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Mountain Snowfall Has Begun...Will Likely Need to Increase Snowfall Totals in spots

powderfreak

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http://tinyurl.com/yr7eq5

Snow has stopped in Burlington and I can see the sun over on the NY side of Lake Champlain...with dark clouds over the 'Dacks just inland. Up on UVM if you look east towards the spine there is a wall of clouds and snow...fairly dark clouds, too.

Lake effect bands are hitting southern VT and the Berkshires, Catskills, and Adirondacks at this time, but in the above radar, the cut-off you see in Addison County is likely where it will stay. South of there they'll have to rely on lake effect. The greatest moisture increase is happening north of I-89 currently as precipitable water values increase due to the cyclone to the north wrapping moisture back into northern New England. Bands are starting to stack from I-89 northward and the gaps are filling in. Later this evening we should see a fairly solid area of steady, moderate snow across the Green Mountain spine from SB/MRG northward with a good chance at occasionally heavy snowfall rates from Bolton to Jay Peak. Personally, I think Jay gets nailed with this one and Stowe/Smuggs/Bolton are one step down...but still significant.

Will update later tonight with trends I see. Not much can go wrong right now, which is comforting to some degree. As long as the wind stays out of the NW or NNW with that cyclone in the Maritimes cutting off, its going to snow over the mountains. Total amounts will be hard to judge due to blowing and drifting and will likely vary considerably depending on where you ski. I'll maintain a 6-12" from Sugarbush northward but truly feel north of I-89 we are looking at 12-18". Cannon and Bretton Woods in NH could get bumped into the 12-14" range but don't know their climatology as well. Jay and Stowe have both received 3-4" today and will get into the 6-12" range very quickly this evening if they haven't already in the last two hours since the 3-4" was reported.

WINDS WILL LIKELY BE A FACTOR TOMORROW and I have a feeling this will be frustrating for some if they find themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time...I've been stressing the wind and that warning is written in bold on Stowe's Online Snow Report (you've been warned and if I'm wrong, then I might have scared some away, but its worth people knowing). I'd expect Jay Peak will be experiencing troubles as well...I don't know Smuggs well enough to know if their chairs go on hold during these events and Sugarbush/MRG might be just far enough south to avoid the 50-60mph ridge top winds...they might only be in the 40mph range down there. Also do not know how winds effect lift ops at NH and ME areas.

-Scott
 

from_the_NEK

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Cripes. I'm so torn on what to do...:smash:
Go to Burke where there will be 4-8 inches but with all the lifts open or make the drive to Jay in the morning where there could be almost 2 feet of snow with no upper mtn lifts running due to the wind. I had an amazing day in March last year hiking over to Beaver Pond when the Tram and Flyer were closed. However, there was a better base in the trees at that point last year.
What to do:roll: :wink: :roll:
 

from_the_NEK

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Cripes. I'm so torn on what to do...:smash:
Go to Burke where there will be 4-8 inches but with all the lifts open or make the drive to Jay in the morning where there could be almost 2 feet of snow with no upper mtn lifts running due to the wind. I had an amazing day in March last year hiking over to Beaver Pond when the Tram and Flyer were closed. However, there was a better base in the trees at that point last year.
What to do:roll: :wink: :roll:

:-D I've missed having this problem all year. It is a good one to have :-D
 

highpeaksdrifter

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Cripes. I'm so torn on what to do...:smash:
Go to Burke where there will be 4-8 inches but with all the lifts open or make the drive to Jay in the morning where there could be almost 2 feet of snow with no upper mtn lifts running due to the wind. I had an amazing day in March last year hiking over to Beaver Pond when the Tram and Flyer were closed. However, there was a better base in the trees at that point last year.
What to do:roll: :wink: :roll:

If I where run I'd roll the dice and go to Jay.
 

awf170

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Cripes. I'm so torn on what to do...:smash:
Go to Burke where there will be 4-8 inches but with all the lifts open or make the drive to Jay in the morning where there could be almost 2 feet of snow with no upper mtn lifts running due to the wind. I had an amazing day in March last year hiking over to Beaver Pond when the Tram and Flyer were closed. However, there was a better base in the trees at that point last year.
What to do:roll: :wink: :roll:


Do it! Break out the skins!
 

thetrailboss

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It was really coming down at Pico for a while today....then on the ride back to WRJ it was puking in Woodstock. I mean puking. Just drove from Hanover back to WRJ and it was dumping then too. 'bout time!
 

2knees

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it was coming down at a decent clip at times today at sugarbush, probably got about 4 inches or so. But when we were leaving, it seemed to be getting pretty solid.
 

nelsapbm

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Scott - read your posts on skivt-l and I'll say you called this one! NWS Burlington has issued a winter storm warning for the ADKs and the northern Greens until 7pm tomorrow...an addition 6-12".
What is the wind factor looking like for Sunday?
 

powderfreak

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Scott - read your posts on skivt-l and I'll say you called this one! NWS Burlington has issued a winter storm warning for the ADKs and the northern Greens until 7pm tomorrow...an addition 6-12".
What is the wind factor looking like for Sunday?

No wind problems on Sunday...a NWS employee who lives in Jericho (at the western base of Mount Mansfield, Stowe's on the east) reported 9.4" of snow as of 1am. Can't imagine what's over the spine right now at 3,000ft and higher...
 

ajl50

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whiteface is reporting 12 new... that's prob. pretty accurate given that the x-country area is even reporting a fair amount of new snow.
 

loafer89

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NOAA is giving a heads up to a possible significant storm for Southern New England next thursday, which could bring heavy snow to I-95 corridor and beyond. This storm is supposed to really explode in the Gulf Of Maine with heavy wraparound snows.
 

ctenidae

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So, did any of New Hampshire get anything of any real note out of this one? NOAA was predicting 7-9 for Loon just this morning, but Loon's only reporting 1 measly inch.
 

from_the_NEK

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Burke only got 4 to 5 inches. It drifted around a lot but it was the best day of the year there so far. They have openned almost all of the terrain except for the glades and Fox's Folly. Dougs Drop was even officially open! :spin: :cool:
 
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