nino pattern be in control, or will the +PDO (warm water in NE Pacific that helped the last couple of winters) and a move to a Modoki (central) El Nino change the pattern as we get to mid winter? Accuweather for one has out two scenarios and has not made a call on which one they think will prevail.
But there is solid consensus that November is warm in the East (some, like weatherbell, have had this forecast out for some time now).
dlague
Active member
the next two weeks look terrible!
Tin
Active member
It is looking pretty bad. Like, really bad. Might not see top to bottom at K until around Thanksgiving.
IMO a warm November is not bad...often leads to a cold and snowy second half of the season.
Far superior to a warm January.
Far superior to a warm January.
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