Boston Bulldog
Member
Man, did this look ugly 36 hours ago. Don't get me wrong, Christmas Eve and day are going to be disasters for the mountains, but the following week looks serviceable as of right now.
The 12z GFS and EURO runs have decided that it's time to pump the PNA and break down the ridge for the 28th through New Years. Is this a large scale pattern change? No, but it the EURO is showing our first shot of legitimate cold air coming through the region next Monday. The GFS is a little more hesitant but does get solid snowmaking temps into NE.
Accompanying this cold shot is a storm which appears to be a... cutter, but upon closer examination it appears like we have more of a SWFE event on our hands. The source of this cold, a projected 1035mb+ High Pressure looks to hold stout over us and keep the warm sector at bay in SNE. The result, a wintry thump for the Ski Areas. The Ensembles also show a slug of moisture hitting this wall of hypothetical cold air as well. Hmmmmm...
While this is not a guaruntee, the fact that the PNA is showing signs of relenting from this terrible pattern is giving this possible time period some credence. Model support is almost universal:roll:, but that is always bound to chance. Let's see how the next couple of days of model runs unfold. Nonetheless, look for this dreadful pattern to break down during Jan, but Christmas Week may be a welcome respite.
The 12z GFS and EURO runs have decided that it's time to pump the PNA and break down the ridge for the 28th through New Years. Is this a large scale pattern change? No, but it the EURO is showing our first shot of legitimate cold air coming through the region next Monday. The GFS is a little more hesitant but does get solid snowmaking temps into NE.
Accompanying this cold shot is a storm which appears to be a... cutter, but upon closer examination it appears like we have more of a SWFE event on our hands. The source of this cold, a projected 1035mb+ High Pressure looks to hold stout over us and keep the warm sector at bay in SNE. The result, a wintry thump for the Ski Areas. The Ensembles also show a slug of moisture hitting this wall of hypothetical cold air as well. Hmmmmm...
While this is not a guaruntee, the fact that the PNA is showing signs of relenting from this terrible pattern is giving this possible time period some credence. Model support is almost universal:roll:, but that is always bound to chance. Let's see how the next couple of days of model runs unfold. Nonetheless, look for this dreadful pattern to break down during Jan, but Christmas Week may be a welcome respite.
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