No, it's quite hard to miss any news these days.
However, you misquoted me. I said, "production in meaningful numbers".
20,000 200,000 2 million, 20 million. Not enough. It will be a great start to innoculate the highest risk groups, but not enough for any sort of return to normal for this season which was the topic we were talking about.
I think they'll do okay. They had to build-out a pretty impressive system for testing, which shockingly didnt previously exist, and I imagine they'll lean on that heavily for initial distribution channels. And IMO the Trump Administration did something outside-the-box that was a bit of a financial gamble, but I think was really smart, which is, they already purchased the non-approved vaccine, which as you may imagine is completely unprecedented, and so it's already being manufactured as we speak. If it fails in trial, it's a multi-billion dollar toilet flush, but if it works, the Trump Administration will have undoubtedly saved lives with this gamble.
So let's guesstimate numbers, because it's what I do & I actually enjoy it. There are ~330 or so million human beings in America,and about ~5M are little tykes, so removing them gets us to about 325M. Each year, only about 40% of Americans show up for a flu shot. Now, surely there will be many Americans wanting COVID19 immunization that dont normally get the flu shot, but as evidenced by the thread there are surely also people who the media has sufficiently scared into not getting the "rushed" & "potentially dangerous" COVID19 immunization. So let's call that a wash & still go with 40%.
That get's us to a need for 130M people to be immunized. The government is already procuring 100M doses, so they should be set I think to vaccinate about 40% of the population who wants it relatively soon. This, of course, depends on them solving the logistics nightmare of roughly getting the right number of doses to the right places. There will surely be problems, and assuming the vaccine is delivered before January 20, 2021, you will surely hear about every one of them.