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Storm speculation March 10/11

troy

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Weatherman just said we may have another "massive" storm Thursday into Friday...
 

Warp Daddy

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Just finished plowing 6 inches right now -- still coming down -- 8-16 by tomorrow am -- it's heavy stuff when plowing but doesn't look that way falling :D--- Better than rain
 

thetrailboss

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Forget about that storm. Today's is blowing up! 2-3 feet up in Vermont by tomorrow afternoon!!!
 

billski

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Winds could be an issue. At Stowe, gusts of 24-26mph from 9am to 6pm.
22-29mph waitsfield
no gusts in Franconia. Hmmm.
kmart gusts 23-29mph

Lots of upslope potential.
 

BenedictGomez

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Sadly it looks like that storm in the plains is tracking too far north hit the Catskills, and possibly too far north to even hit Vermont. Hoping that changes.
 

riverc0il

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Winds could be an issue. At Stowe, gusts of 24-26mph from 9am to 6pm.
22-29mph waitsfield
no gusts in Franconia. Hmmm.
kmart gusts 23-29mph

Lots of upslope potential.
Winds wrapping around to the northeast and north would mean game on at Cannon. I definitely am a little concerned about the winds for the usual windy spots. Smuggs or Burke could be money tomorrow. All depends where the wind is honking from tomorrow morning as to what is effected.
 

mlkrgr

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Coming back on topic...what is the latest on this system? NCP all the way north? Sure hope not...

Was hoping to get to Sugarbush Thursday and Pico Friday. Good thing I didn't make lodging reservations yet (I'm writing this Tuesday morning) because we're looking at a pretty bad round of mixed precipitation rain/snow/ice on Thursday along with the wind. Friday looks like it would be a washout with rain with a freeze over into Saturday being possible.

I keep on wanting to get up to these places... looks like I'll have to wait. Especially, it seems like the only times of the year the ski buses get to Sugarbush is first few weeks of January and then April since that's when they offer reasonable enough ticket prices to make the trip marketable.
 

UVSHTSTRM

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Latest I heard was Thursday light snow to start, then mix, then rain, all light. Then Thursday into Friday all rain and a possible heavy band moves in. On the up side 40's and sunny on Saturday. Of course the last storm started off as all rain (weather forecast) going up the St Lawrence and well, alot of the major ski areas ended up with at least a foot.
 

drjeff

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Yup, we're in the generally dreaded storm pattern right now with "Great Lakes Cutters" instead of "East Coast Huggers" that will tend to put us, most of the time, on the warm side of the storm, and this time of year, with the ever strengthening sun, it's often questionable as to if, and how well the cold air can hold on before the center of the storm passes and the backside Northwesterlies winds kick in to cool it back down
 

BenedictGomez

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Latest I heard was Thursday light snow to start, then mix, then rain, all light. Then Thursday into Friday all rain and a possible heavy band moves in. On the up side 40's and sunny on Saturday. Of course the last storm started off as all rain (weather forecast) going up the St Lawrence and well, alot of the major ski areas ended up with at least a foot.

Which is why I'm still holding out some hope for northern NY/VT. Especially since they're forecasting all snow first until the mix, then changeover to rain.

I guess temperature will be a big factor, and weather. com is predicting highs of 36 and 39 for Thursday and Friday, while accuweather .com is predicting highs of 40 and 45. Here's to hoping for the former and not the latter.
 

billski

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I have plans for NVT for Friday-Sat. I probably won't pull the trigger until Thursday night since it's looking light 40's and rain for Thursday. That means even the summits can't escape it. Icing will impact travel. Too bad, it ruins the good stuff from yesterday.
 

ta&idaho

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I live too far away to cherry-pick my days, so I'm planning on Gore Saturday and Whiteface Sunday no matter what. Fingers crossed that the Thursday rain isn't too devastating. At a minimum, I'll ski two new mountains that received enough snow on Sunday that they'll at least have plenty of coverage.
 

billski

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I live too far away to cherry-pick my days, so I'm planning on Gore Saturday and Whiteface Sunday no matter what. Fingers crossed that the Thursday rain isn't too devastating. At a minimum, I'll ski two new mountains that received enough snow on Sunday that they'll at least have plenty of coverage.

Fair enough. Reasonable response from a reasonable skier. There is a glimmer of hope from WinnChill:

"hursday and Friday--Low pressure slowly develops to our west and slows up again just to our west--we will see some light snow funneling in off the ocean with increasing southerly winds Thursday (stronger pressure gradient). With continuous light moisture/snow, we could start seeing some accumulations add up during the day (around half a foot for northern areas). The winds help pull in warmer air aloft with higher snow levels (up around 5000-6000ft) and a mix to some rain (southern resorts mostly) Thursday night and into Friday. We are still wondering how far north the warm air makes it as this storm may just weaken and meander to our west or we could get a secondary low forming along the coast. For now, we're expecting the snow/rain mix to continue into Friday (mostly snow for northern resorts with additional accumulations...rain south) and basically weaken/thin out some through the day--southerly winds continue as well. .

This Weekend--Not much time in between systems--another disturbance (Clipper) arrives later on Saturday to shift winds around and bring another batch of light snow. Lower snow levels should bring mainly light/moderate snow this time to most areas Saturday night and into Sunday followed by some clearing to high pressure into Monday--CT"
 

St. Bear

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I live too far away to cherry-pick my days, so I'm planning on Gore Saturday and Whiteface Sunday no matter what. Fingers crossed that the Thursday rain isn't too devastating. At a minimum, I'll ski two new mountains that received enough snow on Sunday that they'll at least have plenty of coverage.

I'm in the same boat. Sugarloaf or bust for me!

Fair enough. Reasonable response from a reasonable skier. There is a glimmer of hope from WinnChill:

"hursday and Friday--Low pressure slowly develops to our west and slows up again just to our west--we will see some light snow funneling in off the ocean with increasing southerly winds Thursday (stronger pressure gradient). With continuous light moisture/snow, we could start seeing some accumulations add up during the day (around half a foot for northern areas). The winds help pull in warmer air aloft with higher snow levels (up around 5000-6000ft) and a mix to some rain (southern resorts mostly) Thursday night and into Friday. We are still wondering how far north the warm air makes it as this storm may just weaken and meander to our west or we could get a secondary low forming along the coast. For now, we're expecting the snow/rain mix to continue into Friday (mostly snow for northern resorts with additional accumulations...rain south) and basically weaken/thin out some through the day--southerly winds continue as well. .

This Weekend--Not much time in between systems--another disturbance (Clipper) arrives later on Saturday to shift winds around and bring another batch of light snow. Lower snow levels should bring mainly light/moderate snow this time to most areas Saturday night and into Sunday followed by some clearing to high pressure into Monday--CT"

Lionel Hutz over at FIS seems cautiously optimistic.
 
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