powderfreak
New member
- Joined
- Jan 9, 2007
- Messages
- 256
- Points
- 0
http://tinyurl.com/yr7eq5
Snow has stopped in Burlington and I can see the sun over on the NY side of Lake Champlain...with dark clouds over the 'Dacks just inland. Up on UVM if you look east towards the spine there is a wall of clouds and snow...fairly dark clouds, too.
Lake effect bands are hitting southern VT and the Berkshires, Catskills, and Adirondacks at this time, but in the above radar, the cut-off you see in Addison County is likely where it will stay. South of there they'll have to rely on lake effect. The greatest moisture increase is happening north of I-89 currently as precipitable water values increase due to the cyclone to the north wrapping moisture back into northern New England. Bands are starting to stack from I-89 northward and the gaps are filling in. Later this evening we should see a fairly solid area of steady, moderate snow across the Green Mountain spine from SB/MRG northward with a good chance at occasionally heavy snowfall rates from Bolton to Jay Peak. Personally, I think Jay gets nailed with this one and Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton are one step down...but still significant.
Will update later tonight with trends I see. Not much can go wrong right now, which is comforting to some degree. As long as the wind stays out of the NW or NNW with that cyclone in the Maritimes cutting off, its going to snow over the mountains. Total amounts will be hard to judge due to blowing and drifting and will likely vary considerably depending on where you ski. I'll maintain a 6-12" from Sugarbush northward but truly feel north of I-89 we are looking at 12-18". Cannon and Bretton Woods in NH could get bumped into the 12-14" range but don't know their climatology as well. Jay and Stowe have both received 3-4" today and will get into the 6-12" range very quickly this evening if they haven't already in the last two hours since the 3-4" was reported.
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE A FACTOR TOMORROW and I have a feeling this will be frustrating for some if they find themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time...I've been stressing the wind and that warning is written in bold on Stowe's Online Snow Report (you've been warned and if I'm wrong, then I might have scared some away, but its worth people knowing). I'd expect Jay Peak will be experiencing troubles as well...I don't know Smuggs well enough to know if their chairs go on hold during these events and Sugarbush/MRG might be just far enough south to avoid the 50-60mph ridge top winds...they might only be in the 40mph range down there. Also do not know how winds effect lift ops at NH and ME areas.
-Scott
Snow has stopped in Burlington and I can see the sun over on the NY side of Lake Champlain...with dark clouds over the 'Dacks just inland. Up on UVM if you look east towards the spine there is a wall of clouds and snow...fairly dark clouds, too.
Lake effect bands are hitting southern VT and the Berkshires, Catskills, and Adirondacks at this time, but in the above radar, the cut-off you see in Addison County is likely where it will stay. South of there they'll have to rely on lake effect. The greatest moisture increase is happening north of I-89 currently as precipitable water values increase due to the cyclone to the north wrapping moisture back into northern New England. Bands are starting to stack from I-89 northward and the gaps are filling in. Later this evening we should see a fairly solid area of steady, moderate snow across the Green Mountain spine from SB/MRG northward with a good chance at occasionally heavy snowfall rates from Bolton to Jay Peak. Personally, I think Jay gets nailed with this one and Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton are one step down...but still significant.
Will update later tonight with trends I see. Not much can go wrong right now, which is comforting to some degree. As long as the wind stays out of the NW or NNW with that cyclone in the Maritimes cutting off, its going to snow over the mountains. Total amounts will be hard to judge due to blowing and drifting and will likely vary considerably depending on where you ski. I'll maintain a 6-12" from Sugarbush northward but truly feel north of I-89 we are looking at 12-18". Cannon and Bretton Woods in NH could get bumped into the 12-14" range but don't know their climatology as well. Jay and Stowe have both received 3-4" today and will get into the 6-12" range very quickly this evening if they haven't already in the last two hours since the 3-4" was reported.
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE A FACTOR TOMORROW and I have a feeling this will be frustrating for some if they find themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time...I've been stressing the wind and that warning is written in bold on Stowe's Online Snow Report (you've been warned and if I'm wrong, then I might have scared some away, but its worth people knowing). I'd expect Jay Peak will be experiencing troubles as well...I don't know Smuggs well enough to know if their chairs go on hold during these events and Sugarbush/MRG might be just far enough south to avoid the 50-60mph ridge top winds...they might only be in the 40mph range down there. Also do not know how winds effect lift ops at NH and ME areas.
-Scott