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12/19 - 12/20 Storm Discussion Thread
- Thread starter Greg
- Start date
drjeff
Well-known member
Hmm, I'm guessing that tommorrow we'll read something like. "still a lot of uncertainty about the track of this storm to the point where we can't make a solid determination right now. Better check back on Friday as the storm starts to really develop"
My guess is that if tommorrow (Thursday) AM, you see the that center of the cold air, and the lowest of the low temps are East of a line from say Buffalo down to Pittsburgh down to Knoxville, TN then this will be a minor/non event for essentially all of the Northeast with the exception of maybe the Cape and Islands.
If the center of the cold air is West of that same line, well then you start to bring the Northeast into play, and just how far West of that line the center of the cold air is will determine how much of the Northeast gets into play.
polski
New member
If no Yawgoo Mauler I guess that means no Sundown Slammer either, nor much chance of an ocean-effect Bradford Burial ;-)
Via Twitter seeing a second-hand report of 3" in 3 hours this afternoon at the top of the Bolton access road. From radar it looks like it's done in N VT though and winding down in S Greens and Berks.
Via Twitter seeing a second-hand report of 3" in 3 hours this afternoon at the top of the Bolton access road. From radar it looks like it's done in N VT though and winding down in S Greens and Berks.
SNE weenies on Eastern are real hyped over the 18z models and recent trends in general. Recent experience (albeit with different setups) suggest some optimism..still fear the overcorrection with something heading up the hudson river valley...(some SREF models hinting at this) Yikes. I don't understand any of this... but enjoy snow and would love to have snow cancel my sunday obligations and spend it on stinger pow bumps.
There was a slight NW-ward trend, but be wary of the 18Z runs. The 00 and 12Z runs use fresh updated info from the weather balloons...the 06 and 18Z runs do not, so it's best not to jump on board the weenie wagon, especially 3 days out. Of course we'll be monitoring the trends throughout the next runs.
Cheers!
Cheers!
drjeff
Well-known member
Problem is we need ALOT closer to get New England into play in a signficant way. The best powday may require a road trip to the Poconos and points South from this one!
The upper level winds are going to take this storm essentially due East once it gets upto around the Virginia Coast instead of the "normal" track that would take it from the VA coast uptowards Cape Cod and Nova Scotia.
Now starting next week, the models are starting to suggest that the upper levels winds will be much more favorable for bringing a storm right up the coast and not having it make a right turn somewhere around the mason-dixon line
4aprice
Well-known member
You're always welcome to come visit.:smile:
I'm not sure that this is done trending yet. Bastardi had a good video on why yesterday. Mt Snow may still be in the picture. (and I'm rooting for you because I'll be up there New Years)
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
drjeff
Well-known member
While I always love some fresh pow at Mount Snow, I'm not too worried about them right now, nor should you be for New Years.
From Greg Fisher, one of their marketing/communications guru's on the Mount Snow passholder's site this AM:
"Another cold week followed by a beautiful weekend is in store. Right now new openings include Thanks Walt, Bear Trap, on Sunbrook (including quad & BT Double lifts), Freefall on the Face, Exhibition, Lodge, Charlie's Chase, on the Main Face, and at Carinthia - Inferno will be open without features and The Gulch will be open with a brand new park (closing Friday).
Christmas week we will be looking at expanding to Roller Coaster (old Un Blanco Trail), Ego, Drop, Link, Inferno for a park, and a few others. Weather continues to look great but no natural in the picture anytime soon.
Happy Holidays! "
Also, mother nature may very well have a nice, white x-mas present for New England in store
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Fingers crossed. Maybe Sundown will be in the bullseye and we'll get our typical mid-December 1 foot dump.
4aprice
Well-known member
drjeff
Well-known member
It's ok though, looks like this storm cutting and running to the South will help to get both the Northern and Southern branches of the jet stream more into harmony for next week. And that's a good thing!!
St. Bear
New member
Pray that you're right, because I'd rather have a big storm next weekend over this weekend.
I'm sure the resorts are on my side too.
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Sunday will be epic at the beloved molehill...
4aprice
Well-known member
The squawk on Accuweather's forums (Eastern's forums are down) is that the Euro came in further north and west. The trend could be our friend. Any comment Winn?
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
Any comment Winn?Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
St. Bear
New member
The squawk on Accuweather's forums (Eastern's forums are down) is that the Euro came in further north and west. The trend could be our friend.
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
Just a little bit further north.
