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first signs of winter

k123

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Here's an interesting post about the farmers almanac and the upcoming weather for the Northeast. Looks like we are in for a cold blast this weekend:cool:. It's off of weatheradvance.com:

http://www.weatheradvance.com/

Just a quick post tonight to just point out the accuracy so far with the farmers almanac. Almost each time it says a storm system will be around in a certain time frame, IT IS. Whenever it says it will be colder or warmer than average during a time frame it has been. Now, I am just pointing this out. But the more and more time goes on I am growing more and more confident that this will not be the traditional La Nina. To point out the accuracy of the Farmers almanac here is what it says for the next few weeks for the Northeast including Virginia, Delaware, West Virginia, Maryland, and Washington D.C . So far it is right for the 1st though the 3rd. It is colder than average by about 5 degrees and a Nor’ Easter is posed to strike the east coast Thursday, then it will be fair weather. Well it did not mention a cold blast which will be headed for the northeast BUT it never did say Mild either. Just something to look at. At the end of the post I have one interesting point all should keep in mind in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

November 2010
1st-3rd. Fair, cold.
4th-7th. Stormy, heavy rains, possibly mixed with wet snow. Icy glaze for some areas.
8th-11th. Fair.
12th-15th. Rain, then clearing.
16th-19th. Increasingly cloudy, with rain and (over mountains) wet snow.
20th-23rd. More rain, wet snow, then clearing, colder.
24th-27th. Unsettled for Thanksgiving, with light snow, then clearing.
28th-30th. Mostly fair.

****THE COLDEST AND SNOWIEST PORTION OF TIME FOR THIS AREA IS IN JANUARY, FEBRUARY, AND EARLY MARCH ACCORDING TO THIS ALMANAC.****

Just a quick note. There are currently Frost and Freeze Warnings in several areas tonight, in the D.C metro. Why is this interesting. Well because this is around the same time during the winter of 2002-2003 that this area saw its first frosts and freezes. This is earlier than normal for most areas. And for areas not falling bellow freezing tonight then you will most likely on Friday and Saturday with temps for highs in the mid-40′s about 10-15 degrees bellow average and lows in the mid 20′s to low 30′s region wide! This past October pretty much mirrored the October of 2002-2003. Something to keep an eye on, and something to think about! Goodnight folks and I will try and have an update on the coming rainstorm for Thursday and the cold blast that will follow!
 

billski

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Serious window scraping on the windshields this morning here in the flatlands. The colors are rapidly fading, leaf peeping season is clearly over and Stick Season is underway. What follows next is waited for more anxiously than Christmas morning...
 

bigbog

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Feb 17, 2004
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You have that right! ...Well actually that's 2nd in the queue...1st is getting skiboots(being shipped) back from bootguy!...in a few days.
 
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MommaBear

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Nov 15, 2007
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Nice little winter surprise here in CT this AM.

Yeah, went to bed with the assurances of the weather lady that we may see "a few flakes" but "nothing that will affect your commute". Woke to a 90 minute school delay - um, THAT affects my commute.

And the weather guys are going off on how bizzare the weather is. When I heard thunder, I assumed it was raining...bit surprised to see the ground covered.
 

SKIQUATTRO

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snow squall just came thru my house (north shore LI), now some sleet....yipppeee!!!!
 

billski

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Lots of nasty ice and sleet up here over the last 36 hours with enough snow to leave the ground white in the valley. Anyone know if the Northern Vermont mountains picked up any accumulation? The web sites are curiously silent.

Ah, the harbingers of better days to come. Web cams tell all.
Underhill looks nice
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/cams/underhill.shtml
Just outside pokemo :
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/cams/mtholly.shtml


Last night about 5pm Stowe had a good inch or two at the base.

Most of the AZ webcam links are broken. That's the thing about web sites. They move everything once a year, needed or not!
http://skiing.alpinezone.com/web_cams/vermont.htm
 

WinnChill

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Lots of nasty ice and sleet up here over the last 36 hours with enough snow to leave the ground white in the valley. Anyone know if the Northern Vermont mountains picked up any accumulation? The web sites are curiously silent.

The best I could find was K's latest Tweet mentioning a delayed opening and "deicing lift." While a bit cooler, I suspect NVT areas dealt with the same icy conditions too. Will keep poking around.
 
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