Winter Forecast 2015-2016

[Quietman]

My most memorable radar image. Thunder snow and a neon green night sky from all the lightning.

I will dream of this if I can get to sleep tonight!

 

[Tin]

Yea, that 32" at Crotched was pretty amazing.

The dark blue band that moved from the western RI border to the CT River Valley put down over 8" in an hour. Coventry, CT reported 11" in an hour.

 

[moresnow]

Yea, that 32" at Crotched was pretty amazing.

The dark blue band that moved from the western RI border to the CT River Valley put down over 8" in an hour. Coventry, CT reported 11" in an hour.

We've clearly reached a new low when the best we can do in the winter forecast thread is dream of winters past.

 

[wtcobb]

Gunstock shutting it down until 12/26:

Mother Nature's El Nino wrath has been tough on the New England Ski Resorts this December. Unseasonably high temperatures have been challenging the snow making team. They have been able to squeeze in 3-4 hours on some evenings whenever the temperatures dip low enough for the guns to blaze.

To maximize our snow making efforts the team has decided to keep the mountain closed this weekend to allow for the best snow and most terrain for the Christmas vacation week. The mountain will stay closed during the week to preserve the snow surface for optimal skiing and riding. Starting on December 26th the mountain will reopen with as much terrain as the weather allows!

 

[mriceyman]

Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone

 

[Tin]

The block is coming...(eventually).

 

[BenedictGomez]

This is now becoming worrisome.

 

[Puck it]

This is now becoming worrisome.

Crap Now you are really depressing me.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Crap Now you are really depressing me.

It gets worse. Fully month view.

Jan 18th to Jan 31st time frame is not decided. However,our longest range most skilled model doesn't show much deviation from the mild conditions from prior periods.

The good news is, these long-range CFS2 models are often wrong.

 

[Puck it]

It gets worse. Fully month view.

The good news is, these long-range CFS2 models are often wrong.

Then stop f'ing depressingme!!!!!!!!!

 

[JDMRoma]

It gets worse. Fully month view.

The good news is, these long-range CFS2 models are often wrong.

if its right were F..n Screwed Bigtime !!!

 

[Tin]

Warmer temps =/= no snow.

 

[john1200c]

if its right were F..n Screwed Bigtime !!!

Doesn't this chart imply a 3-4 degree above normal MEAN forecast, which would still allow for plenty of below freezing snowmaking temps?

 

[Tin]

doesn't this chart imply a 3-4 degree above normal mean forecast, which would still allow for plenty of below freezing snowmaking temps?

Ding! Ding! Ding! And the temps for snowfall.

 

[dlague]

Doesn't this chart imply a 3-4 degree above normal MEAN forecast, which would still allow for plenty of below freezing snowmaking temps?

Ding! Ding! Ding! And the temps for snowfall.

Correct! The average daily high is in the mid twenties during the day and in the teens and single digits at night therefore snow making for sure and storms possibly come in cold enough for snow. However, it may be borderline some days and precip may not be in solid form. Lets hope the January thaw for this winter was front loaded and happened in December.

 

[mriceyman]

Warmer temps =/= no snow.

You're quite the visionary lol


Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone

 

[catsup948]

Doesn't the euro look around normal in the long range weeklies? These models are dumb.

 

[catsup948]

Either way warmer than average temps were expected this winter out here. Not as warm as we have seen this month but several degrees above average. In Jan and Feb that still very much could mean snow.

 

[Boston Bulldog]

While the EURO long ranges look like a return to near normal in about 2 weeks, don't get too caught up yet. The encompassing indexes (MJO, ESNO etc...) are still pretty damn ugly and go into January with little hint of change. I don't mean to be a downer here but these positive signs beginning around day 10 have very little credence within the overall pattern.

 

[ScottySkis]

http://www.madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/2015/12/more-signs-that-we-will-move-from-bad.html?m=1