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First Snowfalls, Upcoming weather and Storms of winter 2023-2024. Storm snow totals, Observations and Predictions?

MidnightJester

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Winter has knocked on the calendar door but its not really Rocking Snow yet in the Northeast. Here are some of the fully open mountains in North American. So a tasting of what is considered open terrain with Trail counts this point in the season "week 9" around North America. These are considered lift serviced trails at some of the open ski mountains on Saturday 12/30/23. Hike to your delight for more trail fun.

Updated this weekend Saturday 12/30/23 (open trail counts)

Mount Snow, VT -- 36/86​

Stratton, VT -- 40/99​

Magic Mountain, VT -- 2 trails open but open :) only (16" of snow this year)

Okemo, VT -- 50/129​

Killington Resort, VT -- 51/155 +2"

Sugarbush, VT -- 41/111

Bolton Valley, VT -- 15/71​

Stowe, VT -- 37/127​

Smugglers Notch, VT -- 15/78​

Jay Peak, VT -- 12/81 (they have been losing trails every check in for 3 weeks) is it $$$$ or is Snowmaking offline??

-------------------------------------------------

Belleayre, NY -- 39/61

Gore Mountain, NY -- 31/110

Hunter Mountain, NY -- 23/66

Windham, NY -- 22/54

Whiteface Mountain, NY -- 24/94

---------------------------------------

Sunday River, ME -- 25/139

Sugarloaf, ME -- 35/170

Saddleback, ME -- 15/68

---------------------------------------------------

Wildcat ,NH -- 7/48 (Ugggggggggggg)

Attitash, NH -- 17/76​

Loon Mountain, NH -- 26/73​

Mount Sunapee, NH -- 18/67​

Cannon, NH -- 29/97​

Bretton Woods, NH -- 19/98

---------------------------------------

Breckenridge, CO -- 98/187

Vail, CO -- 240/278

Aspen Snowmass, CO -- 283/336

Winter Park Resort, -- CO 134/171

Beaver Creek, CO -- 103/150

Keystone Resort, CO -- 71/143

Steamboat, CO -- 160/181

Telluride, CO -- 82/147

Arapahoe Basin, CO -- 17/145

Loveland, CO -- 25/94

Wolf Creek, CO -- 144/144 (Wolf is fully open)

----------------------------------------

Mammoth Mountain, CA -- 114/175

----------Lake Tahoe CA,NV---------

Kirkwood, CA --50/93

Northstar California, CA --29/100

Palisades Tahoe, CA -- 57/270

Heavenly CA,NV -- 15/114

Mt. Rose - Ski Tahoe, NV -- 38/66

----------------------------------------

Solitude, UT -- 67/87

Park City, UT -- 134/346

Alta, UT -- 81/118

Deer Valley, UT -- 63/103

Snow Basin , UT -- 112/114

Snow Bird, UT -- 127/140

 
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machski

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Location
Northwood, NH (Sunday River, ME)
Midnight, you do a good job but Lonn was at 29 today with the grand opening of Timbertown pod.

As to Jay, yes the Jay Cloud snowmaking system has been offline for weeks now. We all know that is Jay's Achilles. That system doesn't push much power for the size of the resort. No Jay Cloud, trail count will be small.
 

MidnightJester

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Midnight, you do a good job but Lonn was at 29 today with the grand opening of Timbertown pod.

As to Jay, yes the Jay Cloud snowmaking system has been offline for weeks now. We all know that is Jay's Achilles. That system doesn't push much power for the size of the resort. No Jay Clod, trail count will be small.
I try my best lol : )~ with open trail counts. Funny thing is I have seen when both Mountain Sites and OntheSnow have changing total trail counts not open ones but total on mountain.

When you say the Jay cloud snowmaking system, Do you mean
1- A real snowmaking system with pumps and guns and compressors??
or
2- Jay Peaks clouds that like to drop snow when very other few mountains get fresh snow from the sky?

Why We're about to get The Coldest Air of the Winter So Far with the added bonus of "Multiple" incoming Clipper storms on long range forecast's with it!​

 
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zyk

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Feb 10, 2010
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The kingslug effect...
I leave for the west...it snows here...
Thank you. Its much appreciated. If you stay away longer will it snow more? Enjoy those years when I need a front loader to clear the driveway.
 

RH29

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Nov 23, 2021
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Looks like we may be in for a coastal storm next Sat night/Sunday, with all three models being along these lines as of the 12z and 18z runs today. Accumulation is subject to change seeing as we're six days out, but appears to be pretty widely in the 8-12+" range across southern New England, the tri-state, and PA/MD/WV.

18z GFS
1704066128080.png1704066265851.png

12z GEM
1704066347730.png1704066321525.png
 

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MidnightJester

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Here is to looking forward for Ullr and Mother nature to invite "Old Man Winter" to come have a Northeast Party : )~
It is uncanny how it snows in the east when you go west.
Well here is the setup with more to come. Old Man Winter about to make a comeback. Back-to-back snowstorms are on track over the next 10 days.
5:38 Starts the Northeast. Ohhhhhh MY : )~ Those are possible Double-Storm "INCHES" and not Temperatures!!
DoubleStorms.png
1704075966812.png1704075995104.png
1000000762.jpg 1000000763.jpg
 

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BodeMiller1

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Montpelier
Let's add squall to clipper systems.

I was at Cannon in March. The cars coming off the mountain going to I93S were stopped on the on ramp to the park way. You could not see a tail light 15' away. The Franconia Pumper truck probably filled with water escorted 20 cars for 3 or so miles.

Has anyone ever seen this?

2' feet of windblown powder, huge drifts.
 

MidnightJester

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2'ft becomes a little too much Snow for Low angle trails and Southern Vermont mountains to handle on 1 day but spread out over a few days its great. but a 2'ft base builder would be welcomed regardless. Northern Vermont will welcome 2ft' in a day happily again and again :)

January 7th Storm is tracking away from a main Vermont hit. Losing half of possible total Snow amounts in Vermont. Storm #2 around 1/10/23 with 8"-12" would be a wonderful boost to hide the ice and bare spots that are all over.
NEStormTracks1Jan.jpg

Major winter storm brewing with snow, ice and rain to blast Northeast

Millions in the Northeast, including those along Interstate 95, could face their first major winter storm of the season this weekend. Travel conditions will deteriorate due to snow, ice and rain.

 
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kendo

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Winter has knocked on the calendar door but its not really Rocking Snow yet in the Northeast. Here are some of the fully open mountains in North American. So a tasting of what is considered open terrain with Trail counts this point in the season "week 9" around North America. These are considered lift serviced trails at some of the open ski mountains on Saturday 12/30/23. Hike to your delight for more trail fun.

Updated this weekend Saturday 12/30/23 (open trail counts)

Mount Snow, VT -- 36/86​

Stratton, VT -- 40/99​

Magic Mountain, VT -- 2 trails open but open :) only (16" of snow this year)

Okemo, VT -- 50/129​

Killington Resort, VT -- 51/155 +2"

Sugarbush, VT -- 41/111

Bolton Valley, VT -- 15/71​

Stowe, VT -- 37/127​

Smugglers Notch, VT -- 15/78​

Jay Peak, VT -- 12/81 (they have been losing trails every check in for 3 weeks) is it $$$$ or is Snowmaking offline??


Thanks for reporting. Good info, but wondering if any independent site reports Total number of trails (or acres) with snowmaking and Daily number of snowmaking trails (or acres) open for each resort?

Would be a much better indicator of a resort owner's capability and desire to make snow (Belleayre vrs Hunter; Epic NH; etc), along with highlighting & calling out the Epic and Icon budget & staffing frugalness.

Need a way of ensuring a satisfactory ROI for the pass holder. Simply being open, versus being 100% manmade open, affects the customer experience.


Stowe today. . .

Day 45 of the season. Probably day 59+ of operations (ie: snowmaking prep & grooming).

34 snowmaking trails open / out of 52 trails noted as snowmaking trails on the map.
65% of snowmaking trails open.
To note - 1 black trail open with snowmaking / out of 9 with snowmaking ... 10-15 turns for expert skiers at EPIC's premier eastern resort.


Stowe is behind on opening expert snowmaking trails & the ROI for the expert skier is low. They note they're pumping 3500gpm today (resurfacing) and last week they noted 4000gpm. Not sure what their max capability/capacity is, but that's probably it.

Expansion & recovery capability during shorter weather windows needs to be enhanced.

Stowe's new GM recently noted she's 'aware of opportunities for higher efficiency and low-e equipment, but those require capital investment... '
 

MidnightJester

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Top 7 Snowiest Ski resorts in Euorope.
Incoming Storm Round 1 of 2
nbm-conus-centralca-total_snow-4344400.jpg

Weather Channel
DCT_SPECIAL48_1280x720.jpg

AccuWeather
page-12.jpg
 
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slatham

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Need this to shift north but I’m becoming doubtful it will.

But it’s the storm next week that will be make or break. Some scenarios have a monsoon like mid-December, some have a net gainer, and some have all out snow north of I-90. Key is, does strong -NAO keep track of secondary storm south/East and thus hold off warm air intrusion?

Also, posting snowfall maps >72 hours out is bad karma……
 

drjeff

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If every storm on say a 5 to 10 day model run played out as the "jackpot" scenario model showed, every trail in the Norhteast would be open, and have been open for weeks now.... Talk to me at the 48hr out or less timeframe, then I start to put some faith in what the models are hinting at..... Outside of that, all you can really say is that if 10000001 variables come together that something may happen in the extended timeframe......
 

MidnightJester

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Also, posting snowfall maps >72 hours out is bad karma……
When does the 72hrs officially start?? Is it Midnight plus one minute on storm day?? or When the first Flakes hit a State, Mountain or Geographical area?
The Storm system is officially chugging across the Country as we type :)
MIdnight jester has posted all these great storms this year. I think maybe one actually proofed out. Maybe he is the one that the snow gods are punishing. ;-)
Hey I bat what I bat : ) the Snow gods have to like me a little I sacrifice a Snow virgin every year on a mountain if i can. In my defense we have only had few a storms to this point that were even Snow possible but they will come and as Snow drops go that's how they go. We hold the Cold the snow will come.

Between the two storms in (4-5 days) if we can pull 12+ inches we will improve our base all over the mountains of Vermont and the Northeast for our January season.

Just hold the Cold and keep the Snow as Snow : )
 
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