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Where is Scott Braaten?

KBL Ed

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Jan 26, 2004
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He has not updated his reports on First Tracks in eons! (OK, maybe two weeks.)
 

SKIQUATTRO

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was just thinking the same thing as i saw some talk on the SBush site of another potential storm sat/sun
 

Greg

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He posts here and on the FTO forums quite often. Username is powderfreak.
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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x post

He posts at ski-VTL all the time. I saw a post from him yesterday. He's out skiing!
http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html

Moderators - I suggest you just get a feed from him and post it yourself. He's just out of bandwidth. Well-purposed, just maxed out. You can help him by grabbing his post and cross-posting it, which his ok of course.

Here it is:
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2007 11:31:14 -0500
From: Scott Braaten
Subject: Major Upslope Snowstorm Friday Night and Saturday


I'll want to put out an official forecast later today once the midday model
data is completely available but...for who knows what reason the NWS in
Burlington took down their Special Weather Statement; do not let it fool
you. I've been running down the list of criteria for a major upslope
snowstorm (heavy snow and wind in mtns with flurries or light snow showers
valleys) and everything checks out.

1) Strong low in the Canadian maritimes? Yep and the GFS, NAM, and Canadian
have a monster low in the textbook position just to the NW of Maine. With
that said, someone up in the maritimes is going to get mauled for up to two
days straight.

2) H85 winds in excess of 25kts? Yes, in fact they are 30 to 50kts
throughout most of the event. Extraction data for Burlington is showing
surface winds out of the WNW sustained at 20mph, gusting to 35mph...while at
4,500ft over Burlington the winds are out of the NW between 40-50mph for
most of the event with the GFS actually showing hurricane force winds
across the summits on Saturday evening just after sun-down.

3) Duration of 12 hours or longer? The maritime low bombs out and cuts off
from the jet stream (classic scenario) while the atmosphere becomes
vertically stacked with winds coming out of the WNW or NW from the surface
to nearly 30,000ft. Conditions appear favorable for up to 18 hours.

4) Cold air advection and moisture? Check. At the surface temps hold
steady during Saturday or even fall while at 4,500ft we go from -10C to -20C
on Saturday.

Cold air being forced over the Green Mountains at 40mph with moisture in
there as well...for 12-18 hours should bring a healthy dump. Liquid amounts
are around .75" from Jay to Mansfield with .25" from Killington to .5" at
I-89, considering fluff factor with these storms (feathers) I have a feeling
I know what'll happen but will play it safe now and say there's a very good
chance for 6"+ from SB/MRG northward.

Lift holds due to wind appear likely across much of central and northern New
England on Saturday. Many of you know the drill with these things by now...

-Scott
 

ctenidae

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Nov 11, 2004
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He was last seen with Carmen San Diego.

I can't tell you what they were doing. It's a family board.
 
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