Winter Pattern Has Arrived - Will it Bring Snow?

[billski]

Very good. This is when an inland runner triple points at just the right time (Its cold front catches up to the warm front, cutting off the moisture and begins to weaken the system) and transfers its energy to a secondary coastal low off of the Mid Atlantic. These are usually snowy systems for us. (Think December 27, 2013, that was a classic Miller B)

BE WARNED: When Miller B's are modeled this far out, they very well could become a cutting rainstorm if the transfer doesn't occur at the right time.

I think the only fair thing that can be said right now is, "that the pattern is very favorable for a large storm system to move out of the southern states." (stolen from AmericanWx)

 

[ScottySkis]

Hopefully it snow in Maine before A zone summit.

 

[billski]

Hopefully it snow in Maine before A zone summit.

Hopefully, it will...................snow

 

[Wavewheeler]

Where is it snowing now? The south. The farthest north it's coming is the southern NJ shore. They might get 5". We might get an inch where I live tonight and of course north and west get ZILCH.

Where am I heading in tomorrow and Thursday? North and west.

 

[catsup948]

Hopefully it snow in Maine before A zone summit.

Honestly if western maine does not get some snow before next weekend I would be shocked and angry! Snow!


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[ScottySkis]

Honestly if western maine does not get some snow before next weekend I would be shocked and angry! Snow!


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It be great to be at this huge hill with everyone from here. Real snow would just make it even better.

 

[BenedictGomez]

If the long-range temp prediction pans out, we should be okay for February.

The January one was pretty solid.

 

[billski]

If the long-range temp prediction pans out, we should be okay for February.

The January one was pretty solid.

BG, sometimes you get me up, sometimes you get me down. Let's just say I'm cautiously optimistic. I like the colors on that chart anyways!

 

[BenedictGomez]

GFS 8-day predictive snowfall totals.

These aren't terribly reliable, but they do give you a hint of at least the POTENTIAL for decent snowfall.

In other words, while the fact this map looks so sexy doesnt mean it's going to happen like this, if this map was empty that would be a bad thing.

Like McDonalds, I'm lovin' it!

 

[BenedictGomez]

36 hours later, and the GFS long-range is still showing nuked up snow totals.

Not only that, its actually increased!

PLEASE VERIFY!

 

[billski]

8 day is so far out to the moon that I think it's a stretch to even go five days. The weekend storm is really wobbly right now. I think I'll stick with this week:

 

[hammer]

Don't like this forecast. Too much snow in the backyard and not enough to the north. Oh well.

 

[abc]

Don't like this forecast. Too much snow in the backyard and not enough to the north. Oh well.

xc ski right out the door?

 

[4aprice]

Don't like this forecast. Too much snow in the backyard and not enough to the north. Oh well.

I think the north will get theirs coming up soon. In the mean time, medium hills down here are doing fine. Its one of those years where the Pocono's, Catskills and Berkshires are shining right now. Take a detour out this way (don't know how far you are from the Berkshires) and by the time you get back VT/NH will be ramping up for the spring8). Excuse the excitement but when we get good skiing like this in the day trip range you got to take advantage of it.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[Boston Bulldog]

Meh meh meh meh